i swear guys im not posting this because the game is a blowout, and its after the fact, and i didnt even take the game cause I'm up so much this week, but why was the line 3.5, or 4? why the hell was it so low.....seattle hasnt played to many good teams, and philly's D is supposed to be good and the snow and all....but mike mcmanah is the starting QB....does anyone have any other somehwhat logical reasons why the line was so low????? its just a stupid game and was wondering why the line was so low.....did it scare everyone off cause it was under 2 fg's? thanks!
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Originally posted by uconnplayeri swear guys im not posting this because the game is a blowout, and its after the fact, and i didnt even take the game cause I'm up so much this week, but why was the line 3.5, or 4? why the hell was it so low.....seattle hasnt played to many good teams, and philly's D is supposed to be good and the snow and all....but mike mcmanah is the starting QB....does anyone have any other somehwhat logical reasons why the line was so low????? its just a stupid game and was wondering why the line was so low.....did it scare everyone off cause it was under 2 fg's? thanks!
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Also, if you look at the line, and assume Philly getting extra 3 for homefield, that would translate to the following (assuming u had the game at -4):
Neurtral field: Sea -7
at Seattle: Sea -10
So if you were to look at the line in that respect, the line was right around where it should have been. However, as I said in my thread when playing Seattle, the good teams have been winning/covering on a seemingly consistent basis, and most of them haven't even been close. In years past, this game is either eacked out by Seattle in the end and they win by 3, or Philly pulls upset. This year has been much, much different.
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As I posted to someone, I had line Seattle -7...based on a program I created to show me real line vs Vegas line. FWIW.
I think the line had to be where it was to not get too many on one side or another...though it appeared most were on Seattle...which is debatable?? W/O knowing the exact amount of dollars on each side, Philly could of easily been the larger side of ledger...
Now, as to hindsight...or basic capping...I will never side w/ a team such as Philly giving their inner team turmoil, loss of STUD QB and to top it off, no real urgency to play due to playoffs out of the question.
On top of that, my argument all day has been that Seattle at 9-2 and the #1 seed, why wouldn't this be their most crucial game of the year to this point?? With Colts on tap, they had to win this in order for home field being an option. They DO NOT want to go to Chicago, snow/cold/outdoors, NYG, same thing or Carolina, long cross country flight...
There you have it...who had more motivation??
Just my thoughts...FUCK YOU, FUCK ME
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The line was low for a couple of reasons. People have LONG MEMORIES. They remember the good Philly and the average Seahawk teams. People still don't see Seattle as a legit contender, only because they have not been one in the past. Another reason for the low line tonight was that Seattle is a poor traveler. They are ONLY 1-7, now 2-7, playing on the East Coast the past three years. That being said I even had Seattle on the adjusted line, minus 10.5 points, at +220, although I never thought it would be this easy.
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