Turkey Day Trends

[crswir]

Thursday, November 24th

Atlanta at Detroit, 12:30 EST FOX
Atlanta: 1-8 ATS off a home loss
Detroit: 18-8 ATS off a straight up loss

Denver at Dallas, 4:15 EST CBS
Denver: 6-1 ATS off a straight up win
Dallas: 8-2 Under off BB wins

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[crswir]

Thursday, November 24th

Kent State at Akron, 10:00am EST ESPN2
Kent State: 6-1 ATS off a bye week
Akron: 2-10 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points

Pittsburgh at West Virginia, 8:00 EST ESPN
Pittsburgh: 1-8 ATS away vs. conference opponents
West Virginia: 5-1 ATS off a shutout win

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[crswir]

Thursday, November 24th

Cleveland at Indiana, 8:05 EST TNT
Cleveland: 7-0 ATS off BB ATS wins as a favorite
Indiana: 20-7 Under as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points

Seattle at Los Angeles Lakers, 10:35 EST TNT
Seattle: 12-6 ATS at Los Angeles since 1996
LA Lakers: 2-13 ATS off BB Unders

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[crswir]

Thursday, November 24

New York Rangers at Atlanta, 7:05 EST
NY Rangers: 6-0 Under off BB wins this season
Atlanta: 6-30 SU off a road loss by 1 goal

Los Angeles Kings at Nashville, 8:05 EST
Los Angeles: 30-13 Under off a road win by 3+ goals
Nashville: 2-8 SU at home vs. Los Angeles

San Jose at Vancouver, 10:05 EST
San Jose: n/a
Vancouver: 37-11 SU off a home game

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Homer]

GL today and have a Great Thanksgiving

[rocko]

thanks as always for posting these trends GETER DONE

[crswir]

No Problem guys.

Happy Thanksgiving to you and yours.

[Spark]

Thansk crs .. You are a great guy .. You have always been there to help .... Have a great Holiday buddy ....

[Spark]

Thursday's Games
Visitor covered last seven Kent-Akron games; teams are local rivals, 14 miles apart, and visitor has won four of last five SU in this rivalry, with teams splitting last two at this site. Kent lost its last eight games, scoring just 9.3 ppg in last four games, with a -9 turnover ratio in those games; they're 2-3 as road underdog this season. Akron is just 5-5; they're 1-3 vs spread after a win; six of their last seven games stayed under the total. Zips 1-4 vs spread as a favorite this season.

Visitor is 12-5 vs spread in last 17 Pitt-West Virginia games, with Panthers losing last visit here, 52-31. Pitt won four of its last five games and can go bowling with upset win here; they're 0-4 on road this season, 1-2 as road dog, with away losses by 6,1,8,22 points. Pitt has 13 takeaways in last four games. Mountaineers are 8-1, can go to BCS bowl if they win here and at So Florida in a week; they're 2-2 as favorite this season, 1-1 at home, and ran ball for 228+ yards in each of last four games.

[Spark]

NFL Week 12 analysis
Falcons (6-4) @ Lions (4-6)-- Home side won eight of the last ten Atlanta-Detroit games, with the Falcons losing 10 of last 13 series games, seven of last eight at this site. Atlanta lost last two games allowing 33,30 points; they've converted 26 of last 45 third down plays, but lost seven fumbles in last three games (no INTs), with -4 turnover ratio. Lions lost three of last four games but are 3-2 at home and 16-9 vs spread in last 25 games that followed a loss. Detroit is 0-4 when they don't have a positive turnover ratio- they scored 14 or less points in four of last five games. Five of last six Atlanta games went over the total.

Broncos (8-2) @ Cowboys (7-3)-- Denver won, covered eight of last nine games, winning last three by 28-14-27 points; they lost only turf game, 24-23 at Giants, their last loss- they're 8-0 if they allow less than 24 points, but split their four road games so far in '05. Dallas won its last three games overall, their last four at home they outscored last three foes 31-9 in second half, and are giving up just 11.4 ppg at home. Home side won five of last seven in this series, with Broncos 1-2 at this site. Five of last seven Dallas tilts stayed under total; over is 4-1-1 in last six Bronco games.

Patriots (6-4) @ Chiefs (6-4)-New England is 3-1 since their bye, losing only to Colts; they won last three series games by 6-3-8 points, but are 0-5 vs spread this season if they won their previous game. Chiefs at home for just second time in last six games; they're 3-1 at home, blowing 24-0 lead in only loss. Pats are 5-0 if they allow less than 27 points, a figure Chiefs hit in five of their six wins. Under is 3-1 in last four games for both sides, but average second half total in last four Patriot games is 29. KC yet to beat playoff-caliber team this season.

Ravens (3-7) @ Bengals (7-3)-Baltimore won 11 of last 15 in series, but lost first meeting this year, 21-9, as Cincy outgained Ravens 319-240 and converted 7 of 11 on third down. Ravens didn't have Boller that day, and averaged only 3.3 yards per pass attempt. Baltimore lost four of last five games, and has yet to score 20 in game this year; they're 0-2 vs spread after a win. Bengals haven't been minus in turnovers in any game this year (they've been even four times) , while Ravens have had plus ratio just once. Under is 4-1-1 in last six Raven games, 7-3 in Bengal games. Five of last six series totals were 44+.

Panthers (7-3) @ Bills (4-6)-Carolina lost for first time in seven weeks at Chicago last Sunday; they've allowed just one TD on last 21 drives, and shut out last two foes in second half (23-0), but are only 9 for last 28 on third down, as Delhomme had terrible game last week. Home side is 9-1 in Buffalo games, with Bills 4-1 at home, losing only to Atlanta. Bills are 0-6 if they allow more than 17 points; they've been outrushed 291-126 in last two games, and are 6 for last 26 on third down. Bills are 0-6 if they don't have a positive turnover ratio.

Bears (7-3) @ Buccaneers (7-3)-Tampa won last two series games, 15-0/19-7; Bears lost five of last visits to this site, which used to be annual event when they were in same division, but Chicago has dominating defense this year, allowing only three offensive TD's on foes' last 76 drives; they've won six games in row, covered four of six as dog, and haven't lost game if they scored more than 10 points. Bucs scored 36,30 points in winning last two games; they're 4-1 at home (losing to Carolina). Bears are just 19 for last 77 on third down. Under is 7-1 in last eight Bear games.

Chargers (6-4) @ Redskins (5-5)-Second week in row Snyder's Redskins oppose coach he got rid of; Marty's Bolts are hot, winning last three games and covering four of last five. SD outrushed last two foes 274-154, and should be fresh after bye two weeks ago and easy win last week. Washington lost five of seven after 3-0 start; their last two losses were by total of four points. Skins are 4-1 at home. None of San Diego's four losses are by more than four points. Chargers are 0-4 in DC, 1-6 in series, with last four losses all by five or less points.

Browns (4-6) @ Vikings (5-5)-Red-hot Minnesota won three in row, four of five, but they were outgained 405-137 in win at Swamp, and other three wins were vs fellow NFC North stooges. Tice's defense/special teams has scored four TD's in last two games, and his offense has thrown only one pick in last five games, after tossing 12 in first five. Cleveland scored 20+ points in last three games, after scoring 20+ just twice in first seven; they're 1-4 if they allow more than 14 points. In last eight games, Cleveland has started 24 drives 80+ yards from end zone, and scored only two FGs on those 24 drives. Under is 7-1 in last eight Brown games.

49ers (2-8) @ Titans (2-8)-Someone explain how Tennessee can be 7.5 points over anyone; Titans lost last five games, allowing 27.2 ppg, but their two wins are by 25-10 (Ravens) and 34-20 (Texans). This is first '05 game they've been favored in. 49ers have been awful on road (0-4, with losses by 39,17,35,8 points); only one of their last four games was decided by more than eight points, but they've competed better at home. Dorsey perked up Niner passing game last week, throwing for 226, after they hadn't passed for more than 117 in previous six games.

Rams (4-6) @ Texans (1-9)-Battle of two sinking ships; wouldn't be surprised if Mike Martz was coaching Texans next year. Teams have never met on field, but Rams did win bidding war for OT Pace last winter. Bulger is out with shoulder, so Rams turn to Martin and maybe Harvard rookie Fitzpatrick, who was super this summer. St Louis is 0-2 since bye, allowing 69 points (outrushed 268-81); they've turned ball over 2+ times in seven of last eight games- they had six rushing yards last week. Houston faced Chief offense last week, which is similar to Rams', and KC had 226 rushing yards. Texans outscored 52-14 in first half of their last two games.

Jaguars (7-3) @ Cardinals (3-7)-Arizona is 0-7 unless they win turnover battle; they have zero INT's and just three takeaways in last five games (-5)- they're 13-24 vs spread in game following their last 37 wins and have yet to rush for more than 97 yards in game this year. Jaguars won last three games by 7-27-3 points, holding foes to average of 68 yards per game on ground and outscoring them 65-21 in second half; they're 3-2 on road, with wins by 6(ot),6,3 points. Over is 7-1 in last eight Arizona games, 4-1-1 in last six Jag tilts.

Dolphins (3-7) @ Raiders (4-6)-Anyone else notice that lot of bad teams are favored this week? Well, favorite is 8-2 vs spread in Raider games this year, with Silver & Black 3-0 as favorite in '05. Oakland is 4-3 in last seven games after 0-3 start; they're 2-3 at home, and lost seven of last nine games vs Miami, including last five in regular season. Dolphins have QB dilemma, with Frerotte playing with injured finger, and Rosenfels not very good; they lost three in row and six of last seven games. Fish are 1-4 on road, with three losses by 10+ points, and only "road" win at LSU vs Saints. Under is 6-3 in last nine Raider games, 4-0 in Miami's last four.

NYGiants (7-3) @ Seattle (8-2)-Giants drafted Ron Dayne instead of Alexander, could pay price for that here, as Seattle ran ball for 175.7 ypg in three games since their bye; only one of last seven Giant foes has run for more than 106 yards. Big Blue won four of last five games; two of their three losses are by FG, with Chargers only team to beat them decisively. Seattle won last six games, has lock on NFC West, now has to keep winning to get valuable bye that top two in each conference get- hard to reach Super Bowl without it, so coaches don't let up just because they have division won. Six of last eight Seattle games went over the total.

Packers (2-8) @ Eagles (4-6)-Philly lost last four games, but has no more TO worries, but they're also using McMahon at QB, so huge QB mismatch here, vs Favre's Pack, which has scored more points than they've allowed, despite 2-8 record. Five of last seven Pack losses are by two or three points. Home team is 15-4 in last 19 series games. Pack lost last three series games by 3,3,30 points and also lost seven in row in Philly, with last win here coming in '62. Three of last four series games were won by three or less points. Under is 4-1 in last five Green Bay games.

Saints (2-8) @ Jets (2-8)- Speaking of horrible teams being favored, how about Saints as road favorite? Their last win was October 2; they lost last five road games, by 17-17-49-11 and 7 points. One plus is, in Saints' worst-ever 1-15 season, in '80, their lone win was over Jets at Shea Stadium. Bollinger starts for Jet club that has used five different QBs; they've lost last five games, four by 10+ points, and their coach appears to be looking for way out of town. Jets were outscored 57-3 last two weeks; they allowed 7,12 points in their two wins. Saints scored 17+ in six of last eight games.

Steelers (7-3) @ Colts (10-0)-Steelers won last nine games vs Colts, but eight of them were in Steel City. Pitt needs Big Ben back at QB to compete here; in four games he hasn't started, Steelers are 2-2, and converted just 11 for 48 (23%) on third down, compared to 35% when Ben starts. Indy running on all cylinders, with Colts converting 50 of last 80 (62.5%) third down plays. Not only is Indy 10-0, they covered six of last seven games; they're just 1-3 as home favorite, though. Steelers are 2-0 as dog this year, beat Chargers, Bengals in dog role. Last five Colt games all went over the total.

[Spark]

Favorites are 82-82-1 this season
Over is 86-79-1 so far this season

Hot Teams
-- Cavaliers won, covered their last eight games. Pacers won their last four home games.
-- Seattle won three of its last four games, but is just 1-4 as an underdog this season.

Cold Teams
-- Lakers lost five of their last six games (0-6 vs spread)

Totals
-- Last five Cleveland games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Laker games stayed under the total.

[Spark]

This season, favorites are 167-127 (7-2 last night)
Under is 147-128-8 (17-22-1 last six nights)

Hot teams
-- Rangers won last three games, 10 of last 14; they won 5-1 vs Atlanta Oct. 15. .
-- Kings won five of last six games, scoring 29 goals. Predators won five of their last six games; they split pair of 3-2 decisions vs Kings, home team winning both.
-- Canucks won four of their last five games; they beat San Jose 3-1 on road eight days ago.

Cold teams
-- Atlanta lost thirteen of its last nineteen games.
-- Sharks lost last last seven games, scoring 12 goals.

Totals
-- Four of last five Ranger games stayed under total.
-- Five of last seven Los Angeles games went over total
-- Under is 9-1 in last ten San Jose games.

[crswir]

Thanks Spark and have a great holiday.

By the way you're not so bad yourself.


John

[Spark]

Thursday's List of 13: Things to be thankful for......
13) I am thankful I live in this country. Think most of us take all this for granted. We're very lucky.

12) Satellite technology- When I was a kid, I wouldn't see boxscores for A's home games until 4:00 the next day. Now I can follow them as they happen. DirecTV is also amazing, getting scores on cellphones on a bus is super.

11) West Coast games-For some reason, I enjoyed watching Giant games on the dish all summer; their announcers have lot of fun during the games. Also, listening to Vin Scully is an honor, and he doesn't work east of the Rockies anymore.

10) The mute button-Just because I can watch games from all over the country, doesn't mean I want to listen to the seemingly increasing number of nitwits who have microphones in front of them. Disturbing trend, especially with teams owning TV stations that broadcast the games.

9) Road trips-Got in car last weekend and watched my buddy's college basketball team play. You haven't lived until you sit in locker room at halftime and listen to a friend just rip into a group of kids for subpar effort. Good stuff, especially when they come back and win in the second half.

8) Good friends-Your friends know how you think, they respect your ideas, and then they make fun of them. And you don't mind.

7) Arenaball in Albany-For ten years, we were lucky enough to have an AFL team in Albany; even won the Arena Bowl in '99. Then financial reality set in, and the team moved (they folded in Indiana, should have stayed here). There's an AF2 team here now, but that's like dating Roseanne Barr, after you spent ten years with Faith Hill.

6) Basketball season-Nothing like it. Best time of year. With increasing amount of summer activity, game is becoming more year-round, but when games tip off for real in the fall, that's the best.

5) Driving with the window open-Love it when it is warm enough to drive with the window down. Unfortunately, it'll be late March before I do this again.

4) Zambonis- Going to minor league hockey is a great night out; sitting with couple of hot dogs and a Coke, watching the Zamboni in between periods. I must be easily amused, but that is fun.

3) Football weekends in Vegas-Of course, any weekend in Vegas is tremendous, but two days of almost non-stop games, with blackjack and cocktail waitresses thrown in for good measure, now that's an excellent weekend.

2) The Tackle- The greatest single play in history of sports. Super Bowl XXXIV, Mike Jones stops the receiver a yard from the end zone, giving the Rams a world championship. I'd lie and say I don't think about this every day, but its the screensaver on my computer.

1) Freedom of speech-There are places in this world where I couldn't write what I want, even if I am babbling. We have people who protect our rights, and we should be very thankful for them.

[kbsooner21]

Thanks guys! Great top 13 list today! Have a Happy Thanksgiving fellas!