CFB YTD 42-28 +17.8 units
2* 11-4 +13.2 units
1* 31-24 +4.6 units
NFL YTD 18-10 +11.65 units
2* 6-1 +9.8 units
1* 12-9 +1.85 units
Combined YTD 60-38 +29.45 units
2* 17-5 +23.0 units
1* 43-32 +6.45 units
Got the weekend off to a strong start with a 2* win with Fresno. I'm now 17-5, pro and college combined, on top plays.
I posted several of these plays earlier to get the early line and explained my GOY. I'll write up the reasoning on the other two and I'm adding three more. This should be my final update for college this week.
4* College GOY Purdue -23
3* Hawaii -16 1/2
It was one of these two for my GOY and while I settled on Purdue, I love Hawaii here. Hawaii has had several tough losses against quality teams and while the numbers are ugly, their defense is actually improved this year. Hawaii has been great ATS at home in late season games for years. Utah State isn't very good, makes its first trip to paradise and has lost four in a row. Neither team can run the ball so I expect tons of passes. Utah State has an awful pass defense and won't be able to take time off the clock when they do have the ball giving Hawaii a chance for an overdue rout, just like the last few years.
1* Oregon State -5 1/2
Oregon State is coming off a road win over Washington and would have beaten Arizona were it not for about 82 turnovers. Stanford, on the other hand, is in a real tough spot, coming off a road loss at USC and may be flat. Oregon State is bowl eligible with a win.
1* Michigan -24
Indiana is wearing down as the season goes on and faces arch-rival Purdue next weekend. Michigan, after a sluggish start, has won three in a row including two straight on the road and comes home to face a softie here. This really should be a 2* but I try to be sparing with my top plays.
1* New Mexico State +10
Yup, I'm playing a winless team. But New Mex State has played a tough schedule and has looked good in spots and hasn't quit. Nevada has had a very soft schedule and is playing only its fourth road game of the year and may take NM State too lightly.
1* Texas -32 1/2
This line has been going down all week as the wise guys play resurgent Kansas. Yeah, Kansas has won two in a row at home but Texas has been held under 40 only once all year and that was Ohio State. Kansas is no Ohio State. Kansas doesn't score much and will be out of it by half time. Texas is off next week so they shouldn't be looking ahead. This is also the last home game of the year for Texas and the swan song in Austin for their seniors. Think Vince Young might like to run and pass for 500 to nail down the Heisman?
2* 11-4 +13.2 units
1* 31-24 +4.6 units
NFL YTD 18-10 +11.65 units
2* 6-1 +9.8 units
1* 12-9 +1.85 units
Combined YTD 60-38 +29.45 units
2* 17-5 +23.0 units
1* 43-32 +6.45 units
Got the weekend off to a strong start with a 2* win with Fresno. I'm now 17-5, pro and college combined, on top plays.
I posted several of these plays earlier to get the early line and explained my GOY. I'll write up the reasoning on the other two and I'm adding three more. This should be my final update for college this week.
4* College GOY Purdue -23
3* Hawaii -16 1/2
It was one of these two for my GOY and while I settled on Purdue, I love Hawaii here. Hawaii has had several tough losses against quality teams and while the numbers are ugly, their defense is actually improved this year. Hawaii has been great ATS at home in late season games for years. Utah State isn't very good, makes its first trip to paradise and has lost four in a row. Neither team can run the ball so I expect tons of passes. Utah State has an awful pass defense and won't be able to take time off the clock when they do have the ball giving Hawaii a chance for an overdue rout, just like the last few years.
1* Oregon State -5 1/2
Oregon State is coming off a road win over Washington and would have beaten Arizona were it not for about 82 turnovers. Stanford, on the other hand, is in a real tough spot, coming off a road loss at USC and may be flat. Oregon State is bowl eligible with a win.
1* Michigan -24
Indiana is wearing down as the season goes on and faces arch-rival Purdue next weekend. Michigan, after a sluggish start, has won three in a row including two straight on the road and comes home to face a softie here. This really should be a 2* but I try to be sparing with my top plays.
1* New Mexico State +10
Yup, I'm playing a winless team. But New Mex State has played a tough schedule and has looked good in spots and hasn't quit. Nevada has had a very soft schedule and is playing only its fourth road game of the year and may take NM State too lightly.
1* Texas -32 1/2
This line has been going down all week as the wise guys play resurgent Kansas. Yeah, Kansas has won two in a row at home but Texas has been held under 40 only once all year and that was Ohio State. Kansas is no Ohio State. Kansas doesn't score much and will be out of it by half time. Texas is off next week so they shouldn't be looking ahead. This is also the last home game of the year for Texas and the swan song in Austin for their seniors. Think Vince Young might like to run and pass for 500 to nail down the Heisman?
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