Need to get it going again as the last 2 days of posting have been pretty poor. I've noticed many of my teams are blowing leads late, specifically in the 4th quarter. One thing you may want to consider, is playing my picks as 1H bets only for the time being. If I had done that, I would be 14-9 (14-5 after the first night) in those 1H bets. At least the Spurs came back last night to soften the blow. Here we go:
5 Pimps, set the bitches straight!
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Kings/Pistons OVER 190 - With Larry Brown out, the Pistons are pushing the ball more this year. Kings are remarkably better at home when it comes to shooting. Last year, the Kings shot 47% at home, but 39% on the road. But check this, in 43 home games last year (2 playoffs), Sacramento scored over 100 34 times. In the 9 games they didn't score 100, they still averaged 90 points a game, and that includes a 73 point effort. Also, in those same 9 games, opponents averaged 96 points, with a 79 point effort by Milwaukee.
4 Pimps
Bucks/Warriors OVER 206 - Golden State loves to jack the 3s, and Milwaukee will push the tempo with TJ Ford. Milwaukee doesn't shoot as many 3s, but they are one of the best offensive rebounding teams in the league, and Golden State gives up a ton. Both games last year easily went over the total, and Golden State should break out of a shooting slump against one of the worst defensive teams.
3 Pimps
Sacramento +2 - Yes, Sac is a tough place to play, but it's not the home court that is going to win it tonight, but rather the addition of 3 players: Bonzi Wells, Abdur-Rahim and Brad Miller. Miller? Yes, he didn't play against Detroit last year, and could be a big difference maker tonight. Mike Bibby has always played well vs. Detroit, and more importantly, has absolutely shut down Chauncey Billups. On the flip side, Tayshaun has destroyed Peja defensively, and will probably force him to another poor game tonight. However, Bonzi is the key. He has put up huge numbers vs. Detroit in the past, and off to a tremendous start. Brad Miller plays away from the basket, which will pull Ben Wallace out on the floor where he can't block shots and can get into foul trouble. Abdur-Rahim and Rasheed should cancel each other out, but Bonzi and Bibby have big games and the Kings win by 4.
2 Pimps
Lakers -5' - this is an interesting matchup, and I'll be watching closely to see if Al Harrington is going to play or not. Against Golden State, the Hawks gave up 122...75 in the 2nd half alone, and the Lakers have been averaging 107 pts/game. I don't see the Lakers scoring less than 103, and I don't see the Hawks scoring more than 95. If Harrington plays, you may want to lay off this one.
Milwaukee -4 - I really like the way that the Bucks are playing right now, and with TJ Ford's quickness, he may tear both of Baron's hamstrings tonight. J-Rich has gotten eaten up by Michael Redd. Redd averaged 28.5 and 24.5 in his last 2 years vs. Golden State. Bogut has looked great, and last year when Magloire went against Foyle? 27 points and 14 boards. Plus, Milwaukee is outrebounding their opponents by an average of 6, and Golden State getting outrebounded by 9 per game.
Opinions - Houston -8
5 Pimps 1-1
4 Pimps 1-2
3 Pimps 2-4
2 Pimps 8-5
1 Pimp 2-0
Opinions 2-2
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2nd half plays 1-3
TOTALS 4-2
5 Pimps, set the bitches straight!



Kings/Pistons OVER 190 - With Larry Brown out, the Pistons are pushing the ball more this year. Kings are remarkably better at home when it comes to shooting. Last year, the Kings shot 47% at home, but 39% on the road. But check this, in 43 home games last year (2 playoffs), Sacramento scored over 100 34 times. In the 9 games they didn't score 100, they still averaged 90 points a game, and that includes a 73 point effort. Also, in those same 9 games, opponents averaged 96 points, with a 79 point effort by Milwaukee.
4 Pimps

Bucks/Warriors OVER 206 - Golden State loves to jack the 3s, and Milwaukee will push the tempo with TJ Ford. Milwaukee doesn't shoot as many 3s, but they are one of the best offensive rebounding teams in the league, and Golden State gives up a ton. Both games last year easily went over the total, and Golden State should break out of a shooting slump against one of the worst defensive teams.
3 Pimps

Sacramento +2 - Yes, Sac is a tough place to play, but it's not the home court that is going to win it tonight, but rather the addition of 3 players: Bonzi Wells, Abdur-Rahim and Brad Miller. Miller? Yes, he didn't play against Detroit last year, and could be a big difference maker tonight. Mike Bibby has always played well vs. Detroit, and more importantly, has absolutely shut down Chauncey Billups. On the flip side, Tayshaun has destroyed Peja defensively, and will probably force him to another poor game tonight. However, Bonzi is the key. He has put up huge numbers vs. Detroit in the past, and off to a tremendous start. Brad Miller plays away from the basket, which will pull Ben Wallace out on the floor where he can't block shots and can get into foul trouble. Abdur-Rahim and Rasheed should cancel each other out, but Bonzi and Bibby have big games and the Kings win by 4.
2 Pimps

Lakers -5' - this is an interesting matchup, and I'll be watching closely to see if Al Harrington is going to play or not. Against Golden State, the Hawks gave up 122...75 in the 2nd half alone, and the Lakers have been averaging 107 pts/game. I don't see the Lakers scoring less than 103, and I don't see the Hawks scoring more than 95. If Harrington plays, you may want to lay off this one.
Milwaukee -4 - I really like the way that the Bucks are playing right now, and with TJ Ford's quickness, he may tear both of Baron's hamstrings tonight. J-Rich has gotten eaten up by Michael Redd. Redd averaged 28.5 and 24.5 in his last 2 years vs. Golden State. Bogut has looked great, and last year when Magloire went against Foyle? 27 points and 14 boards. Plus, Milwaukee is outrebounding their opponents by an average of 6, and Golden State getting outrebounded by 9 per game.
Opinions - Houston -8
5 Pimps 1-1
4 Pimps 1-2
3 Pimps 2-4
2 Pimps 8-5
1 Pimp 2-0
Opinions 2-2
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2nd half plays 1-3
TOTALS 4-2
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