Trends Thursday

[Spark]

NCAA Football Trends

Thursday, November 3rd

Pittsburgh at Louisville, 7:30 EST ESPN
Pittsburgh: 3-13 ATS away off BB home games
Louisville: 8-0 ATS as a home favorite

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Spark]

Thursday-Saturday, 11/03-05/2005

PITTSBURGH (4 - 4) at LOUISVILLE (5 - 2) - 11/3/2005, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

[Spark]

Thursday's Game
While Pitt went to BCS bowl last year, Louisville didn't, because they were in C-USA; now, they are in same league, and get shot to avenge last year's snub. Louisville is bully team, with four of their five wins by 24+ points; they're 3-0 at home, scoring 63-61-69 points, covering all three games- in fact, Louisville covered their last nine home games, all as favorite of 10+ pts. Pitt won, covered last three games to even record at 4-4; they're 0-3 on road, losing by 1-6-8 points. Panthers are 1-1 as underdog this year. Last four Pitt games went over, as did last 4 Cardinal tilts.

[Spark]

Favorites are 8-10 so far this season.
Over is 9-9 so far this season.

Series Records
-- Pacers, Miami played four times last year; three times they went OT, the fourth game was decided by 4 points, with home team winning three of the four, and teams 1-1 at this site. Indiana won at Orlando last night, while Heat had big second half in win at Memphis.
-- Lakers had OT win at Denver last night; they lost all four games vs Phoenix last year, losing twice at home, 113-110 and 108-97. Suns are without Stoudemire, of course; they lost double OT game Tuesday vs Dallas.

Totals
-- Under is 11-1 in Pacers' last 12 regular season tilts. Average total in four Indiana-Miami games last year was 193.
-- Over is 8-2 in Lakers' last ten games. Average total in four Laker-Sun games last year was 215.3.

[Spark]

13) It surprised me to learn that that the New York Times Corporation owns 17% of the Red Sox.

12) It surprises me that any team would trade for Stephon Marbury.

11) It surprises me that the current hiring craze in baseball is to hire 30-something males from Ivy League schools. Does Harvard offer a course in scouting the Cape Cod League?

10) It surprises me that Dick Williams is not in Baseball Hall of Fame. If Joe Torre gets in (0 playoff wins in 12 non-Bronx years as a manager), it better be after Williams (brought Red Sox (first time in 21 years), A's (first time in 42 years) and Padres (first time ever) to World Series).

9) It surprises me that the Chargers haven't permanently switched to their light blue jerseys and white helmets with the number underneath the lightning bolt.

8) It surprises me that the Manning family steered Eli away from San Diego.

7) It surprises me that Carmelo Anthony showed absolutely zero basketball IQ in hoisting up a bad shot with 0:12 left in regulation Wednesday, with the score tied.

6) It surprises me that Bobby Valentine wants to manage the Devil Rays.

5) It surprises me that golf is modeling its new schedule after NASCAR's. Who would have thought that NASCAR was a trend setter?

4) It surprises me that Tyrone Willingham got shown the door after three years in South Bend, but Charlie Weis gets a 10-year extension for coaching the players Willingham and Bob Davie recruited.

3) It surprises me that schools like Syracuse and Ole Miss fire coaches with winning records, to bring in guys who haven't been head coaches, but have connections to USC. Ever been in Syracuse at any time between November and April?

Syracuse isn't USC and can't be USC. Bringing in a guy who has never been head coach is strange move for both schools, but the Ole Miss thing has better chance to work long-term, since it is lot easier to recruit football players to an SEC school than central New York.

2) It surprises me that someone would pack up and move to Vegas, to try and become a professional poker player. I know someone who has done this; had I been asked for advice, would have said that it is lot harder than it looks on TV.

1) It surprises me that Red Sox would want to trade Manny Ramirez. Buy yourself some ear plugs, pencil him in lineup for 150 games and 140 RBI, as well as supreme protection for David Ortiz. If they trade Manny, they'll regret it.

[crswir]

Pro Basketball Trend Report
INDIANA (1 - 0) at MIAMI (1 - 0) - 11/3/2005, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 107-81 ATS (+17.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 71-44 ATS (+22.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 61-35 ATS (+22.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games in November games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-5 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 10-3 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




PHOENIX (0 - 1) at LA LAKERS (1 - 0) - 11/3/2005, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 10-29 ATS (-21.9 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 77-107 ATS (-40.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 6-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 5-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[crswir]

Pro Hockey Trend Report
FLORIDA (6-5-0-2, 14 pts.) at BOSTON (5-5-0-4, 14 pts.) - 11/3/2005, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 56-85 ATS (-38.0 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
FLORIDA is 146-164 ATS (-59.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
FLORIDA is 148-217 ATS (-82.9 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line since 1996.
BOSTON is 73-77 ATS (-41.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
BOSTON is 28-39 ATS (-37.6 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 16-23 ATS (+16.0 Units) as a home favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 3-2 (+1.4 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 2-1-2 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.7 Units)




PITTSBURGH (2-5-0-5, 9 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (6-6-0-0, 12 pts.) - 11/3/2005, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 2-10 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 2-10 ATS (+12.2 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line this season.
PITTSBURGH is 2-10 ATS (+12.2 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line this season.
PITTSBURGH is 2-10 ATS (+12.2 Units) first half of the season this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 64-85 ATS (-29.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
NY ISLANDERS are 35-51 ATS (-42.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 4-2 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 3-1-2 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.8 Units)




WASHINGTON (4-7-0-0, 8 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (6-3-0-1, 13 pts.) - 11/3/2005, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 57-59 ATS (+57.0 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 (+1.5 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)




TORONTO (6-4-0-2, 14 pts.) at CAROLINA (8-2-0-1, 17 pts.) - 11/3/2005, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 8-3 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all games this season.
CAROLINA is 8-3 ATS (+11.5 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line this season.
CAROLINA is 8-3 ATS (+4.9 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line this season.
CAROLINA is 8-3 ATS (+8.0 Units) first half of the season this season.
TORONTO is 32-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 10-3 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 20-11 ATS (+31.9 Units) as a road underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 25-36 ATS (+25.0 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-2-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.3 Units)




TAMPA BAY (7-4-0-2, 16 pts.) at OTTAWA (9-2-0-0, 18 pts.) - 11/3/2005, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 10-37 ATS (+56.0 Units) in road games in November games since 1996.
OTTAWA is 17-4 ATS (+9.3 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 9-2 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) as a road underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 2-7 ATS (-13.9 Units) in home games in November games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 5-0 (+5.0 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 5-0-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.1 Units)




NY RANGERS (6-4-0-3, 15 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (6-5-0-1, 13 pts.) - 11/3/2005, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 37-58 ATS (-22.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 5-3 (+1.2 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 5-2-1 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.9 Units)




EDMONTON (6-6-0-1, 13 pts.) at DETROIT (12-1-0-0, 24 pts.) - 11/3/2005, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 12-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line this season.
DETROIT is 12-1 ATS (+9.7 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line this season.
DETROIT is 12-1 ATS (+8.5 Units) first half of the season this season.
EDMONTON is 47-27 ATS (+16.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
DETROIT is 155-141 ATS (-133.3 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 2-2 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 2-0-2 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)




ANAHEIM (7-5-0-1, 15 pts.) at COLORADO (6-4-0-1, 13 pts.) - 11/3/2005, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 2-12 ATS (+14.7 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 12-29 ATS (+43.5 Units) as a road underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 3 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 14-33 ATS (+49.7 Units) in road games against the puck line over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 10-19 ATS (-40.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 204-180 ATS (+204.0 Units) in home games against the puck line since 1996.
COLORADO is 49-58 ATS (-74.8 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 2-2 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 2-2-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)




COLUMBUS (4-9-0-0, 8 pts.) at CALGARY (5-7-0-2, 12 pts.) - 11/3/2005, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBUS is 13-35 ATS (+60.6 Units) in road games against the puck line over the last 3 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 30-65 ATS (+113.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 16-34 ATS (+53.1 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-1 (+2.9 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-1-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.8 Units)




LOS ANGELES (9-4-0-0, 18 pts.) at PHOENIX (5-8-0-1, 11 pts.) - 11/3/2005, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 75-61 ATS (+157.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
PHOENIX is 49-60 ATS (+49.0 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
PHOENIX is 13-27 ATS (+55.0 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 8-20 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a home favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 15-32 ATS (+15.0 Units) in home games against the puck line over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 4-2-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

[kbsooner21]

5) It surprises me that golf is modeling its new schedule after NASCAR's. Who would have thought that NASCAR was a trend setter?

Ain't that the truth! Thanks Spark, great list today!

[Spark]

hahahaha



This season, favorites are 104-77.
Under is 87-79-6.

Hot teams
-- Penguins won two of their last three games, scoring 14 goals, after losing their first nine games. Islanders are 3-1 in their last four home games.
-- Flyers won five of their last seven games.
-- Hurricanes won last five games, outscoring foes 24-14
-- Senators are 9-2; they scored 10 goals last night in Buffalo, scored 21 in their last three games. Lightning is 3-1 in their last four games, but lost 4-1 at home to Sens back on October 21.
-- Oilers won last three games, outscoring foes 15-5.
-- Red Wings won last nine games; Osgood gets start in goal tonight, as Legace was hurt in last game.
-- Ducks won last four games, outscoring foes 17-8. Colorado won their last three games, scoring 15 goals.
-- Kings are 10-3 this season, 4-0 on the road, 3-0 if they played the night before.

Cold teams
-- Florida lost its last three games, all by a goal, twice in OT. Bruins lost seven of last nine games; their last four losses were all in OT or SO.
-- Washington lost five of its last seven games.
-- Maple Leafs are 1-3 on road so far this season.
-- Rangers lost four of last five road games; home side won both Ranger-Devil games this season, with Devils winning 3-2 in OT on this ice October 8. Devils lost three of their last four home games.
-- Columbus lost their last five games, outscored 19-7. Flames are 1-3 in last four games, scoring 8 goals.
-- Phoenix is 5-9 this season, scoring 8 goals in their last three games.

Totals
-- Over is 7-1 in Bruins' last eight games.
-- Over is 5-0-1 in last six Pittsburgh games.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Washington games.
-- Over is 7-4 in last eleven Toronto games, 6-2 in last eight Carolina contests.
-- Last four Ottawa games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight New Jersey games.
-- Over is 4-1-2 in last seven Edmonton games.
-- Under is 7-2 in last nine Anaheim games.
-- Under is 9-2-2 in Columbus games this season, 10-0 in last ten Calgary games.
-- Last three Los Angeles games went over the total.