Rainman's NFL Smasher Winner #3

[moomoo]

yes frank yesterday was 1 day. But I have been gambling everyday for 7 years and like I said I don't know who will win but over a season if I bet against every side that is over 70% I win a very good % of those plays and at seasons end I will be ahead of the gam. rememeber this is ONLY 1 DAY.

[wayne1218]

those are not ********* numbers. sports insights much more acurate.It is much greater than 50/50 when you get more than 70% on one side. Argue all you want in the long run if you take the side the book needs you will win in games over 70% lopsided.Atlanta was 70% last week and they cover so yes they do win and if there is ever a night the public can pull off a win it is MNF.But I can not ignore 85 % of bets and the line going up 4 to 5 points.

That's fine but every game is different. Vegas has taken baths and you shouldn't stare at one number and believe it to be true.

[wayne1218]

yes frank yesterday was 1 day. But I have been gambling everyday for 7 years and like I said I don't know who will win but over a season if I bet against every side that is over 70% I win a very good % of those plays and at seasons end I will be ahead of the gam. rememeber this is ONLY 1 DAY.

There's still nothing wrong with picking and choosing those 30% that WILL roll. Don't limit your options to a single number. They are wrong a hefty % of the time!

[ravens1]

Wayne1218

You've been here 2 weeks. Enough said. You don't know the history of things here so your opinion is merely uneducated.

Guess your right I have no say here since I only been here two weeks?I also been playing some of your picks and been making money.Did`nt really see or understand what the problem was for someone posting winners.Guess I will wait for a year or two before I give another opinion.Sorry again about the post and best of luck with all your picks.

[wayne1218]

Guess your right I have no say here since I only been here two weeks?I also been playing some of your picks and been making money.Did`nt really see or understand what the problem was for someone posting winners.Guess I will wait for a year or two before I give another opinion.Sorry again about the post and best of luck with all your picks.

Sorry, what i meant to say is you have not seen the shit we have seen and dealt with here. He was going down a one way road from the start and it wasn't good!

[moomoo]

you guys keep telling me not to look at this one game I am not.This is only 1 game and I take the houses side in every big game and play the % And I do very well.I can't change my handicapping system because you guys think that PITT is a better team.

[ChuckLazar]

Those moneymovent % they show are not 100% exacurate..My cousin who works at Ceasers told me not to put much into it cause alot of big $$$ is not counted..

[ChuckLazar]

you guys keep telling me not to look at this one game I am not.This is only 1 game and I take the houses side in every big game and play the % And I do very well.I can't change my handicapping system because you guys think that PITT is a better team.

Don't put your whole bankroll on it if you want to have something for next week..:christmas

[moomoo]

I don't cherry pick. I suggest you don't either you stick with what works for you and I will stick to what works for me. I can not personnally remmeber the last time I lost a game betting against over 85% of bets. there are probabaly only 10 such games in all sports a year.

[moomoo]

the last 1 was ALCS game 1 W. SOX VS. ANGELS. 86% were on the SOX. That was there only post season loss. Coincidance I think not.

[ChuckLazar]

I don't cherry pick. I suggest you don't either you stick with what works for you and I will stick to what works for me. I can not personnally remmeber the last time I lost a game betting against over 85% of bets. there are probabaly only 10 such games in all sports a year.

I can bet that 85% changes to around 60% right before gametime when they take the line to 13 or 14.

[wayne1218]

I don't cherry pick. I suggest you don't either you stick with what works for you and I will stick to what works for me. I can not personnally remmeber the last time I lost a game betting against over 85% of bets. there are probabaly only 10 such games in all sports a year.

Not true. I cherry pick NFL Teasers every week. Tunnel vision in gambling will kill you and if you base everything on one inaccurate number you will not have long term success!

[wayne1218]

the last 1 was ALCS game 1 W. SOX VS. ANGELS. 86% were on the SOX. That was there only post season loss. Coincidance I think not.

ML Wagers and a % mean less than they do with spreads. C'mon, i can give you 1,000 examples where the public was right on that!

[wayne1218]

The line moved like it did after they announced reed and lewis out. They couldn't start it at -14 without knowing that for sure.

[moomoo]

wayne why do you keep saying I am basing everything on one game. This is only 1 game.You are the one with tunnel vision.This is my system I do not deviate.you have your system of apparently just going off feel or whatever you do you wanted a reason to take the RAVENS and I gave you a better one than a PITT is a better team. I don't care who you take I don't even care if I lose this game I am simply saying that I will not bet against the house with everyone else on a line that has moved that much.