Well, I have been waiting for this Jacksonville line to come out all week and i banged it as soon as it came out before the line went up on me. Earlier this week I said I didn't like the card, but there are a couple plays I feel stronger about than any this season. All my NFL plays are finalized and this is how I'm playing it.
NFL:
5* GOY-Jaguars -3 -110
This is a game I have had circled down since week 2 of the nfl season when I was looking ahead at team schedules. I had this game circled before Torry Holt, Mike Martz, Isaac Bruce, and Marc Bulger were sidelined. Two of my favorite teams to bet on, the underrated Jags, and against the overrated Rams. The physical Jags coming off a bye against the finesse Rams. Jamie Martin vs. the #2 pass defense in football should be ugly. The Jaguars have beaten quality opponents like the Bengals and Steelers in their last two games before the bye. They get Fred Taylor back this week and should blow out the Joe Vitt lead St. Louis Rams. This game is a total mismatch. Jax 30 Stl 13
4* Pittsburgh -10 -105
This seems like to me the week of the favorites. I would still make a bet on this game at this line even if E. Reed and R. Lewis were playing. They are not, therefore I like it even more. The Ravens have consistently been one of the five worst teams in the NFL this season, especially on the road. They've lost big in Tennessee and Detroit. They lost last week in Chicago. There would usually be some worry about a let-down from the Steelers, but they will love nothing more than to get Brian Billick fired on national TV. Baltimore might just have the worst offense in football as they have not show any sign of progress since their poor showing against Indy in week 1. I have a very hard time seeing Baltimore muster out any drives let alone many first downs. Pitt shoud win this game fairly easy. Pitt 27 Balt 7
3* SD -4.5 -105
The Chargers face a must-win at home and are the superior team here. The Chiefs face their second straight road game and have no way to stop the Bolts offense.
2* Lions/Bears under 32.5 -105
After watching the Bears the past few weeks, I'm betting the under until they prove me wrong. Scottie Vines and Mark Bradley are starting wide receivers in this game. The Lions defense has quietly played very well and should match the Bears punt for punt. The Bears D has been solid all season. This game should stay under by touchdown.
1* Dolphins +2.5 -102
Simply put it the Saints are horrible and just find ways to keep losing football games. I think Ronnie Brown breaks out this week with a 100+ yard game with a few TD.
Here is how the Saints season has gone.
Week 2 – Lose 27-10 in New York, losing the opening kickoff on a fumble
Week 3 – Lose 33-16 to the winless Vikings, losing the opening kickoff on a fumble
Week 5- Lose 52-3 to the winless Packers. Deuce McAllister lost for the season.
Week 6 – Out-gain the Falcons 456-266, but give up two return touchdowns, and lose 34-31 on a last-second field when the officials give Atlanta an extra attempt because of a defensive holding call.
Week 7 – Blow a 14-0 lead against the Rams, giving up 21 points in the fourth quarter to St. Louis with Jamie Martin at quarterback. We could mention the terrible Ernie Conwell call on the game’s final drive, but our spirit is broken.
This is a sign of a very bad football team.
2* Den -3 -120
The Broncos have been dominant at home and have not loss playing in the thin air all season. Denver might be the strongest home field advantage in football. Denver has a strong D, one of the top running games of football, and that spells success in the NFL. The Eagles heavily rely on the short passing game and don't have much of a rushing attack. This isn't a good formula for success on the road against a good team like Denver. I'm expecting Denver to win this game, hoping its more than a FG.
1* SF +11 +103
SF is the worst team in football. Probably worse than the Texans, but at home they have shown some life. They beat the Rams on opening day, almost beat the Cowboys, losing by a FG, then got beat soundly by the best team in football the Colts. Chris Simms makes his first season start on Sunday on the road. I have never been high on Simms as I don't think he's an NFL QB. I think this is too many points to give the niners at home while TB is making a cross country trip and might overlook the niners here. I think its a pretty close game with TB winning late.
3* NE -.5/Pitt -1.5 odds 10 to 13
3* Dal pk/Cin -.5 odds 10 to 13
3* Car -.5/Pitt -1.5 odds 10 to 13
3* Jax +4/Dal -2 odds 10 to 13
GL on your plays
NFL:
5* GOY-Jaguars -3 -110
This is a game I have had circled down since week 2 of the nfl season when I was looking ahead at team schedules. I had this game circled before Torry Holt, Mike Martz, Isaac Bruce, and Marc Bulger were sidelined. Two of my favorite teams to bet on, the underrated Jags, and against the overrated Rams. The physical Jags coming off a bye against the finesse Rams. Jamie Martin vs. the #2 pass defense in football should be ugly. The Jaguars have beaten quality opponents like the Bengals and Steelers in their last two games before the bye. They get Fred Taylor back this week and should blow out the Joe Vitt lead St. Louis Rams. This game is a total mismatch. Jax 30 Stl 13
4* Pittsburgh -10 -105
This seems like to me the week of the favorites. I would still make a bet on this game at this line even if E. Reed and R. Lewis were playing. They are not, therefore I like it even more. The Ravens have consistently been one of the five worst teams in the NFL this season, especially on the road. They've lost big in Tennessee and Detroit. They lost last week in Chicago. There would usually be some worry about a let-down from the Steelers, but they will love nothing more than to get Brian Billick fired on national TV. Baltimore might just have the worst offense in football as they have not show any sign of progress since their poor showing against Indy in week 1. I have a very hard time seeing Baltimore muster out any drives let alone many first downs. Pitt shoud win this game fairly easy. Pitt 27 Balt 7
3* SD -4.5 -105
The Chargers face a must-win at home and are the superior team here. The Chiefs face their second straight road game and have no way to stop the Bolts offense.
2* Lions/Bears under 32.5 -105
After watching the Bears the past few weeks, I'm betting the under until they prove me wrong. Scottie Vines and Mark Bradley are starting wide receivers in this game. The Lions defense has quietly played very well and should match the Bears punt for punt. The Bears D has been solid all season. This game should stay under by touchdown.
1* Dolphins +2.5 -102
Simply put it the Saints are horrible and just find ways to keep losing football games. I think Ronnie Brown breaks out this week with a 100+ yard game with a few TD.
Here is how the Saints season has gone.
Week 2 – Lose 27-10 in New York, losing the opening kickoff on a fumble
Week 3 – Lose 33-16 to the winless Vikings, losing the opening kickoff on a fumble
Week 5- Lose 52-3 to the winless Packers. Deuce McAllister lost for the season.
Week 6 – Out-gain the Falcons 456-266, but give up two return touchdowns, and lose 34-31 on a last-second field when the officials give Atlanta an extra attempt because of a defensive holding call.
Week 7 – Blow a 14-0 lead against the Rams, giving up 21 points in the fourth quarter to St. Louis with Jamie Martin at quarterback. We could mention the terrible Ernie Conwell call on the game’s final drive, but our spirit is broken.
This is a sign of a very bad football team.
2* Den -3 -120
The Broncos have been dominant at home and have not loss playing in the thin air all season. Denver might be the strongest home field advantage in football. Denver has a strong D, one of the top running games of football, and that spells success in the NFL. The Eagles heavily rely on the short passing game and don't have much of a rushing attack. This isn't a good formula for success on the road against a good team like Denver. I'm expecting Denver to win this game, hoping its more than a FG.
1* SF +11 +103
SF is the worst team in football. Probably worse than the Texans, but at home they have shown some life. They beat the Rams on opening day, almost beat the Cowboys, losing by a FG, then got beat soundly by the best team in football the Colts. Chris Simms makes his first season start on Sunday on the road. I have never been high on Simms as I don't think he's an NFL QB. I think this is too many points to give the niners at home while TB is making a cross country trip and might overlook the niners here. I think its a pretty close game with TB winning late.
3* NE -.5/Pitt -1.5 odds 10 to 13
3* Dal pk/Cin -.5 odds 10 to 13
3* Car -.5/Pitt -1.5 odds 10 to 13
3* Jax +4/Dal -2 odds 10 to 13
GL on your plays
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