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Doctor Z 14 plays for Sat
Been a member for a few years, I don't post a lot, and am a whopping 0-3 all time on posted plays. However, I've been a consistent winner and this week am well prepared for a big Sat -> thought I'd post these plays for your review/info since I've done the work. I am psyched for this card!!! My normal philosophies are: Fade the public (blindly play anything over 90%), play teams that have lost a bunch in a row ATS vs those who have a win streak going, play against reverse favs, revenge, value. You'll see that in the write ups. Good luck, whether you fade or follow.
6* Purdue +15 vs Penn State
Purdue lost last 5 ATS, Penn St won last 4 ATS
8* Illinois +20 vs Wisc
Illinois lost last 4 ats, Wisc won last 2
Wisky been outgained 4 of last 5 games
Wisky last 3 been Nwest, Min, Purd (let down time)
Illinois embarrassed last week vs Penn St (63-10)
90% of money on Wisky
Teams within 70 yards each other on common opponent (Indy)
3* Okla +1.5 vs Neb
Reverse Favorite Situation
5* Duke +14 vs Wake
Wake been outgained last 5 games
88% money on Wake
Duke 0-7 ATS
Wake Won last 4 ats
Duke 3rd straight at home, been clubbed last 2
5* Buff +4 vs Ohio
95% money on Ohio
Buff better by 260 yards vs common opponents
3* Kent St +7 vs W Mich
94% money on W Mich, line up by 3.5 points
3* C Fla +2.5 vs E Car
E Car won last 3 ats
C Fla better by at least 150 yards vs common opponents
5* Rice +19.5 vs UTEP
Rice 0-6 ATS
Rice 3rd straight at home, routed last 2
90% money on UTEP
3* FLa -4 vs GA
This game smells
67% money on GA
GA Qb doubtful
Even yards vs common opponents
8* USC – 29 vs Wash ST
USC pissed about BCS
Wash st won last 2 ats
58% money on W St
USC lost last 4 ats
W St 2nd straight on road
USC last 2 were on road
7* OK ST +36.5 vs Texas
Texas 7-0 ATS
Ok St 0-5 ATS
Texas let down after BCS #1
4* Ball St +28 vs N iLL
97% money on N Ill
7* Hawaii +12.5 vs Fresno
Fresno ripped them last year 70-14
68% money on Fresno – line move to Hawaii (sharp?)
Even yardage vs 2 common opponents
3* Troy + 3 vs UL LAF
Troy lost last 2 ats
UL LAF won last 2 ats
71% money on UL line hasn’t moved
Good luck. Doctor Z
6* Purdue +15 vs Penn State
Purdue lost last 5 ATS, Penn St won last 4 ATS
8* Illinois +20 vs Wisc
Illinois lost last 4 ats, Wisc won last 2
Wisky been outgained 4 of last 5 games
Wisky last 3 been Nwest, Min, Purd (let down time)
Illinois embarrassed last week vs Penn St (63-10)
90% of money on Wisky
Teams within 70 yards each other on common opponent (Indy)
3* Okla +1.5 vs Neb
Reverse Favorite Situation
5* Duke +14 vs Wake
Wake been outgained last 5 games
88% money on Wake
Duke 0-7 ATS
Wake Won last 4 ats
Duke 3rd straight at home, been clubbed last 2
5* Buff +4 vs Ohio
95% money on Ohio
Buff better by 260 yards vs common opponents
3* Kent St +7 vs W Mich
94% money on W Mich, line up by 3.5 points
3* C Fla +2.5 vs E Car
E Car won last 3 ats
C Fla better by at least 150 yards vs common opponents
5* Rice +19.5 vs UTEP
Rice 0-6 ATS
Rice 3rd straight at home, routed last 2
90% money on UTEP
3* FLa -4 vs GA
This game smells
67% money on GA
GA Qb doubtful
Even yards vs common opponents
8* USC – 29 vs Wash ST
USC pissed about BCS
Wash st won last 2 ats
58% money on W St
USC lost last 4 ats
W St 2nd straight on road
USC last 2 were on road
7* OK ST +36.5 vs Texas
Texas 7-0 ATS
Ok St 0-5 ATS
Texas let down after BCS #1
4* Ball St +28 vs N iLL
97% money on N Ill
7* Hawaii +12.5 vs Fresno
Fresno ripped them last year 70-14
68% money on Fresno – line move to Hawaii (sharp?)
Even yardage vs 2 common opponents
3* Troy + 3 vs UL LAF
Troy lost last 2 ats
UL LAF won last 2 ats
71% money on UL line hasn’t moved
Good luck. Doctor Z
...Nice to see you posting...
It's always noon somewhere! 
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