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CFB YTD: 33-23 +11.5 units
2* 6-2 +7.6 units
1* 27-21 +3.9 units
NFL YTD: 16-6 +13.15 units
2* 5-1 +7.8 units
1* 11-5 +5.35 units
Combined 49-29 +24.65 units
2* 11-3 +15.4 units
1* 38-26 +9.45 units
I absolutely love the Saturday card and think my three top plays are especially strong. As you can see from the above record, only one in about six of my plays are top plays and they have been very good (11-3).
2* NC State -6 (-115)
This set up is almost perfect. NC State is a quality team from a brutal conference that has played well and lost several tough games. They can still become bowl eligible, however, and this is their most winnable game. For Southern Miss, from a far weaker conference with several wins in which they were outplayed, this non-conf road game has little meaning. NC State is 14 points better if all things were even, but they are not. (Note: I was able to find this line and play it early Fri AM and most books have the game at -7 but I feel NC State wins by 20 so the line is irrelevant.)
2* Tulane pk
Marshall was killed last week by UTEP and faces another ugly travel week. They've gone from Texas to back home in West Virginia and now travel to Mobile for Tulane's "home" game. Tulane has held up pretty well given its lack of a home field this year and Marshall has been poor every time it's traveled this year. The pick 'em line is great value.
2* USC -29
I posted this pick earlier in the week to get this line (which I think will soar by Saturday). USC has tons of motivation now that it has fallen to second in the BCS standings and third place Virginia Tech won again Thursday night. Texas will crush Ok State so Southern Cal needs an impressive win to avoid---imagine this!!---falling to third in the BCS. They should annihilate Wash State. SC's at home, Carroll will show no mercy and SC is now two games removed from their tough win over Notre Dame.
1* Temple +22 1/2
Ugly pick of the week (these usually win). This is Temple's last home game for Wallace and Miami-OH has little motivation. Temple is rotten but showed improved play the last two weeks.
1* Western Michigan -6 1/2
Play the hot team. W-Mich crushed Bowling Green AT Bowling Green last week! (BG's QB was hurt, but the score was still 45-14 W Mich). Kent isn't very good. Western Michigan back home and the program may be back on track.
1* BYU -6
BYU is a much better team than Air Force whose coach just avoided getting fired this week. Air Force can't stop anybody.
1* Texas -37
I really hate laying 37 points on the road but Oklahoma State is the worst team in the Big 12 this year (including Kansas and Baylor). Texas has no tough games for the next several weeks so isn't looking ahead.
1* Oregon State -9
Good spot to go against Arizona off two hard fought losses at home. They now must travel to Oregon State and its big time offense which scored 28 on the road at UCLA and beat Cal on the road two weeks ago. Oreg State's lousy defense not a big issue because Arizona doesn't score.
*****
extra note: I suggested earlier this week a betting opportunity by playing North Texas +44 and the game OVER 49 1/2. This is a great play because it is almost impossible to lose both sides of the wager. The total on this game has since moved to 51 which makes this play still interesting but not the steal it was earlier. This is not one of my rated plays but instead a special situation wager---the kind of thing I spend way too much time searching for and rarely finding.
2* 6-2 +7.6 units
1* 27-21 +3.9 units
NFL YTD: 16-6 +13.15 units
2* 5-1 +7.8 units
1* 11-5 +5.35 units
Combined 49-29 +24.65 units
2* 11-3 +15.4 units
1* 38-26 +9.45 units
I absolutely love the Saturday card and think my three top plays are especially strong. As you can see from the above record, only one in about six of my plays are top plays and they have been very good (11-3).
2* NC State -6 (-115)
This set up is almost perfect. NC State is a quality team from a brutal conference that has played well and lost several tough games. They can still become bowl eligible, however, and this is their most winnable game. For Southern Miss, from a far weaker conference with several wins in which they were outplayed, this non-conf road game has little meaning. NC State is 14 points better if all things were even, but they are not. (Note: I was able to find this line and play it early Fri AM and most books have the game at -7 but I feel NC State wins by 20 so the line is irrelevant.)
2* Tulane pk
Marshall was killed last week by UTEP and faces another ugly travel week. They've gone from Texas to back home in West Virginia and now travel to Mobile for Tulane's "home" game. Tulane has held up pretty well given its lack of a home field this year and Marshall has been poor every time it's traveled this year. The pick 'em line is great value.
2* USC -29
I posted this pick earlier in the week to get this line (which I think will soar by Saturday). USC has tons of motivation now that it has fallen to second in the BCS standings and third place Virginia Tech won again Thursday night. Texas will crush Ok State so Southern Cal needs an impressive win to avoid---imagine this!!---falling to third in the BCS. They should annihilate Wash State. SC's at home, Carroll will show no mercy and SC is now two games removed from their tough win over Notre Dame.
1* Temple +22 1/2
Ugly pick of the week (these usually win). This is Temple's last home game for Wallace and Miami-OH has little motivation. Temple is rotten but showed improved play the last two weeks.
1* Western Michigan -6 1/2
Play the hot team. W-Mich crushed Bowling Green AT Bowling Green last week! (BG's QB was hurt, but the score was still 45-14 W Mich). Kent isn't very good. Western Michigan back home and the program may be back on track.
1* BYU -6
BYU is a much better team than Air Force whose coach just avoided getting fired this week. Air Force can't stop anybody.
1* Texas -37
I really hate laying 37 points on the road but Oklahoma State is the worst team in the Big 12 this year (including Kansas and Baylor). Texas has no tough games for the next several weeks so isn't looking ahead.
1* Oregon State -9
Good spot to go against Arizona off two hard fought losses at home. They now must travel to Oregon State and its big time offense which scored 28 on the road at UCLA and beat Cal on the road two weeks ago. Oreg State's lousy defense not a big issue because Arizona doesn't score.
*****
extra note: I suggested earlier this week a betting opportunity by playing North Texas +44 and the game OVER 49 1/2. This is a great play because it is almost impossible to lose both sides of the wager. The total on this game has since moved to 51 which makes this play still interesting but not the steal it was earlier. This is not one of my rated plays but instead a special situation wager---the kind of thing I spend way too much time searching for and rarely finding.
It's always noon somewhere! 
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