Monday Trends

[crswir]

Good Luck guys

[crswir]

Monday, October 31st

Baltimore at Pittsburgh, 9:00 EST ABC
Baltimore: 11-3 Under as an underdog
Pittsburgh: 16-6 ATS on Monday nights




Bye Week:
Atlanta Falcons
Indianapolis Colts
New York Jets
Seattle Seahawks

[crswir]

Pro Hockey Trend Report
MONTREAL (7-3-0-1, 15 pts.) at NY RANGERS (6-3-0-3, 15 pts.) - 10/31/2005, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 37-57 ATS (-23.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 7-18 ATS (+7.0 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 36-62 ATS (-64.9 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 59-94 ATS (-96.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 72-92 ATS (+72.0 Units) as a home underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 120-144 ATS (+120.0 Units) as a home favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 145-182 ATS (+145.0 Units) in home games against the puck line since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 36-56 ATS (+36.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 3-3 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 3-2-1 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)




FLORIDA (6-4-0-1, 13 pts.) at TORONTO (5-4-0-2, 12 pts.) - 10/31/2005, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 56-84 ATS (-37.2 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
FLORIDA is 146-163 ATS (-58.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
FLORIDA is 148-215 ATS (-81.3 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line since 1996.
TORONTO is 31-18 ATS (+6.4 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 2-2 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 2-1-1 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

[Spark]

NFL Week 8 analysis
Ravens (2-4) @ Steelers (4-2)- Home side won six of last eight series games with Ravens losing last four visits to this site, by 17-3-19-13 points. Five of last seven series games were won by 13+ pts, with four of last six series totals 43+. Billick is 0-3 on road in '05, losing by 15-18-4; they're 0-3 as dog this year, minus-7 in TO's but 20-9 vs spread after their last 29 setbacks. In 69 drives this year, Ravens have six TD's, 25 3-and-outs, not good. Steelers ran ball for 166.5 ypg in wins, 79,93 in losses; road team won their last five games, with Pitt losing last two at Heinz. Cowher's team allowed 22+ points in three of last four games. Ray Lewis likely to miss this game with injury.

[Spark]

Hot teams
-- Rangers are 4-1 in their last five home games.

Cold teams
-- Montreal is 8-3, but lost last two games, allowing nine goals; they're 1-1 vs Rangers this year, including 5-2 loss at home two nights ago.
-- Florida is 2-4 on road this season; their last two games both went into OT. Toronto lost three of last four games; they got beat 8-0 at home by Ottawa Friday.

Totals
-- Over is 4-1 in last five Montreal games, but 2-8 in last ten Ranger games.
-- Last three Florida road games went over the total, as have seven of last ten Maple Leaf games. .

[Spark]

Monday's List of 13, wrapping up an NFL Sunday
13) When Rams blocked punt for TD Sunday, it was their first blocked punt for TD since 11/15/87, when Jerry Gray did it. Gray is now defensive coordinator for the Buffalo Bills.

12) It is no coincidence that Rams blocked punt this week, FG last week, under leadership of our new hero, Joe Vitt. Rams actually do football things now, like hit hard, run ball and try to play good special teams. They need to get guys healthy in the bye week, but at least they're not a joke anymore.

11) It is hard for me to express how much I dislike the rating system used for NFL QB's. Everyone quotes it like it is gospel but no one knows what it is, because it is very long equation like the ones we hated in Algebra. QBs with good completion percentages and solid TD/INT ratios score well, another way of saying it favors the dink passers.

10) My yardstick for QB? Watching him on third and 7, or in last 2:00 of a half. Does he compete, does he give his team a chance to win? Or, does he just bail out and save his stats, and his neck? Drew Brees might not be a great stat guy, but he leads his team. Same for Jake Delhomme.

9) Who do you think is having a more miserable season, Jim Haslett or Mike Tice? Their press conferences are painful.

8) Best sign at LSU Sunday: "Forget the Alamo" as Saints' fans try to keep their team in Louisiana.

7) Brett Favre threw four INTs in a nine-pass stretch during 21-14 loss at Cincinnati, then on the game's final play, made junior high like attempt, crossing line of scrimmage, then just throwing ball illegally, instead of lobbing Hail Mary behind line, giving his team a chance to win. Strange performance by Favre. Packers now 1-6 and sinking quickly.

6) Trent Green threw for 303 yards in the second half alone, three days after his dad died, but the Chiefs still lost, tossing away two red zone chances in second half of 28-20 loss.

5) Tampa Bay lost 15-10 at Candlestick, after sending Simeon Rice home for violating some team rule, which is a red flag to be sure. A win might have let the situation cool down, but a bad loss to 49ers with Carolina coming to town will make for a very long week at Buccaneer Place.

4) Rushing stats from Denver: Broncos 255, Eagles 79, as QB McNabb missed his first twelve pass attempts, then had pass that would have tied game at 28 picked off in end zone.

3) NFC West teams are now 0-8 vs spread as road underdogs in non-divisonal games.

2) Getting back to Saints for minute, how does Aaron Brooks get to keep his starting job? Granted, he didn't get protected well Sunday, but what makes anybody think the guy is good? Might a change bring improvement? Just asking........

1) By the way, I now feel that my Super Bowl prediction will probably not happen this year. Saints-Ravens? Ummm, no. Boller vs Brooks in the big game? What was I thinking?

[Spearit]

Thanx for the info Spark and crswir.

[Spark]

PITTSBURGH is 6-0 against the 1st half line (+6.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 14.2, OPPONENT 6.2 -

PITTSBURGH is 10-0 against the 1st half line (+10.0 Units) in home games when playing on Monday night since 1992.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 16.5, OPPONENT 1.9 -

PITTSBURGH is 6-0 against the 1st half line (+6.0 Units) versus the first half line in all games this season.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 14.2, OPPONENT 6.2 -

PITTSBURGH is 7-0 against the 1st half line (+7.0 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 15.7, OPPONENT 9.4 -

PITTSBURGH is 9-1 against the 1st half line (+7.9 Units) off 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 12.9, OPPONENT 7.5 -

PITTSBURGH is 8-1 against the 1st half line (+6.9 Units) after allowing 14 points or less last game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 14.5, OPPONENT 7.2 -

PITTSBURGH is 8-1 against the 1st half line (+6.9 Units) after a win by 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 16.2, OPPONENT 8.4 -

PITTSBURGH is 9-2 against the 1st half line (+6.8 Units) after playing their last game on the road over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 11.4, OPPONENT 6.8 -

PITTSBURGH is 12-2 against the 1st half line (+9.8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 15.8, OPPONENT 8.1 -

PITTSBURGH is 13-1 against the 1st half line (+11.9 Units) after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 14.5, OPPONENT 7.6 -

PITTSBURGH is 7-0 against the 1st half line (+7.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 16.7, OPPONENT 8.4 -

PITTSBURGH is 6-0 against the 1st half line (+6.0 Units) versus the first half line in all games this season.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 14.2, OPPONENT 6.2 -

PITTSBURGH is 12-2 against the 1st half line (+9.8 Units) as a favorite vs. the 1rst half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 14.2, OPPONENT 7.3 -

PITTSBURGH is 9-1 against the 1st half line (+7.9 Units) as a home favorite vs. the 1rst half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 13.5, OPPONENT 7.1 -

PITTSBURGH is 11-2 against the 1st half line (+8.8 Units) versus the 1rst half line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 14.1, OPPONENT

[Spearit]

Thanx Spark- As you and the rest of us know - these stats are damaging to Baltimores chances in the first half. I appreciate the sharing of trends- and I cap before using them. I also like Pitts Turnover Advantage of +1 per game against a subpar performance by Baltimore.

[Spark]

Your welcome Spear ... Does not look good for Balt does it???

[Spearit]

No - Can't see what secret weapon Baltimore uses to change this one- it certainly won't be their running game. I actually wish they had second half stats and even quarterly stats to break down games further. Good Luck tonight my friend.

[crswir]

Anytime Spearit. Bring em home!!