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Houston/CWS position by position analysis

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  • Houston/CWS position by position analysis

    These teams are so evenly matched, I wanted to go through position by position.

    Here's how I break it down:


    Starting pitching: I like the White Sox. Houston has the best starter in Oswalt, but 1 through 4, I'll take Chicago. White Sox shut down two offenses that are much better than Houston's, and this isn't the same Clemens that pitched the first several months of the season.

    Middle Relief: White Sox. Chicago had the 4th lowest bullpen ERA in the league and 3rd best batting average against. Wheeler and Qualls have been excellent in the post season, but Gallo is the only lefty out of the pen. The Sox pen is much deeper with Cotts, Hermanson, Politte, and a wildcard in El Duque.

    Closer: You have to give it to Lidge, but certainly not by much. Lidge has been anything but lights out. He's gotten into trouble in almost every post season outing. I called this out a few days ago, even before the Pujols homer. He has yet to have a 1-2-3 inning in the playoffs. Jenks has NASTY stuff....throws 100 with a ++ curveball.

    1B: I'll take Konerko over Berkman.

    2B: Biggio slightly over Iguchi. Biggio is still solid after all these years, and seems to come up with a big hit or gets on base when they need it. Iguchi does all the little things right....very good defense, bunts, hit and run, steals a few bases and hits for some power.

    SS: Uribe. Better offensively and has better range and a cannon for an arm.

    3B: Ensberg. This is probably the one position where Houston has a definitive advantage. Crede has come up with some huge post season hits, and could have easily been the ALCS MVP, but he still scares me defensively at times, and Ensberg can flat out hit.

    LF: Podsednik over Burke. Podsednik makes this offense go, and makes pitchers focus on him when he gets on base.

    CF: Rowand. If he doesn't win a gold glove this year, he will soon. He'll be an All-Star in the next 3 years. Tavarez will cause problems (much like Podsednik) if he gets on, but as many Astros fans know, he needs to get on base more and take more walks.

    RF:Dye over Lane. Lane is very solid, but Dye has a little more power, hits for a little higher average, and still an above average defender with a terrific arm.

    C: Toss-up. Pick your poison, Ausmus clearly the better defensive catcher, Pierzynski clearly the better hitter.

    DH: I like Carl Everett better than the Bagwell/Lamb/Palmeiro combo. Carl's average was down, but was one of their best clutch hitters, hitting .317 with runners on, and .297 with RISP and 2 outs.

    Bench: I'll take Houston's, as I think they have better hitters who are more used to pinch-hitting, which will be more important for the CWS now with no DH in Houston. Vizcaino/Palmeiro/Bagwell are all better hitters than what Chicago can counter with (Timo Perez/Blum/Ozuna). Chicago does have a lot more speed off the bench, with Willie Harris/Ozuna.

    Even though I think the Sox have an advantage at most positions, most of them are a very small edge. I think these two teams are pretty evenly matched, and I can't imagine this thing going less than 6 games. With that in mind, I'll take the White Sox in 7.

  • #2
    just because I took so long to type this fucker up, I'm bumping it myself!!!!

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    • #3
      Nice post hoosier I am taking Sox also
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      • #4
        Nice write up and agree with all but one......Berkman beats out Konerko!
        Really good info and analysis!
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        • #5
          Go White Sox!!!

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          • #6
            Nice analysis, Hoosier. The one thing I would add, however, is that Houston has the best pitching staff that the White Sox have faced in the post season. I agree with your analysis that these two teams are evenly matched. But the White Sox, like the Astros, have been prone to offensive cold streaks. And the Astros starting rotation could certainly induce one of those streaks...much like they did for the Cards. It should definitely be a tightly-contested series. Good luck to you.

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            • #7
              Good analysis.
              I think though one must consider that pitchers like Pettitte and Clemens have big time experience in WS, which might give them an edge.
              Also, ome cannot overlook the fact that team momentum can sometimes override player by player comparisons, and the Astros have been on a major tear for the second half of the season.
              That being said, from my perspective, I am simply going to sit back. enjoy and collect no matter who wins.

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              • #8
                Nice stuff...

                I think the bullpen by far is an advantage of Houston's, especially the closer position.

                And I think even though the Sox dominated in the LCS, I think Houston has better starting pitching. I base that on experience. Pettite, Oswalt and Clemens have been in the playoffs before, with Pettite and Clemens in the WS. No one with the exception of Contreas I believe have World Series experience. I think Garcia made the playoffs with the M's.

                I think we have a lot of low scoring games. But we'll see.

                Good luck to all the White Sox and Houston backers.

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                • #9
                  looks like you're really liking the sox in almost every category.

                  GL!!!

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                  • #10
                    Originally posted by savage1
                    Good analysis.
                    I think though one must consider that pitchers like Pettitte and Clemens have big time experience in WS, which might give them an edge.
                    Also, ome cannot overlook the fact that team momentum can sometimes override player by player comparisons, and the Astros have been on a major tear for the second half of the season.
                    That being said, from my perspective, I am simply going to sit back. enjoy and collect no matter who wins.
                    savage, did you have futures wagers on both Houston and CWS?

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                    • #11
                      Garth-The bigger one is for $100 to win $2200 on Chicaco.
                      Actually, a few says ago, I bet $50 on Houston at 5-1(after game 5).
                      The most important thing is that I am setting this up so that I come out ahead around $1100 or maybe $1200 no matter who wins.(I will bet enough on Houston on current line to ensure this).
                      Last edited by savage1; 10-21-2005, 02:16 PM.

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                      • #12
                        Originally posted by savage1
                        Garth-The bigger one is for $100 to win $2200 on Chicaco.
                        Actually, a few says ago, I bet $50 on Houston at 5-1(after game 5).
                        The most important thing is that I am setting this up so that I come out ahead around $1100 or maybe $1200 no matter who wins.(I will bet enough on Houston on current line to ensure this).
                        Actually the Houston bet was at 2.5/1 and I bet $100 to make $250;I wasn't thinking when I said $50 at 5/1.

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                        • #13
                          Nice situation for you, savage.

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                          • #14
                            Garth-yes;even I get a little lucky once in a while.
                            To be truthful though, it isn't all profit, as I had some small futures bet which went down the drain with St. Louis, the Yankees(that was fun to lose) and ugh, the Dodgers.

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                            • #15
                              good write up---thanks for your input---kapt


                              Don't make me go Cajun on your Ass!

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