Frankb And Nba

[LSUMONSTER]

I Can't Wait For Your Nba Picks This Season. Just 1 Question For You, Should I Just Bet The 5 ***** Only ?
Thanks.

[frankb03]

Only a few more weeks.

I'd play them all. I wouldn't bet only the 5*

[frankb03]

NBA 04/05 Posted Record

Overall 106-72 59.6% +10351

10* 1-0
5* 19-10 (Before ending the season 0-3 with my 5* I was on a 12-3 run)
4* 3-0
3* 22-14
2* 33-22
1* 27-25
?? 1-1 (my records don't indicate the rating)

[illjaunt]

Frank, thanks for the updated records!

[BackDoorCvr]

Great year last year Frank. Personally, I find it amazing that anyone could win money betting on a league where players legitimately put forth effort every other game or so and 25 pt. second half leads are never safe. Best of luck to you this year - I hope you do even better.

[Hoosier Daddy]

Frank, don't know your thoughts, but NBA was clearly my best sport last year, with the Huggie Bears going like 13-1 or similar. But the best plays for me were very early in the year. I think a lot of teams go on runs when people don't realize how good/bad they are yet. For example, the Wizards were much improved, yet were always getting points against teams that weren't as good as them. They were 10-3 ATS to start the season, and at one point, covered 7 straight. And the Suns covering 8 of their first 11, and the Bulls having 13 of 16 games go under after the first 2 weeks. The reverse goes for teams with a lot of hype, like Miami, who only covered 4 of their first 15 games or Boston covering 5 of their first 17.

[garth]

Nice! I'll be following. Thanks, frank.

[BackDoorCvr]

Frank, don't know your thoughts, but NBA was clearly my best sport last year, with the Huggie Bears going like 13-1 or similar. But the best plays for me were very early in the year. I think a lot of teams go on runs when people don't realize how good/bad they are yet. For example, the Wizards were much improved, yet were always getting points against teams that weren't as good as them. They were 10-3 ATS to start the season, and at one point, covered 7 straight. And the Suns covering 8 of their first 11, and the Bulls having 13 of 16 games go under after the first 2 weeks. The reverse goes for teams with a lot of hype, like Miami, who only covered 4 of their first 15 games or Boston covering 5 of their first 17.

You're absolutely right Hoosier. You have to find those sort of teams and trends early & pound them often. Same holds true in the NCAA.

[Tony Vegas]

i am following this year Frankie Stats so pick me some winnas!

[10DimeBry]

I Want A 5* Dammit!!!!

[frankb03]

Frank, don't know your thoughts, but NBA was clearly my best sport last year, with the Huggie Bears going like 13-1 or similar. But the best plays for me were very early in the year. I think a lot of teams go on runs when people don't realize how good/bad they are yet. For example, the Wizards were much improved, yet were always getting points against teams that weren't as good as them. They were 10-3 ATS to start the season, and at one point, covered 7 straight. And the Suns covering 8 of their first 11, and the Bulls having 13 of 16 games go under after the first 2 weeks. The reverse goes for teams with a lot of hype, like Miami, who only covered 4 of their first 15 games or Boston covering 5 of their first 17.

Daddy, I remember you did well last year. I started posting in early February. Obviously all of my posted plays were at the tail end of the season.

[frankb03]

Great year last year Frank. Personally, I find it amazing that anyone could win money betting on a league where players legitimately put forth effort every other game or so and 25 pt. second half leads are never safe. Best of luck to you this year - I hope you do even better.

I think one of the reason I do well is because I go against conventional wisdom.

As an example. NBA bettors put too much emphasis on rest. I often play on teams on the back end of back-to-back games. I play against rested teams. Rested teams (3+ days) are often flat.

For me. The NBA is the easiest game to cap. Teams play 3 or 4 times each week. There's lots of factors.

[Jack Daniels]

Good luck this NBA season, Frank. I'll be on them all season long.

[moondog22]

I'll be following you too Frank

[Hoosier Daddy]

I agree Frank. That road team on back-to-back vs. a rested home team seems to do pretty well, especially early in the season. Now later in the year, it seemed like it was tougher for back-to-back games because people started getting a little more banged up and tired. Remember, a lot of these guys are between 19 and 23 and can run for days.

Just looking at what teams did in the offseason, here are a few that I'll be watching very closely early in the season:

Atlanta - I really like their starting lineup of Smith/Childress/Harrington/Johnson and I think Pachulia will be a pretty decent center. Although I'm worried about how Collier's death will effect them, as being such a young team, they could either be devastated in which case they'll be a good fade, or move on full force, in which case they'll be a good play because people will be thinking they will be devastated.

Chicago - Very good defensive team and I guess Hinrich has looked great in camp so far. Good team for unders, especially if Deng, Chandler and Nocioni are getting minutes, which they should.

Denver - With Voshon Lenard back, this team should put up a lot of points, but with all the Carmelo backers, not sure if you'll have that early line value you will with some of the others

Golden State - With a healthy Baron Davis, this team will pile on the points.

Minnesota - I'm thinking a good fade team early. Outside of Garnett, there's No Defense Wally, Jaric, Hassell and Kandi Man....YUCK

NY Knicks - a LOT of overs as this team will jack up the 3s with Q and Crawford. In the 2nd half of last year, these guys were the top 2 in 3s/game. Throw in Eddy Curry who has never been a good defensive player, and I'm hammering anything where the total is 205 or less.

Utah - Always tough at home, even with shitty players. Now AK47 is healthy, as is Harpring along with an actual PG in rookie Deron Williams. This team will be one to watch early in the season, especially at home.

Washington - This year, I'll be looking to fade these guys in the early going. Making it to the 2nd round of the playoffs gave them more publicity, but replacing Larry Hughes with Antonio Daniels will have a huge effect, IMO.