Weazels Big NFL Sunday Plays+GOM

[weazel079]

The last few weeks I have been posting plays from system and both College and NFL. Well it hasn't been working to well so I'm going to start capping the old fashion way, how I see it. It has been working in baseball so hopefull it will start today. GL everyone

GOM Browns +6 -107 for 10 units

The Browns have been one of the more suprsing and steady teams in the league going 3-1 ATS. They have played well on the road so far this season winning in GB, and playing tough with Indy only allowing 13 points. Just last week they played a stingy defense against the Bears limiting them to six points. I don't see the Ravens scoring hardly any points again today. I see a lot of value here with 6 points as the line opened at 4 and has increased to 6. I think 4 was somewhat reasonable now this line is just wrong. From what I have seen so far this season the Ravens have showed me nothing. This game should be about a pickem. I think the Ravens are a bottom of the barrel team, probably one of the 5 worst teams. They have been routed by the Colts, Lions, and pretty much whipped by the Titans. There only win was a nail biter against the humble NY Jets and Brooks Bollinger. Anthony Wright is good for a few mistakes today as he is just awful.
I think this game is decided by a late FG and possibly a Browns win. GL

Chargers -1 +102 for 8 units

Both these teams have dissapointing records but both are very talented and much better than there records show. I feel the Chargers are one of the better teams in the league (to 10) and this is a must win for them.

Cowboys -3 -110 for 8 uints

Yes the Giants are 3-1, but I don't think they are as good as their record shows. They have played a lot of mediocre teams at home and I don't thin they are proven yet after being destroyed by the Chargers. Even with J. Jones out I still like the Boys and Drew to shred the Giants secondary.

Jax +3 +103 for 4 units

I think this is a very close and low scoring game coming down to a FG, I like Jax here even with Rothlisberger in there. Pittsburgh is coming off a tough and physical monday night game now has one of the most physical teams in the league in Jacksonville.

GL today everyone

[tkim11]

I like it...good luck

[moondog22]

good luck weazel

[weazel079]

Profitable day so far, but lost my big play on the Browns. Early turnovers really put the Browns in a tough spot. Two more plays. I think the two night games coming up are the best ones for betting so far this season.

Texans +9 -110 for 5 units

Hmm, Houston getting 9 against a unpredictable Seattle team. The angle I really like here is Seattle is 0-5 vs the AFC the last 2 seasons. The NFC West is a horrible division and Houston has had to face some quality teams so far, but they have played poorly. Houston does have some talent on both sides of the ball and I am hoping and feeling they are going to gel in tonights game. I think the key here is the Texans to score first and build some momentum and confidence. If they score first I will be very confident in the cover. Go Texans

Teaser: Texans +16/ Indy -6.5 odds 10 to 13 for 6 units
The Rams are another NFC west team who I like fading when playing an AFC team in the situation is right. Rams secondary is the single worst unit on any team in football right now, not to mention there special teams is almost just as bad. Giving up 81 points in consecutive weeks to Eli Manning and Joe Jurevicius sells me they are bad. The Rams defenders haven’t been particularly close to covering anyone in either game as wide reciever have be running free and open all over the field. The loss of Mike Martz may actually keep this game closer as he is just plain awful. The Rams could play with some motivation and adrenaline as playcaller Steve Fairchield is likely to run the ball more. But it’s time for Peyton Manning to do what he does best. Rack up stats and look incredible against terrible opponents on national television. The only reason I'm teasing this is because of the backdoor.

GL