Blue Jackets @ DUCKS Fri Oct 14

[dave T]

Foots: 24-11-1 +11.80
Ice: 1-1-0 -0.05

Fri Oct 14
DUCKS PK -200

gl,
dave

[ChuckLazar]

GL Dave!!

[dave T]

Thanks. Kinda' smartin' right now. For the second day in a row my "leans" swept the board to no avail. I went with the flames (lost) and missed out on my other 3 opinions (astros, clemson, rangers). Oh well...

[TheRook]

Dave,

Thoughts on the Puck line? I'm experimenting with it and will see over the weekend how it goes.

Very similar to the run line in baseball. You ever use it?

[dave T]

I'm often tempted to use the runline. But there have been too many times when I regretted it.

Last Sunday Night I LOVED the Jags to "win the ball game", and I LOVED the Yankess to "win the ball game".

A simple 2-team moneyline parlay would've paid +163 (rather than lay -220 with the Yanks and -160 w/jags).

But nooooo, I had to get GREEDY! I went with the Yankees -1.5. They won the game 3-2, and even though I called both games correctly, I lost the bet.

As far as the puckline goes, just like the runline in bases, I'm sure there will be times when it look inviting. But a good example of why not to was Wednesday night...

I liked the Canadiens over the Thrashers. The game pays +130. Why would I lay -240 betting that Montreal will lose by exactly 1 goal? That's what it means to do that. Because if Montreal loses by 2 or more, I'm going to lose no matter how I bet it. One way I lose 100 and the other way 240.

If Montreal wins, I win 130 instead of 100. So in essense, to play the puckline I'm saying I think the game will end in a way where Montreal loses by exactly 1 goal.

As far as playing puckline faves, I might be willing to do that. I'm passing on the puckline tonight because it is still early in the season. I like Anaheim to win. That's all. But if I find circumstances where is a game looks like a run-a-way, I might lay the 1.5 for better value.

It depends. If I am highly confident that my team is going to win and I have another game on the board that I feel as strongly about, I'll parlay the high juice down.

But I won't go out of my way to "force" a second game to "make" a parlay just in order to get the juice down. If I only have the 1 game, whether or not I lay the wood or the goal sometimes depends on how greedy or stupid I get, and other times I am fully persuaded that lay the goal point five.

I remember a few months ago I posted a MLB BLOWOUT game at b-chat and recommended the runline for better value. The Red Sox led 6-0 over the D'Rays after 3 innings and went on to cover easy. But I was fully persuaded, unlike Sunday night when the only thing I was fully persuaded about was that the Yankees would "win". Laying the run point five was just greed in that instant.

So, sometimes I'll lay the line, but I don't like laying extra wood to "buy" the line. I'd rather take odds.

dt

[griffey_mojo]

GL tonight Dave!

[Lsufan]

Good Luck Dave!!!

[the lumberjack]

one guy i use has the puck line.
his lines are either pick, -1 puck, or -2 pucks. sometimes -1.5 but not too often.
tonite the ducks will probably be -1 puck 110 to win 100.
last nite florida was a pick with him. -145 with a book. they lost.
the other nite he had the flyers a pick. the book had -165. they lost.
last nite i had tb -1. 110 to win 100. the book -200. they lost.
i am getting great lines but am still not having success.
tonite i will probably play col pick and ducks -1. i believe those will be his lines.
gl everybody.

[bwade210]

GL Dave!