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There are always some good dog plays during the playoffs and I will post the ones I find. Value will also be a factor in finding which dogs to play. If there are games where I like the favorite better than the dog, I will just pass, which will happen more often than not.. As I did during the season my dogs include puppies that are small favorites of -120 or less.
The first game tomorrow is very interesting. In most catigories San Diego and St. Louis are closer than you think. St Louis batted .270 this season 15 points better than San Diego's. But, in the all important On Base Percentage these two are just about even. St Louis at .334 and San Diego at .330. Granted, St. Louis does have an advantage in batting average but on base percentage is just about even. St. Louis does average 5.0 runs per game at home to San Diego's 4.6 runs on the road. The bullpens for both teams are both very good, 3.18 for St. Louis and 3.49 for San Diego.
On the surface,everyone probally thinks Chris Carpenter is the better pitcher tomorrow, but is he. Carpenter finished the year 21-5 with a 2.83 ERA. Jake Peavy was 13-7 with an ERA of 2.88. During the season Peavy missed two starts due to injury and the two games he pitched hurt before having to miss a start were his two worst starts of the year. He gave up 4 earned runs and 5 earned runs in 4 innings and 5 innings. Throw out these two starts and Peavy has an ERA of of just 2.61 for all his other starts. The closer you look at the pitching matchup, the more you will see a healthy Peavy is as good, if not better, than Carpenter. Also, and here is the kicker. During September Peavy had an ERA of 2.03 while Carpenters ERA was 5.73 and his last four starts were even worse.
Taking everything into consideration, St. Louis has an advantage batting but I feel San Diego, with Peavy, has the pitching advantage. Even with St. Louis at home, do you really feel their chances of winning this game are so great that you would lay 190. San Diego at +170 is a very live dog and the value here is tremendous. Take the Pads in Game 1 as a BIG DOG.
Right now, I have no idea who should win the Sox game, the White team or the Red team. I like the Angles tonight but currently they are the favorite, making this a no play. Good Luck everyone throughout the playoff's. I'll be back the next time I see a Dog Play with good value.
The first game tomorrow is very interesting. In most catigories San Diego and St. Louis are closer than you think. St Louis batted .270 this season 15 points better than San Diego's. But, in the all important On Base Percentage these two are just about even. St Louis at .334 and San Diego at .330. Granted, St. Louis does have an advantage in batting average but on base percentage is just about even. St. Louis does average 5.0 runs per game at home to San Diego's 4.6 runs on the road. The bullpens for both teams are both very good, 3.18 for St. Louis and 3.49 for San Diego.
On the surface,everyone probally thinks Chris Carpenter is the better pitcher tomorrow, but is he. Carpenter finished the year 21-5 with a 2.83 ERA. Jake Peavy was 13-7 with an ERA of 2.88. During the season Peavy missed two starts due to injury and the two games he pitched hurt before having to miss a start were his two worst starts of the year. He gave up 4 earned runs and 5 earned runs in 4 innings and 5 innings. Throw out these two starts and Peavy has an ERA of of just 2.61 for all his other starts. The closer you look at the pitching matchup, the more you will see a healthy Peavy is as good, if not better, than Carpenter. Also, and here is the kicker. During September Peavy had an ERA of 2.03 while Carpenters ERA was 5.73 and his last four starts were even worse.
Taking everything into consideration, St. Louis has an advantage batting but I feel San Diego, with Peavy, has the pitching advantage. Even with St. Louis at home, do you really feel their chances of winning this game are so great that you would lay 190. San Diego at +170 is a very live dog and the value here is tremendous. Take the Pads in Game 1 as a BIG DOG.
Right now, I have no idea who should win the Sox game, the White team or the Red team. I like the Angles tonight but currently they are the favorite, making this a no play. Good Luck everyone throughout the playoff's. I'll be back the next time I see a Dog Play with good value.
It's always noon somewhere! 
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