Trends Monday

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Monday, October 3

Green Bay at Carolina, 9:05 EST ABC
Green Bay - 7-0 Over off 3+ losses
Carolina - 30-16 ATS off a road loss

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Monday, 10/3/2005

GREEN BAY (0 - 3) at CAROLINA (1 - 2) - 10/3/2005, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 41-22 ATS (+16.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
CAROLINA is 72-50 ATS (+17.0 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 94-68 ATS (+19.2 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
CAROLINA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Carolina: Fox is 9-2 Under in the first month of the season.

Green Bay: Sherman is 6-0 Over at home after scoring 14 or less points.

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Week 4 NFL Monday night action
Packers @ Panthers- Green Bay won six of eight series games, winning last three, but at 0-3, Pack is in trouble; they have 30th-ranked red zone defense (5.86), 26th black zone defense (2.43), and have forced only seven 3-and-outs on 30 drives (27th). Pack has one takeaway in three games; their minus-8 turnover ratio is worst in NFL, and now they visit Panther squad reeling from upset loss at Miami. Carolina's defense seems to be problem; they're 26th on 3rd down (45%), 23rd in red zone (4.89), 22nd in black zone (three 80+ yard TD drives in 13 tries), and only nine 3-and-outs forced in 32 drives. Tough to give Favre more than TD, especially in national spotlight, but Carolina superior team here.

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13) The six QB's active for Jet-Raven game might be the worst set of QB's ever for any NFL game. What a dismal game to watch; I fully expected a punt on first down. Will Jets pull trigger on a trade? Either way, it looks possible that their 2005 could be a train wreck.

By the way, the six QB's are: Bollinger-Kingsbury and 42-year old Testaverde......Wright-Anderson-Stewart Arenaball games have better passers.

12) But please, Jets, don't suggest that Chris Simms is the answer; he isn't, unless the question is, How do we get Herm Edwards fired? Kitma, Volek, Rivers are all viable options, but do not trade for young Simms.

11) First half of Ram-Giant game ended at 3:00; very long half, filled with plenty of poor defense. Someone in St Louis needs to watch the NFL Network, so they know who the best receiver on each team is- Plaxico Burress looked like combo of Jerry Rice/Randy Moss and Lance Alworth in the first half. Couldn't cover him or wouldn't cover him, but sure didn't cover him.

10) Lot more punts downed near goal line on the new artifical turf fields, which are less bouncy.

9) Joe Theismann must have something against Kurt Warner; when he went on air, backed Marc Bulger in QB competition vs Warner in St Louis, I figured it was because Bulger's father is old college buddy. But he did it once again Sunday night, saying Arizona should stick with McCown. Would be nice to know why.

8) In two home games, 49ers scored six TD's on 22 drives; in two road losses, they scored zero TD's on 23 drives. Their defense looked shot in second half last night, as Cardinals scored on seven straight drives.

7) By the way. Mexico City's elevation is 2,000 feet higher than Denver's Mile High altitude; conditioning is obviously a huge factor in any event there.

6) Chargers outrushed Patriots 183-73, as champs, at 2-2, have yet to run for 100+ yards in a game.

5) Cardinals and Saints shared field position honors, with plus-17 edges in average starting position. That is a huge statistic, encompassing turnovers, special teams and should not be overlooked.

4) In his post-game press conference, Michael Vick said next week's Falcon-Patriot game should be good game, since "...both teams have great quarterbacks.." Not so fast, fella.......only the Patriots do.

3) Rams threw 62 passes Sunday; Bulger was sacked only once. Good job by rookie Alex Barron at tackle but this team just doesn't play consistently enough to beat a good team at home, much less on the road.

2) Charger situation is so interesting, as Brees leads team to another 40+-point performance, while rookie Rivers, albeit a second-year rookie, sits, waits. Good chance for Chargers to make a killing by trading him to QB-hungry team (Jets?).

1) So you combine the way the Rams played defense Sunday, with the way the Jets played offense, and you can understand how Cumberland College once lost a game to Georgia Tech, 222-0. They were that bad.

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Indexes

Monday, October 3, 2005
MDT TV Favorite & Rating Spr. Underdog & Rating Score +/-
7:00p ABC Carolina Panthers* 139 9 Green Bay Packers 133 -
*Home Team = + 3 points **Neutral Field
Spr. = Expected Pointspread

Dunkel
MONDAY, OCTOBER 3
Carolina* 131.6 (7) Green Bay 124.6
Total Points: 43

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BOSTON (95 - 67) at CHI WHITE SOX (99 - 63) - 4:05 PM
MATT CLEMENT (R) vs. JOSE CONTRERAS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 36-42 (-18.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 52-43 (-6.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 67-33 (+27.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 28-13 (+12.1 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 44-32 (+11.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 100-62 (+26.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 36-20 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 90-57 (+21.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 77-42 (+28.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CONTRERAS is 40-23 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 15-5 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in October games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 70-40 (+28.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
BOSTON is 86-55 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 8-15 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-3 (+0.3 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.6 Units)



MATT CLEMENT vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
CLEMENT is 2-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 5.23 and a WHIP of 1.377.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+2.9 units)



JOSE CONTRERAS vs. BOSTON since 1997
CONTRERAS is 2-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 10.52 and a WHIP of 2.182.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+2.8 units)




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[Spark]

Tuesday, 10/4/2005


SAN DIEGO (82 - 80) at ST LOUIS (100 - 62) - 1:05 PM
JACOB PEAVY (R) vs. CHRIS CARPENTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 82-79 (-5.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 80-78 (-8.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 205-123 (+30.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 151-94 (+23.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 87-54 (+21.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 210-127 (+30.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CARPENTER is 25-7 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
CARPENTER is 24-7 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
SAN DIEGO is 7-2 (+9.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175 this season.
ST LOUIS is 48-49 (-22.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 4-3 (+2.6 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)



JACOB PEAVY vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
PEAVY is 0-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 2.81 and a WHIP of 1.364.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)



CHRIS CARPENTER vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
CARPENTER is 2-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.071.
His team's record is 2-2 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)




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BOSTON (95 - 67) at CHI WHITE SOX (99 - 63) - 4:05 PM
MATT CLEMENT (R) vs. JOSE CONTRERAS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 36-42 (-18.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 52-43 (-6.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 67-33 (+27.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 28-13 (+12.1 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 44-32 (+11.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 100-62 (+26.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 36-20 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 90-57 (+21.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 77-42 (+28.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CONTRERAS is 40-23 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 15-5 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in October games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 70-40 (+28.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
BOSTON is 86-55 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 8-15 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-3 (+0.3 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.6 Units)



MATT CLEMENT vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
CLEMENT is 2-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 5.23 and a WHIP of 1.377.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+2.9 units)



JOSE CONTRERAS vs. BOSTON since 1997
CONTRERAS is 2-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 10.52 and a WHIP of 2.182.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+2.8 units)