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Thursday NCAA Football - 9/29
This is my play for tonight's Mountain West matchup.....
NCAA Football
3 STAR: OVER 61.5 Air Force @ Colorado State
Risking $330 to win $300
Line from WSEX on 9/29/05
Its not often that you say a total in the 60's looks like a reasonable number, but I think that is the case here. Colorado State's rushing defense is 93rd in the nation allowing 188 yards per game and they are up against an Air Force rushing attack that is 11th in the nation averaging 257 yards per game. The Colorado State passing offense is ranked 18th in the nation at 292 yards per game and they will be attacking an Air Force pass defense that is 97th in the nation allowing 267 yards per game throught the air. Both of these teams are bottom of the barrel when it comes to scoring defense. Air Force is 75th in the nation allowing 28.3 points per game, while Colorado State is 104th in the nation allowing 36 point per game. If these teams only give up these same averages tonight this game goes over the total, but I expect there to be more points due to the fact that each teams offense is attacking the other teams biggest weakness on defense. Colorado State has played all three of their games over the total this season and Air Force has been over the total in three out of their four games this season. I see an old fashioned WAC type shootout here!
2005/2006 NCAA FOOTBALL RECORD
5 STAR RECORD 3-3 (-2.00 UNITS)
3 STAR RECORD 5-3 (+5.10 UNITS)
2 STAR RECORD 2-1 (+1.80 UNITS)
1 STAR RECORD 3-2 (+0.80 UNITS)
OVERALL RECORD 13-9 (+5.70 UNITS)
A $100 player would up $570
NCAA Football
3 STAR: OVER 61.5 Air Force @ Colorado State
Risking $330 to win $300
Line from WSEX on 9/29/05
Its not often that you say a total in the 60's looks like a reasonable number, but I think that is the case here. Colorado State's rushing defense is 93rd in the nation allowing 188 yards per game and they are up against an Air Force rushing attack that is 11th in the nation averaging 257 yards per game. The Colorado State passing offense is ranked 18th in the nation at 292 yards per game and they will be attacking an Air Force pass defense that is 97th in the nation allowing 267 yards per game throught the air. Both of these teams are bottom of the barrel when it comes to scoring defense. Air Force is 75th in the nation allowing 28.3 points per game, while Colorado State is 104th in the nation allowing 36 point per game. If these teams only give up these same averages tonight this game goes over the total, but I expect there to be more points due to the fact that each teams offense is attacking the other teams biggest weakness on defense. Colorado State has played all three of their games over the total this season and Air Force has been over the total in three out of their four games this season. I see an old fashioned WAC type shootout here!
2005/2006 NCAA FOOTBALL RECORD
5 STAR RECORD 3-3 (-2.00 UNITS)
3 STAR RECORD 5-3 (+5.10 UNITS)
2 STAR RECORD 2-1 (+1.80 UNITS)
1 STAR RECORD 3-2 (+0.80 UNITS)
OVERALL RECORD 13-9 (+5.70 UNITS)
A $100 player would up $570
It's always noon somewhere! 
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