Tweet
Denver has allowed a second string quarterback at best(Gus Ferotte) to torch them for 275 yards and two touchdowns in their opening week loss to the Dolphins, 34-10. They allowed 151 rushing yards in that contest. So, they had to make a defensive statement in their next game and to their credit they did just that in beating the Chargers 20-17. Tomlinson was held to only 55 yards rushing but, he did scamper for two rushing touchdowns in the second quarter of that game before the game turned into a defensive struggle.
The Chiefs are back on track this season and started their season by rushing over the Jets for 198 ground yards, but, they allowed 390 total yards of offense. The Seven NY Jet fumbles and one interception didn’t help the Jets cause that day. The Jets were obviously able to move the Ball on the Chiefs.
Next game, they go into Oakland and win 23-17. They again ran for over 100 yards and the Raiders gained 327 net yards. The Chiefs managed to force 3 fumbles in that game.
I think it’s easy to go with the trendy pick of looking at two improved defenses and completely forgetting about the head to head events that usually occur when these two teams meet. Remember, Shanahan and Vermeil have now coached against each other in this role for the last 4 seasons. The Broncos are 5-3 SU since Vermiel took over the Chiefs for the 02 season. The over is 7-1 in those games. Why should the way these two approach each other suddenly change? That’s just my opinion of course.
Both teams are pretty decent against the run and logic dictates that you want to run your offense into your opponents weakness right? Could we very well see a pass oriented approach to tonight’s game by both sides?
We will see!!
It’s so easy to try to overanalyze things but in the end, the trend is your friend.
Supporting trends:
• KC is 6-1 “over” their last 7 September road games;
• KC is 6-1 “over” their last 7 as an underdog;
• KC is 5-2 “over” last 3 seasons with a total of 45.5 to 49
• KC is 9-4 “over” last 13 vs. the division;
• KC is 6-2 “over” off a win vs. a division opponent;
• KC is 7-3-1 “over” as a division road dog in September;
• KC is 7-3 “over” their last 10 Monday night road games on Grass;
• KC is 7-4 “over” last 11 Monday night road games;
• KC is 13-6 “over” last 19 as a road underdog;
• KC 6-0 "over" last 6 as road dogs of 3 or less;
• KC is 9-4 “over” on the road off back to back wins;
• Denver is 12-4 “over” last 16 Monday night appearances;
• Denver is 9-1 “over” as a favorite of PK to -3 on grass before a conference game;
• Denver is 18-7-1 “over” at home in weeks 1 through 4 with a non-division conference game on deck;
• “Over” is 12-4 the last 16 head to head meetings AT Denver;
• “Over” is 8-2 the last 10 head to head meetings.
• “Over” has cashed 7 straight between these two.
THE PLAY OVER 47.5
LSU is hungry to play and at home, they are 10-2 ats in their SEC home openers. Tenn is 0-4 ats vs LSU in last 4. LSU has played 1 game and showed speed can kill.Yes Ainge will get the start tonight,you still might see Claussen after the Tigers Defense steam rolls Ainge. LSU will be fired up as will the fans, I see this game getting out of hand.
*Tenn...10-22 ATS in the 1st 6 games of the season
the last 6 seasons*
*Including 4-17 ATS in conference games*
*Tenn reminds me of Oklahoma,Michigan,Iowa just to
name a few.Teams that are highly ranked off of the
previous season and are just not that good.
I think after Tenn gets whacked here they will not fall
out of the top 25 but it wil close.
THE PLAY LSU TIGERS -6.5
GOOD LUCK ALL
The Chiefs are back on track this season and started their season by rushing over the Jets for 198 ground yards, but, they allowed 390 total yards of offense. The Seven NY Jet fumbles and one interception didn’t help the Jets cause that day. The Jets were obviously able to move the Ball on the Chiefs.
Next game, they go into Oakland and win 23-17. They again ran for over 100 yards and the Raiders gained 327 net yards. The Chiefs managed to force 3 fumbles in that game.
I think it’s easy to go with the trendy pick of looking at two improved defenses and completely forgetting about the head to head events that usually occur when these two teams meet. Remember, Shanahan and Vermeil have now coached against each other in this role for the last 4 seasons. The Broncos are 5-3 SU since Vermiel took over the Chiefs for the 02 season. The over is 7-1 in those games. Why should the way these two approach each other suddenly change? That’s just my opinion of course.
Both teams are pretty decent against the run and logic dictates that you want to run your offense into your opponents weakness right? Could we very well see a pass oriented approach to tonight’s game by both sides?
We will see!!
It’s so easy to try to overanalyze things but in the end, the trend is your friend.
Supporting trends:
• KC is 6-1 “over” their last 7 September road games;
• KC is 6-1 “over” their last 7 as an underdog;
• KC is 5-2 “over” last 3 seasons with a total of 45.5 to 49
• KC is 9-4 “over” last 13 vs. the division;
• KC is 6-2 “over” off a win vs. a division opponent;
• KC is 7-3-1 “over” as a division road dog in September;
• KC is 7-3 “over” their last 10 Monday night road games on Grass;
• KC is 7-4 “over” last 11 Monday night road games;
• KC is 13-6 “over” last 19 as a road underdog;
• KC 6-0 "over" last 6 as road dogs of 3 or less;
• KC is 9-4 “over” on the road off back to back wins;
• Denver is 12-4 “over” last 16 Monday night appearances;
• Denver is 9-1 “over” as a favorite of PK to -3 on grass before a conference game;
• Denver is 18-7-1 “over” at home in weeks 1 through 4 with a non-division conference game on deck;
• “Over” is 12-4 the last 16 head to head meetings AT Denver;
• “Over” is 8-2 the last 10 head to head meetings.
• “Over” has cashed 7 straight between these two.
THE PLAY OVER 47.5
LSU is hungry to play and at home, they are 10-2 ats in their SEC home openers. Tenn is 0-4 ats vs LSU in last 4. LSU has played 1 game and showed speed can kill.Yes Ainge will get the start tonight,you still might see Claussen after the Tigers Defense steam rolls Ainge. LSU will be fired up as will the fans, I see this game getting out of hand.
*Tenn...10-22 ATS in the 1st 6 games of the season
the last 6 seasons*
*Including 4-17 ATS in conference games*
*Tenn reminds me of Oklahoma,Michigan,Iowa just to
name a few.Teams that are highly ranked off of the
previous season and are just not that good.
I think after Tenn gets whacked here they will not fall
out of the top 25 but it wil close.
THE PLAY LSU TIGERS -6.5
GOOD LUCK ALL
Comment