Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

NFL Week 3 - Early Play

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • NFL Week 3 - Early Play

    Here is my top play for Week 3. I would suggest getting it now before it jumps over the magic number.



    5 STAR: INDIANAPOLIS (-13.5) OVER Cleveland
    Line from BetJamacia on 9/20/05
    Risking $550 to win $500

    Its time for the Colts offense to get rolling and I look for them to do just that in this game. Indianapolis is off to a 2-0 start and their offense has done very little, its been the defense that has carried the load. The offense should be able to get on track this week as they host Cleveland. The Browns defense is second to the last in the NFL after their first two games against Cincinnati and Green Bay. Against a struggling Green Bay offense last week and a quarterback in Brett Favre that suddenly looks very old, they still allowed 24 points and 452 yards. We should see the Colts offense of last season come alive against this Cleveland defensive unit. On the other side of the ball, the Browns are not an offensive juggernaut, even thought Green Bay might have made them look like one. Trent Dilfer had an 80 yard touchdown pass to Braylon Edwards and a game sealing 62 yard pass to Steve Heiden late in the fourth quarter. These were not so much great offensive plays, but they were bad defensive plays. These were short passes that bad coverage and missed tackles turned into huge touchdown passes. The way the Colts defense is playing, I don't see this happening in this game. I give credit to Cleveland to capitalizing on the mistakes, but there is no doubt that Green Bay beat themselves in this game as the Browns were out gained 452 yards to 391 yards by Green Bay and ran 20 less offensive plays than the Packers. Cleveland got the win last week even though they allowed 452 yards to Green Bay, but they are only 5-18 against the spread now the last 23 times they have allowed 400 or more total yards, a number that the Colts should easily get to in this game. Cleveland is also 0-3 against the spread the last three seasons after a win by six points or less and just 1-2 against the spread the last three time they have been a double digit underdog. Don't think that they Colts won't be up for this game either, Indy is 9-1 against the spread after a win against a division rival and Tony Dungy teams are 14-3 against the spread after a game in which they scored 14 points or less. I'll eat the chalk here, this should be a blowout!




    2005/2006 NFL RECORD

    5 STAR RECORD 2-0 (+10.00 UNITS)
    3 STAR RECORD 2-2 (-0.60 UNITS)
    2 STAR RECORD 0-0 (+0.00 UNITS)
    1 STAR RECORD 1-1 (-0.10 UNITS)

    OVERALL RECORD 5-3 (+9.30 UNITS)
    A $100 player would up $930
    Good luck,
    John

  • #2
    I agree. Good luck John, and thanks for Culpepper.

    Comment


    • #3
      gl john!

      Comment


      • #4
        I'll probably be against you this weekend. Tough spot for Indy here. Indy is sandwiched between 2 division games.

        GL to you

        Comment


        • #5
          GL john!!

          Comment


          • #6
            gl john

            Comment


            • #7
              GL john like the call
              2013 NCAA POD Record

              8-3ATS +3.80 units

              2013 NFL POD Record

              1-2 ATS -4.50 units

              Comment


              • #8
                Goodluck!

                Comment


                • #9
                  Good Luck John
                  "Calling an illegal alien an 'undocumented immigrant'
                  is like calling a drug dealer an 'unlicensed pharmacist'"

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Looks like a winner, and nice explanation! Couldn't agree with you more!

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      I dont know if I agree with this pick.

                      I disagreed with the ND-M state pick last week but was put to shame.

                      Romeo Crennel is a disciple of Belichieck, who is always known for stuffing out the Colts. Romeo Crennel was D-Cordinator for all those patriot teams that shut down manning every time they played.

                      Of course the Browns Roster is a little bit different than the PATS.

                      However, I see this being a low scoring affair..

                      I definitely would put money on The UNDER 47

                      2* Bet 2 Units
                      Last edited by terpinator72; 09-20-2005, 11:44 PM.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        GL this weekend EZ!
                        It's always noon somewhere!

                        My Fish and Aquariums

                        Griffey's Posted Record

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Ez

                          Nice writeup and good analysis of the Browns-Packers game. I didn't look at the NFL games yet this week, but I do know its tough for teams to play back to back games on the road, especially with the Browns coming off a win. Their probably in a letdown situation and I have to agree with ya, the Colts offense is definitely due for a break out game. Good luck on your call and stay hot on the 5* buddy. I've been keeping tabs on your 5* and your hitting em pretty good!!!!!!


                          Krunch

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            GL on the play John!

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Goodluck on Sunday John!!!!!!!
                              Got it written down man, thanks!
                              "Sometimes it's not what you play, but what you don't play."

                              Comment

                              Working...
                              X