Here is my top play for Week 3. I would suggest getting it now before it jumps over the magic number.
5 STAR: INDIANAPOLIS (-13.5) OVER Cleveland
Line from BetJamacia on 9/20/05
Risking $550 to win $500
Its time for the Colts offense to get rolling and I look for them to do just that in this game. Indianapolis is off to a 2-0 start and their offense has done very little, its been the defense that has carried the load. The offense should be able to get on track this week as they host Cleveland. The Browns defense is second to the last in the NFL after their first two games against Cincinnati and Green Bay. Against a struggling Green Bay offense last week and a quarterback in Brett Favre that suddenly looks very old, they still allowed 24 points and 452 yards. We should see the Colts offense of last season come alive against this Cleveland defensive unit. On the other side of the ball, the Browns are not an offensive juggernaut, even thought Green Bay might have made them look like one. Trent Dilfer had an 80 yard touchdown pass to Braylon Edwards and a game sealing 62 yard pass to Steve Heiden late in the fourth quarter. These were not so much great offensive plays, but they were bad defensive plays. These were short passes that bad coverage and missed tackles turned into huge touchdown passes. The way the Colts defense is playing, I don't see this happening in this game. I give credit to Cleveland to capitalizing on the mistakes, but there is no doubt that Green Bay beat themselves in this game as the Browns were out gained 452 yards to 391 yards by Green Bay and ran 20 less offensive plays than the Packers. Cleveland got the win last week even though they allowed 452 yards to Green Bay, but they are only 5-18 against the spread now the last 23 times they have allowed 400 or more total yards, a number that the Colts should easily get to in this game. Cleveland is also 0-3 against the spread the last three seasons after a win by six points or less and just 1-2 against the spread the last three time they have been a double digit underdog. Don't think that they Colts won't be up for this game either, Indy is 9-1 against the spread after a win against a division rival and Tony Dungy teams are 14-3 against the spread after a game in which they scored 14 points or less. I'll eat the chalk here, this should be a blowout!
2005/2006 NFL RECORD
5 STAR RECORD 2-0 (+10.00 UNITS)
3 STAR RECORD 2-2 (-0.60 UNITS)
2 STAR RECORD 0-0 (+0.00 UNITS)
1 STAR RECORD 1-1 (-0.10 UNITS)
OVERALL RECORD 5-3 (+9.30 UNITS)
A $100 player would up $930
5 STAR: INDIANAPOLIS (-13.5) OVER Cleveland
Line from BetJamacia on 9/20/05
Risking $550 to win $500
Its time for the Colts offense to get rolling and I look for them to do just that in this game. Indianapolis is off to a 2-0 start and their offense has done very little, its been the defense that has carried the load. The offense should be able to get on track this week as they host Cleveland. The Browns defense is second to the last in the NFL after their first two games against Cincinnati and Green Bay. Against a struggling Green Bay offense last week and a quarterback in Brett Favre that suddenly looks very old, they still allowed 24 points and 452 yards. We should see the Colts offense of last season come alive against this Cleveland defensive unit. On the other side of the ball, the Browns are not an offensive juggernaut, even thought Green Bay might have made them look like one. Trent Dilfer had an 80 yard touchdown pass to Braylon Edwards and a game sealing 62 yard pass to Steve Heiden late in the fourth quarter. These were not so much great offensive plays, but they were bad defensive plays. These were short passes that bad coverage and missed tackles turned into huge touchdown passes. The way the Colts defense is playing, I don't see this happening in this game. I give credit to Cleveland to capitalizing on the mistakes, but there is no doubt that Green Bay beat themselves in this game as the Browns were out gained 452 yards to 391 yards by Green Bay and ran 20 less offensive plays than the Packers. Cleveland got the win last week even though they allowed 452 yards to Green Bay, but they are only 5-18 against the spread now the last 23 times they have allowed 400 or more total yards, a number that the Colts should easily get to in this game. Cleveland is also 0-3 against the spread the last three seasons after a win by six points or less and just 1-2 against the spread the last three time they have been a double digit underdog. Don't think that they Colts won't be up for this game either, Indy is 9-1 against the spread after a win against a division rival and Tony Dungy teams are 14-3 against the spread after a game in which they scored 14 points or less. I'll eat the chalk here, this should be a blowout!
2005/2006 NFL RECORD
5 STAR RECORD 2-0 (+10.00 UNITS)
3 STAR RECORD 2-2 (-0.60 UNITS)
2 STAR RECORD 0-0 (+0.00 UNITS)
1 STAR RECORD 1-1 (-0.10 UNITS)
OVERALL RECORD 5-3 (+9.30 UNITS)
A $100 player would up $930
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