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16-10-0 (+0.08 units)
I see that Ryan Hamby got some of my hate mail.... :angryfire :angryfire :angryfire
If he catches that TD pass and Ohio St. holds on I'm up over 20 units so far..... but I finally have to let that go....hopefully I'll hit my big play this weekend.
I don't really see anything I like on Thursday or Friday, so I'll just skip ahead to Saturday.
9/17
Maryland -3 (-108) vs. West Virginia 5*****
Maryland blew it in the 4th quarter on Saturday, relinquishing a 10 point lead against a solid Clemson team. 5 personal fouls obviously contributed to that loss, and you can be sure that the Fridge ripped into his team after the game. West Virginia's offense turned in another unimpressive performance over the weekend, managing just 35 points against a Wofford defense which only has 1 player weighing over 255 lbs! The week before that the Mountaineers offense was held scoreless by the Syracuse Orange, with their only TD coming on an interception return.
Since Ralph Friedgen took the Terps job in 2001 he has faced West Virginia 5 times, including once in the Gator Bowl. Maryland is 5-0 ATS in those 5 meetings, and has outscored WVU 171-70. I like the Terps to win this game by two touchdowns.
Tennessee +6.5 (-103) @ Florida 2**
This should be a great game and I think the oddsmakers are being too generous with the 6.5 points here. The road team won SU in this rivalry in 2001, 2002, and 2003. Last year Florida covered the spread in a losing effort in Knoxville. The underdog is 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings in this series. I wouldn't be surprised at all to see Tennessee win this game straight up and I'll glady take the points.
Florida St. @ Boston College UNDER 38 (-105) 2**
Florida St. has an absolutely loaded defense this season, especially at LB. The Noles held Miami (FL) to just 7 points in their opener 2 weeks ago. However, as good as their defense is, their offense might be just as bad. Florida St. scored only 13 points in the first half against The Citadel on Saturday, and just 3 in the first quarter, before blowing the game open in the second half. Florida St. QB Drew Weatherford look terrible against the Canes, and he should be held in check by a very talnted Boston College defense on Saturday. Their defense will again keep them in the game in what should be a great one. The UNDER is 17-4-1 in FSU's last 22 conference games, and is 26-12-1 in all FSU games since 2002.
Alabama -2 (-102) @ South Carolina 1*
I like the Tide in this spot. Alabama is 8-4-1 ATS in their last 13 SEC road games, while the Gamecocks are just 3-9 ATS at home in SEC play since 2002. I have to admit that I was impressed with South Carolina last week, but I think that Alabama will find a way to get this win behind the veteran Brodie Croyle.
Oklahoma (+228) @ UCLA 1*
Oklahoma has been downright terrible in the first two games of 2005. They got caught napping by TCU in Week 1, and then struggled to beat Tulsa last week at home. However, I still see the +228 as too much value to pass up on a team as talented as the Sooners. RB Adrian Peterson is a stud, and the the Sooners are loaded with prized recruits on both sides of the ball. I know that Peterson is in trouble for skipping a class and may not get the start, but I also am pretty certain that Stoops will stick him in the game as soon as things turn bad for his team. This may be a rebuilding year in Norman, but I still like their chances of winning this one.
Kentucky (+120) @ Indiana 1*
I was very impressed by Kentucky and QB Andre Woodson in their opener, as they almost shocked Louisville. Kentucky is 7-3 against Indiana the last 10 years in this border game, including wins in each of the last 3 seasons. The Wildcats just have more talent than the Hoosiers and should be able to get the win in this one.
Pittsburgh +10 (-110) @ Nebraska 1*
Pittsburgh is better than they have looked the first two weeks of the season, with proven players like QB Tyler Palko, WR Greg Lee, and LB H.B. Blades on the roster. They have spent the last week thinking about their embarassing loss to Ohio, and that should prove to be a wake up call to a talented, underachieving team. Nebraska's offense looked far from impressive last week against Wake Forest, even drawing some boos from the home town crowd. 10 points is too many to give to a veteran team in a game in which points will be at a premium.
I may post more as the week goes by but nothing else really jumps out at me.
Good luck this weekend guys!
I see that Ryan Hamby got some of my hate mail.... :angryfire :angryfire :angryfire
If he catches that TD pass and Ohio St. holds on I'm up over 20 units so far..... but I finally have to let that go....hopefully I'll hit my big play this weekend.
I don't really see anything I like on Thursday or Friday, so I'll just skip ahead to Saturday.
9/17
Maryland -3 (-108) vs. West Virginia 5*****
Maryland blew it in the 4th quarter on Saturday, relinquishing a 10 point lead against a solid Clemson team. 5 personal fouls obviously contributed to that loss, and you can be sure that the Fridge ripped into his team after the game. West Virginia's offense turned in another unimpressive performance over the weekend, managing just 35 points against a Wofford defense which only has 1 player weighing over 255 lbs! The week before that the Mountaineers offense was held scoreless by the Syracuse Orange, with their only TD coming on an interception return.
Since Ralph Friedgen took the Terps job in 2001 he has faced West Virginia 5 times, including once in the Gator Bowl. Maryland is 5-0 ATS in those 5 meetings, and has outscored WVU 171-70. I like the Terps to win this game by two touchdowns.
Tennessee +6.5 (-103) @ Florida 2**
This should be a great game and I think the oddsmakers are being too generous with the 6.5 points here. The road team won SU in this rivalry in 2001, 2002, and 2003. Last year Florida covered the spread in a losing effort in Knoxville. The underdog is 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings in this series. I wouldn't be surprised at all to see Tennessee win this game straight up and I'll glady take the points.
Florida St. @ Boston College UNDER 38 (-105) 2**
Florida St. has an absolutely loaded defense this season, especially at LB. The Noles held Miami (FL) to just 7 points in their opener 2 weeks ago. However, as good as their defense is, their offense might be just as bad. Florida St. scored only 13 points in the first half against The Citadel on Saturday, and just 3 in the first quarter, before blowing the game open in the second half. Florida St. QB Drew Weatherford look terrible against the Canes, and he should be held in check by a very talnted Boston College defense on Saturday. Their defense will again keep them in the game in what should be a great one. The UNDER is 17-4-1 in FSU's last 22 conference games, and is 26-12-1 in all FSU games since 2002.
Alabama -2 (-102) @ South Carolina 1*
I like the Tide in this spot. Alabama is 8-4-1 ATS in their last 13 SEC road games, while the Gamecocks are just 3-9 ATS at home in SEC play since 2002. I have to admit that I was impressed with South Carolina last week, but I think that Alabama will find a way to get this win behind the veteran Brodie Croyle.
Oklahoma (+228) @ UCLA 1*
Oklahoma has been downright terrible in the first two games of 2005. They got caught napping by TCU in Week 1, and then struggled to beat Tulsa last week at home. However, I still see the +228 as too much value to pass up on a team as talented as the Sooners. RB Adrian Peterson is a stud, and the the Sooners are loaded with prized recruits on both sides of the ball. I know that Peterson is in trouble for skipping a class and may not get the start, but I also am pretty certain that Stoops will stick him in the game as soon as things turn bad for his team. This may be a rebuilding year in Norman, but I still like their chances of winning this one.
Kentucky (+120) @ Indiana 1*
I was very impressed by Kentucky and QB Andre Woodson in their opener, as they almost shocked Louisville. Kentucky is 7-3 against Indiana the last 10 years in this border game, including wins in each of the last 3 seasons. The Wildcats just have more talent than the Hoosiers and should be able to get the win in this one.
Pittsburgh +10 (-110) @ Nebraska 1*
Pittsburgh is better than they have looked the first two weeks of the season, with proven players like QB Tyler Palko, WR Greg Lee, and LB H.B. Blades on the roster. They have spent the last week thinking about their embarassing loss to Ohio, and that should prove to be a wake up call to a talented, underachieving team. Nebraska's offense looked far from impressive last week against Wake Forest, even drawing some boos from the home town crowd. 10 points is too many to give to a veteran team in a game in which points will be at a premium.
I may post more as the week goes by but nothing else really jumps out at me.
Good luck this weekend guys!
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