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COMMING OFF A MISERABLE WEEK IN NCAA BUT GREAT IN NFL LETS SEE IF WE CAN DO BETTER THIS WEEK. I THINK SATURDAY WAS ONE OF THOSE WEEKENDS WHERE THE FAVORITES JUST ROLL THEIR COMPETITION. HOPEFULLY THIS WILL NOT BE REPEAT OF LAST SEASON WHEN I LOST THE FIRST FOUR WEEKS THEN DOMINATED BY WINNING THE NEXT 14. THATS WHY I HAD DECIDED TO REDUCE MY BETTING PER UNIT. ARMY JUMPED OUT TO A 7-0 LEAD THE BC SCORED THE NEXT FOUR TDS IN ABOUT 8 SECONDS, AND THE ARIZONA STATE PLAY. I THINK A CLOSE FRIEND OF MINE SAID IT BEST WHEN HE SAID "I'VE BEEN WATCHING FOOTBALL FOR 45 YEARS AND NEVER SAW BACK-TO-BACK POSSESSION THAT RESULTED IN A BLOCKED FIELD GOAL FOR A TD FOLLOWED BY A BLOCK PUNT FOR A TD. IT HAD TO BE DEVINE INTERVENTION IN THE END." WELL ENOUGH OF LAST WEEKS SUMMARY, AS ALWAYS I PLAY EVERY SELECTION I MAKE WITH MY OWN MONEY AND I BET ABOUT 1/2 OF WHAT I NORMALLY BET THE FIRST FOUR WEEKS OF THE SEASON. I WILL ONLY BE BETTING THESE GAMES FOR $100/UNIT SO ADJUST YOUR RATINGS ACCORDINGLY AS YOU SEE FIT. AS ALWAYS, BEST OF LUCK IF YOU DECIDE TO PLAY.
NOTE: IF THE LINE MOVES MORE THEN 2.5 POINTS OFF THE NUMBER THAT IS POSTED THEN IT IS A NO PLAY. THAT MEANS I WILL HAVE HEDGED MY BET.
8* MY TOP PLAY...VERY RARE (23-8 ) LAST 2 YEARS IN FOOTBALL (74%)
6-7* HIGH RATED SELECTION ONLY WHEN ALOT OF GAMES ON THE CARD TO CHOSE FROM (WELL OVER 60%)
5* EXCEPTIONAL PLAY USUALLY HIGHEST WHEN ONLY A FEW GAMES
4* VERY STRONG SELECTION
3* STRONG SELECTION
2* PROBABLE COVER (MOST COMMON RATING)
1* A GAME THAT SHOULD COVER
OPINION PLAY: GAME THAT I THINK MAY WIN BUT OFTEN JUST TO WATCH A GAME OR A LEAN USUALLY 1/2 A UNIT.
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SUMMARY OF NCAA SELECTIONS:
1* ARMY +6
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BAYLOR (2 - 0) at ARMY (0 - 1)
Week 3 Saturday, 9/17/2005 3:00 PM
vs 
Analysis
Does anybody think Baylor now (2-0) is a BCS team? The odd makers must think so with this line. Seriously Baylor has not started off a year at 3-0 since Moby Dick was a minnow. Baylor had lost 24 consecutive road games straight-up before breaking through against SMU in its opener, but asking it to win two on the road in three weeks is asking a bit much. I know its tough to follow but so far, Baylor beat SMU 28-23, the same SMU team that just upset TCU, and that was the TCU team that won at Oklahoma. Regardless, as mentioned above you can clearly that the Bears are getting some respect from odds makers and from Joe public. Now I know, and you should know that Baylor really isn't very good or fancy. They run the ball with a two-headed system of Paul Mosley (150 yards, 3.8 ypc) and Brandon Whitaker (131 yards), while QB Shawn Bell has 2 TDs and 2 INTs. Baylor is averaging 176 rush yards and we the game plan will be simple, run right at the Army defense that got mauled by Boston College last week, in a 44-7 loss, a game which I had selected in last weeks card. Army allowed 175 rush yards, 289 passing. But lets put things in perspective, Baylor doesn't have that kind of speed or power and should not even be mention in the same breath as Boston College. This is the start of a 4-game home stand for Army, and don't forget they averaged 24 ppg at home last season, going 3-2 ATS. The Black Knights formulated an impressive opening drive last week, moving 80 yards on 13 plays to claim an early 7-0 lead, but the Eagles responded by scoring on their next four possessions. Army does have a good offense/ground game with QB Zac Dahman and RB Carlton Jones, and they will be able to move the ball on a suspect Baylor 'D'. Army's all-time record in home openers stands at 94-18-3 (that’s 83.9%) and coach Bobby Ross will have the boys ready.
Forecast: Army 30, Baylor 27
PLAY 1* UNIT ON ARMY +6
NOTE: IF THE LINE MOVES MORE THEN 2.5 POINTS OFF THE NUMBER THAT IS POSTED THEN IT IS A NO PLAY. THAT MEANS I WILL HAVE HEDGED MY BET.
8* MY TOP PLAY...VERY RARE (23-8 ) LAST 2 YEARS IN FOOTBALL (74%)
6-7* HIGH RATED SELECTION ONLY WHEN ALOT OF GAMES ON THE CARD TO CHOSE FROM (WELL OVER 60%)
5* EXCEPTIONAL PLAY USUALLY HIGHEST WHEN ONLY A FEW GAMES
4* VERY STRONG SELECTION
3* STRONG SELECTION
2* PROBABLE COVER (MOST COMMON RATING)
1* A GAME THAT SHOULD COVER
OPINION PLAY: GAME THAT I THINK MAY WIN BUT OFTEN JUST TO WATCH A GAME OR A LEAN USUALLY 1/2 A UNIT.
------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY OF NCAA SELECTIONS:
1* ARMY +6
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BAYLOR (2 - 0) at ARMY (0 - 1)
Week 3 Saturday, 9/17/2005 3:00 PM
vs Analysis
Does anybody think Baylor now (2-0) is a BCS team? The odd makers must think so with this line. Seriously Baylor has not started off a year at 3-0 since Moby Dick was a minnow. Baylor had lost 24 consecutive road games straight-up before breaking through against SMU in its opener, but asking it to win two on the road in three weeks is asking a bit much. I know its tough to follow but so far, Baylor beat SMU 28-23, the same SMU team that just upset TCU, and that was the TCU team that won at Oklahoma. Regardless, as mentioned above you can clearly that the Bears are getting some respect from odds makers and from Joe public. Now I know, and you should know that Baylor really isn't very good or fancy. They run the ball with a two-headed system of Paul Mosley (150 yards, 3.8 ypc) and Brandon Whitaker (131 yards), while QB Shawn Bell has 2 TDs and 2 INTs. Baylor is averaging 176 rush yards and we the game plan will be simple, run right at the Army defense that got mauled by Boston College last week, in a 44-7 loss, a game which I had selected in last weeks card. Army allowed 175 rush yards, 289 passing. But lets put things in perspective, Baylor doesn't have that kind of speed or power and should not even be mention in the same breath as Boston College. This is the start of a 4-game home stand for Army, and don't forget they averaged 24 ppg at home last season, going 3-2 ATS. The Black Knights formulated an impressive opening drive last week, moving 80 yards on 13 plays to claim an early 7-0 lead, but the Eagles responded by scoring on their next four possessions. Army does have a good offense/ground game with QB Zac Dahman and RB Carlton Jones, and they will be able to move the ball on a suspect Baylor 'D'. Army's all-time record in home openers stands at 94-18-3 (that’s 83.9%) and coach Bobby Ross will have the boys ready.
Forecast: Army 30, Baylor 27
PLAY 1* UNIT ON ARMY +6
vs 
vs 
It's always noon somewhere! 
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