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  • Spear-it Tues-Total

    I will be lurking from time to time on the site- not wishing to post much- been betting solid for one year and the roller coaster ride has to stop somewhere.
    You have all been family and I have learned much from all of you- I don't even know most of your real names- I do know the 'spearit' that I am talking to however.
    You guys are the greatest and the comaraderie on this site is addictive as well as the purpose we are on here for- G word. I have something like 2600+ posts since coming on here in Feb of this year. I have educated and got educated and met some damn nice folks. I'll be checking in - just to see how the family is doing.
    Spark has been a big help- if you ever need to slow things down- Old Spark is very good at that and can be a big help!
    Like Forrest Gump says after running across the country with a crowd of people followng. "Tired- I guess I will go home now." :bestwishe

    As most of ya know (most have been there)- this is not an easy play (backing down but not off the site and stopping the G word) for me- like losing two of my best friends at the same time. Forgive me if I post this. Just habit - you see. Sorry about the drama- didn't mean for it - to be that way. Just so hard to let go.

    Cleveland/Oakland Under 8.5

    Millwood vs Sarloose
    Millwood is 6-2 Under last 8 with and ERA in last 3 of 2.50.
    Sarloose is 8-2 Under in last 10 with an ERA in last 3 of 3.25
    Umpire is Larry Vanover 10-17 on Under and Under in his last 6 games BHP.

    Millwood has been like old Millwood of the Braves. Sarloose is the loose cannon here and if the game goes over- it most suredly is becuz of him. The bullpens have been stable and the play has good value.
    Last edited by Spearit; 09-13-2005, 09:58 AM.
    "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

  • #2
    GL spearit!!

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    • #3
      Spear, how much you playin this for Thanks.

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      • #4
        Spearit, GL

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        • #5
          SFLINS- I will sleep better tonight by not placing any value on the play. I just provide the info that I find and place it for the hope it wins. Thats all any capper on site can do- I have learned values associate with a person and the betting goes accordingly. Its not about what the capper thinks is the value of the play- its what edge is given that we can associate a better percentage of winning that counts most. In this case - this should go under- the line at 8.5 should be lower- in my opinion. However, your bet should reflect your money management principles and no more.
          "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

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          • #6
            sounds good Spear...thanks and GL!

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            • #7
              Get them today Spearit
              1 of 1 Morons

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              • #8
                gl today spearit!
                Control what you can control...

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                • #9
                  Thanx Homer, Ki66, JBC,SFLINS, and Frank. Stay tuned to KuelKats system plays as so far - it looks good. Homer has been hot as well. Good Luck.
                  "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

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                  • #10
                    Good luck Spear. Thanks as always.
                    Remember, one just man causes the Devil greater affliction than a million blind believers

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                    • #11
                      Thanx Yuri- You and others have supported my totals for awhile and I appreciate it very much.

                      10 Oakland/Cleveland Under 8 1/2.

                      I didn't want to give a value- but it looks so promising on this one. I have provided all trends with the Under and yes there are a few for the Over but no where near the value on the Under. Again remember that Sarloose is a loose cannon when you bet this.

                      OAKLAND is 22-10 UNDER (+10.8 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season.
                      The average score was OAKLAND 3.3, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 1*)
                      OAKLAND is 11-3 UNDER (+7.6 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season.
                      The average score was OAKLAND 2.7, OPPONENT 3.3 - (Rating = 1*)
                      OAKLAND is 26-16 UNDER (+8.4 Units) in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game on the season this season.
                      The average score was OAKLAND 5.0, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 0*)
                      OAKLAND is 47-33 UNDER (+10.5 Units) vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season.
                      The average score was OAKLAND 5.0, OPPONENT 3.7 - (Rating = 1*)
                      OAKLAND is 21-10 UNDER (+10.1 Units) vs. a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better this season.
                      The average score was OAKLAND 4.4, OPPONENT 3.1 - (Rating = 1*)
                      OAKLAND is 37-18 UNDER (+17.4 Units) vs. a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better this season.
                      The average score was OAKLAND 4.4, OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 2*)
                      OAKLAND is 21-7 UNDER (+13.4 Units) vs. a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season.
                      The average score was OAKLAND 3.5, OPPONENT 3.3 - (Rating = 3*)
                      OAKLAND is 44-21 UNDER (+21.1 Units) vs. a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.
                      The average score was OAKLAND 4.3, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 3*)
                      OAKLAND is 57-35 UNDER (+18.4 Units) vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game this season.
                      The average score was OAKLAND 4.5, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 2*)
                      OAKLAND is 30-17 UNDER (+11.0 Units) vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the second half of the season this season.
                      The average score was OAKLAND 4.6, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 1*)
                      OAKLAND is 57-35 UNDER (+18.4 Units) vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season.
                      The average score was OAKLAND 4.8, OPPONENT 3.7 - (Rating = 2*)
                      OAKLAND is 35-23 UNDER (+9.2 Units) vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season this season.
                      The average score was OAKLAND 5.1, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 1*)
                      OAKLAND is 44-26 UNDER (+15.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                      The average score was OAKLAND 4.4, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 2*)
                      OAKLAND is 25-10 UNDER (+13.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
                      The average score was OAKLAND 4.3, OPPONENT 3.6 - (Rating = 2*)
                      SAARLOOS is 12-4 UNDER (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
                      The average score was SAARLOOS 3.4, OPPONENT 4.1 - (Rating = 0*)
                      SAARLOOS is 13-3 UNDER (+9.8 Units) vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
                      The average score was SAARLOOS 4.5, OPPONENT 3.6 - (Rating = 2*)
                      SAARLOOS is 11-2 UNDER (+8.9 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
                      The average score was SAARLOOS 3.3, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 1*)
                      CLEVELAND is 68-44 UNDER (+19.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
                      The average score was CLEVELAND 4.2, OPPONENT 4.7 - (Rating = 1*)
                      CLEVELAND is 32-14 UNDER (+16.6 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
                      The average score was CLEVELAND 3.5, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 1*)
                      CLEVELAND is 42-26 UNDER (+13.2 Units) in home games vs. AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
                      The average score was CLEVELAND 4.4, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 1*)
                      CLEVELAND is 45-24 UNDER (+17.7 Units) in home games vs. a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better over the last 3 seasons.
                      The average score was CLEVELAND 3.9, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 1*)
                      CLEVELAND is 41-30 UNDER (+6.6 Units) vs. a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.
                      The average score was CLEVELAND 4.2, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 0*)
                      CLEVELAND is 40-28 UNDER (+8.5 Units) vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game this season.
                      The average score was CLEVELAND 4.5, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 1*)
                      CLEVELAND is 21-10 UNDER (+9.7 Units) in home games vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
                      The average score was CLEVELAND 4.5, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 0*)
                      CLEVELAND is 23-12 UNDER (+9.6 Units) in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season.
                      The average score was CLEVELAND 4.4, OPPONENT 3.6 - (Rating = 1*)
                      CLEVELAND is 27-12 UNDER (+14.1 Units) vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.
                      The average score was CLEVELAND 4.9, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 1*)
                      CLEVELAND is 33-23 UNDER (+7.7 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season.
                      The average score was CLEVELAND 5.1, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 0*)
                      CLEVELAND is 33-17 UNDER (+14.3 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
                      The average score was CLEVELAND 4.7, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 1*)
                      MILLWOOD is 15-3 UNDER (+11.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
                      The average score was MILLWOOD 3.2, OPPONENT 3.4 - (Rating = 2*)
                      MILLWOOD is 10-2 UNDER (+7.9 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
                      The average score was MILLWOOD 2.7, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 0*)
                      MILLWOOD is 10-2 UNDER (+7.9 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. (Team's Record)
                      The average score was MILLWOOD 2.5, OPPONENT 3.0 - (Rating = 1*)
                      MILLWOOD is 12-2 UNDER (+9.9 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
                      The average score was MILLWOOD 3.2, OPPONENT 3.3 - (Rating = 1*)
                      MILLWOOD is 20-9 UNDER (+10.2 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 6 or less times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
                      The average score was MILLWOOD 3.9, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 0*)
                      MILLWOOD is 18-4 UNDER (+13.6 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 6 or less times/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
                      The average score was MILLWOOD 3.8, OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 2*)
                      Last edited by Spearit; 09-13-2005, 11:45 AM.
                      "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

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                      • #12
                        Good luck Spearit!
                        2010 One play a day record
                        22-19-1 51%
                        +0.74 units
                        Passes: 7 days
                        Streak: L2

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                        • #13
                          GL Spearit...

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                          • #14
                            best of luck Spearit

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                            • #15
                              GL today Spearit!
                              It's always noon somewhere!

                              My Fish and Aquariums

                              Griffey's Posted Record

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