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NFL Picks for Week 1

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  • NFL Picks for Week 1

    0-0-0

    9/11

    I have to say that I don't see that much on the card today. That fact combined with my belief that the first Sunday of the NFL season is probably the worst day of the betting year to go big means I'm going to have a small card today.


    Jaguars -3 (-102) vs. Seahawks 2**

    Jacksonville has a tough, defensive team that will be difficult for the gutless Seahawks to handle. The Jaguars were 3-1 ATS vs. the NFC last year, including 2-0 at home. Like several NFC teams, the Seahawks were 0-4 ATS last year vs. the AFC. They were also 2-12 ATS over their last 14 games overall.

    Chargers -4.5 (-103) vs. Cowboys 2**

    My hatred of Dallas may seem to factor in here, but I can honestly say that I am not usually one to let personal feelings influence my betting. The Cowboys are 4-10 ATS over their last 14 road games, and went 1-3 ATS vs. the AFC in 2004. The Chargers shocked the world by posting an incredible 13-1-2 ATS mark in the regular season, including a perfect 4-0 ATS vs. the NFC. Noticing a theme? Both my 2* plays will be taking the 2 AFC teams playing NFC teams today. The AFC went 44-20 vs. the NFC in 2004.

    Texans @ Bills UNDER 37.5 (-109) 1*

    Buffalo had a trememdous defense in 2004 that finished ranked #2 in the NFL, behind only the Steelers. They will need their defense to carry them for the first few weeks of the season, as inexperienced 2nd year QB J.P. Losman gets his feet wet. This should be a tight game as Buffalo tries to establish the run with McGahee and the Texans defense keeps it close.

    Saints +7 (-105) @ Panthers 1*

    I am one of the people that think the Panthers have a great shot to not only win the NFC but win the Super Bowl this season. However, I still am going with the Saints and the points in this one, as I have found a lot of numbers to back the play. The Saints are 12-5 ATS over their last 17 games as an underdog, while the Panthers are just 5-14 ATS as a favorite the last 2 seasons. In the final game for both team's last year, New Orleans came to Carolina as a 7 point underdog (with both team's still mathematically alive for a playoff berth) and won 21-18. In 2003, Carolina's Super Bowl season, New Orleans came to Carolina as a 7 point dog as well, and won the game 19-13. The Saints also covered the spread at Carolina in 2002.



    I will be at the Redskins game of course but I wish you all good luck today. I don't bet on Redskins regular season games, but if I were to pick I'd recommend the UNDER. This one should be a tough game with 2 good defenses and 2 bad offenses. The Redskins will make enough plays to win but I wouldn't want to lay 5.5. I wouldn't want to bet on a rookie QB either tho......good luck today!



    Hail to the Redskins!
    Posted Plays

    2006 NFL Record: 10-8-1 (+11.21 units)
    5*: 1-0

    2006 NCAA Football Record: 25-20 (+10.74 units)
    5*: 0-2

  • #2
    Good Luck buddy, let's get this thing started off right!

    ~~~ Tigger

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    • #3
      Gl Today
      2007 BCS and 2009 BCS CHAMPS
      2006 & 2007 NCAA MENS BASKETBALL CHAMPS
      2008 & 2010 RAYS BASEBALL AMERICAN LEAGUE CHAMPS

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      • #4
        with you on 3 of 4...very strong looking card.

        Rook

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        • #5
          gl buddy

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          • #6
            GL to ya S Taylor---kapt


            Don't make me go Cajun on your Ass!

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            • #7
              gl today buddy!!!

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              • #8
                Thanks guys.....good luck today!
                Posted Plays

                2006 NFL Record: 10-8-1 (+11.21 units)
                5*: 1-0

                2006 NCAA Football Record: 25-20 (+10.74 units)
                5*: 0-2

                Comment

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