Trends Monday

[Spark]

Monday, September 5th

UNLV at New Mexico, 1:00 EST ESPN2
UNLV - 4-10 ATS vs. conference opponents
New Mexico - 5-1 ATS vs. UNLV

Mississippi at Memphis, 4:30 EST ESPN
Mississippi - 7-1 Under as an underdog
Memphis - 1-5 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less

Miami FL at Florida State, 8:00 EST ABC
Miami FL - 13-4 Under as a favorite
Florida State - 7-2 Under first half of the season

[Spark]

Monday's games

- Visitor won last three UNLV-New Mexico games, with Lobos rushing for 284 yards last year in 24-20 win on Strip. Rebels unsettled at QB, have just three starters back on defense. Lobos are 21-9 vs spread in last thirty tries as home favorite, 14-8 overall as fave since '01. UNLV's new coach is former Utah aide; they're 6-13 vs spread in last 19 games. Rebels' new JC QB was slow picking up offense, will not start, .

-- Underdog won last two Ole Miss-Memphis games, but home side covered six of last nine in series. Tigers are 16-7 last two years; they're 16-9 vs spread in last 25 games vs SEC, but 7-9 in last sixteen tries as home fave. Both sides are unsettled at QB. Emotional Rebels just
6-13 vs spread in non-SEC games since '99, 10-13-1 vs spread on road since '00. Rebels' best RB, Pearson, is academically ineligible.

-- Miami won last six games vs Florida State, with four of six wins by six or less points- they outgained 'noles 364-165 last year. Hurricanes are 17-12 as road favorite since '98. State just 1-3 as dog since '98. Both sides have QB issues (combined total of nine college passes). FSU has no senior starters on offensive line, and a freshman QB. Not only have 'canes owned State, they've won eleven in row vs any Florida team.

[Spark]

Hot pitchers
-- Trachsel threw eight shutout innings in first '05 start.
-- Cubs are 3-1 in last four Prior starts (2-1, 4.01).
-- Pettitte is 3-0, 1.23 in his last three starts.
-- Phillies are 13-3 in Myers' last sixteen starts.
-- Claussen is 5-1, 3.22 in his last seven starts.
-- Lowe allowed two runs in his last 17 innings pitched.

-- Tigers won five of last six Maroth starts.
-- Chen is 4-2, 2.50 in his last six starts.
-- Loe is 2-0, 1.64 in two starts. Silva is 2-0, 3.25 in his last four starts.
-- Blanton is 3-2, 1.19 in his last eight starts. Hernandez is 2-2, 2.05 in his six major league starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Hernandez is 1-1, 7.36 in his last five starts. Vargas is 1-1, 10.12 in his last two starts.
-- Thomson is 1-2, 8.85 in his last four starts.
-- Morris has 6.35 RA in his last eight starts.
-- Ohka is 1-2, 7.36 in his last four starts.
-- Hennessey is 0-3, 6.41 in his last five starts.


-- White Sox scored 33 runs in winning McCarthy's last five starts. Schilling is 1-3, 8.68 in five starts this season.
-- Elarton is 0-2, 9.67 in his last five starts.
-- Gaudin is 1-2, 12.19 in three starts this season.


Totals
-- Over is 8-3-1 in last dozen Florida games.
-- Last four Atlanta home games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-2 in last seven Cub road games.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Myers starts.
-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Claussen starts, 9-4 in last 13 Ohka starts.
-- Under is 11-4-1 in last sixteen Giant road games.

-- Over is 15-2-1 in last 18 games at Fenway.
-- Over is 5-0-1 in last six Elarton starts.
-- Last five Chen starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-2 in last nine Minnesota games.
-- Under is 6-3 in Blanton's last nine starts.


Hot teams
-- Marlins won three of last four road games.
-- Braves won six of last nine games.
-- Cardinals are 5-2 in their last seven home games.
-- Cubs are 6-2 in last eight road games.
-- Brewers are 8-4 in last dozen road games.
-- Giants allowed 15 runs in winning last five games.

-- Red Sox are 21-2 in last 23 games at Fenway Park. White Sox allowed six runs in winning last four games.
-- Twins are 8-5 in their last thirteen home games. Texas won seven of its last nine games.

Cold Teams
-- Nationals are 8-16 in their last twenty-four home tilts.
-- Mets lost six of their last eight games.
-- Astros lost seven of their last ten road games. Phillies lost first game in nine of last eleven home series.
-- Reds lost five of their last six games.
-- Dodgers lost 29 runs in losing last three games.


-- Indians lost three of their last four games. Tigers lost last four games, scoring total of six runs.
-- Orioles lost seven of last eight home games. Toronto lost four of its last five games.
-- A's are 2-8 in their last ten home games. Seattle lost ten of its last sixteen games.

[Spark]

Monday, September 5

National League:

Florida at Washington, 1:05 EST
Jason Vargas (L) vs. Livan Hernandez (R)

Vargas - Florida 7-15 away after scoring 2 runs or less
Hernandez - Washington 22-8 at home with a line of +125 to -125

New York Mets at Atlanta, 1:05 EST ESPN
Steve Trachsel (R) vs. John Thomson (R)

Trachsel - Mets 5-19 away off a win by 4+ runs
Thomson - Atlanta 12-2 revenging a road loss by 6+ runs

Chicago Cubs at St. Louis, 2:15 EST WGN
Mark Prior (R) vs. Matt Morris (R)

Prior - Cubs 7-16 vs. Matt Morris
Morris - St. Louis 40-18 vs. division opponents

Houston at Philadelphia, 7:05 EST
Andy Pettitte (L) vs. Brett Myers (R)

Pettitte - 2-11 TSR away with a line of +125 to -125
Myers - 11-4 TSR in home games this year

Milwaukee at Cincinnati, 7:10 EST
Tomokazu Ohka (R) vs. Brandon Claussen (L)

Ohka - 11-2 Over as an underdog
Claussen - 4-17 TSR vs. division opponents

San Francisco at Los Angeles Dodgers, 8:10 EST ESPN
Brad Hennessey (R) vs. Derek Lowe (R)

Hennessey - San Francisco 18-6 away in September
Lowe - Dodgers 1-9 at home off BB division road losses


American League:

Cleveland at Detroit, 1:05 EST
Scott Elarton (R) vs. Mike Maroth (L)

Elarton - Cleveland 12-4 away revenging a one-run loss
Maroth - Detroit 8-30 at home after losing 8+ of their last 10 games

Toronto at Baltimore, 1:35 EST
Gustavo Chacin (L) vs. Bruce Chen (L)

Chacin - Toronto 18-6 off BB one-run losses
Che - 0-7 TSR after allowing 1 or 0 runs last start

(TC) Texas at Minnesota, 4:05 EST ESPN
Kameron Loe (R) vs. Carlos Silva (R)

Loe - Texas 16-30 off 3+ road games
Silva - 17-8 TSR pitching on 5 or 6 days rest

Seattle at Oakland, 4:05 EST
Felix Hernandez (R) vs. Joe Blanton (R)

Hernandez - Seattle 11-27 as a road underdog of +150 or less
Blanton - Oakland 30-17 in day games


Write-In Game:

(TC) Chicago White Sox at Boston, 12:05 EST ESPN
Brandon McCarthy (R) vs. Curt Schilling (R)

McCarthy - White Sox 24-8 off 3+ division games
Schilling - 1-2 TSR, 8.50 ERA last three starts

[Spark]

Monday, 8/1/2005


CHI WHITE SOX (68 - 35) at BALTIMORE (51 - 53) - 12:35 PM
MARK BUEHRLE (L) vs. DANIEL CABRERA (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 5-2 (+3.4 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)



MARK BUEHRLE vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
BUEHRLE is 3-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.90 and a WHIP of 1.116.
His team's record is 5-1 (+3.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)



DANIEL CABRERA vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
CABRERA is 2-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.95 and a WHIP of 1.390.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


OAKLAND (58 - 46) at MINNESOTA (54 - 50) - 8:10 PM
JOE BLANTON (R) vs. JOHAN SANTANA (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.



JOE BLANTON vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.



JOHAN SANTANA vs. OAKLAND since 1997
SANTANA is 2-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.75 and a WHIP of 1.251.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.3 units)

[trick4]

Thank You Spark!

[savage1]

Hey Spark-your last post is about games played on 8/1. Do you have a time machine so that I can change the outcome?
Perhaps you should use that massage chair on your brain! lol
Of course I am just kidding about the last statement;you really do a great job!

[Spark]

Hey Spark-your last post is about games played on 8/1. Do you have a time machine so that I can change the outcome?
Perhaps you should use that massage chair on your brain! lol
Of course I am just kidding about the last statement;you really do a great job!

Where the hell did I get that?? You can tell I was hurrying around not to catch that one .... Thanks saavy,