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2-2-0 (-1.58 units)
Here are my plays for Saturday. I placed all these bets this morning and afternoon but waited to post until after the Utah game when I could have an updated record. Of course Utah got backdoored and brought my record down but whatever..... :angryfire :angryfire :angryfire
Anyways some of the lines might be different on some of them, imparticular the Iowa game where I was lucky to have bet early.
9/3
Iowa -38.5 (-110) vs. Ball St. 3***
Kirk Ferentz has turned Iowa into one of the top programs in the country and the Hawkeyes are an absolute powerhouse at home. Iowa has won 18 straight at Kinnick Stadium, and are 23-4-1 ATS over their last 28 home games. Their opponent, Ball St., is an inexperienced team (only 9 seniors on the roster) that has struggled terribly on the road, with 9 straight road losses and a 3-10 ATS record their last 13 road games. This one may get ugly.
Southern California @ Hawaii OVER 66 (-108) 3***
USC has one of the best offenses in recent memory and they will be facing a Hawaii team that offers very little resistance on the defensive side of the ball. During the last 2 seasons, the OVER was 10-2-1 in games played in Hawaii, including 2 Hawaii Bowls. USC and Hawaii got together 2 years ago in California, and the Trojans romped 61-32. USC is replacing several key defensive players, and the Hawaii offense is always potent at home, so the Warriors should be able to put around 20 points on the board in this one. However, stopping the Trojans will be almost impossible for a defense that allowed nearly 500 yards per game in 2004.
Virginia -33.5 (-106) vs. Western Michigan 2**
Al Groh's Cavaliers teams have been very tough at home, winning 16 of their last 18 games, and posting an ATS record of 18-7 during his tenure. Virginia returns 4 starting offensive linemen, QB Marques Hagans, and TB Wali Lundy, and should have no problem moving the ball up and down the field in this one. Western Michigan has been prone to being blown out in recent years, going just 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 games as underdog, including a 59-16 loss to Virginia 2 years ago in Kalamazoo.
Boise St. @ Georgia UNDER 56.5 (-105) 2**
Boise St. does have a great offense, but they are not used to playing defenses like the one the Bulldogs group they will be facing on the road. Georgia did lose several key defensive stars to the NFL, but they are still returning 8 starters on that side of the ball, including DT Kedric Golston and FS Greg Blue. The UNDER is 10-3 the last 2 seasons "Between the Hedges", and is 31-17 in all Georgia games since 2001.
Boston College -2.5 (-106) @ BYU 1*
Boston College has been very tough away from home recently, going 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games away from Chestnut Hill. BYU is attempting to implement a new offense under their new coaching staff, and they might have trouble against a stout BC defense in this one.
Colorado -7 (Even) vs. Colorado St. 1*
Colorado is returning 15 starters on offense and defense (as well as standouts K Mason Crosby and P John Torp on special teams) from last year's Big 12 North championship team and they should be able to handle the Rams in this one. Colorado St. is just 2-6 ATS over their last 8 road games, and will be dealing with a rowdy crowd. And, to be really honest, I've seen several of the big name touts (Feist, Lawrence, Cokin, etc...) playing the Rams, and that just cemented the Buffaloes as a play for me.
Navy vs. Maryland UNDER 42 (-104) 1*
This one will be a dogfight with Maryland struggling to find an offense and Navy attemtping to control the clock with their ground game. The UNDER was 8-2 last year in Maryland games, and is 17-5 since '03, and 25-10 since '02.
Southern California -34.5 (-106) @ Hawaii 1*
I already said pretty much everything I wanted to about this game. It will be a track meet with Hawaii rarely (if ever) keeping the Trojans from scoring. Hawaii is also breaking in a new QB and lost dangerous WR/KR Chad Owens to the NFL. I see a Trojan blowout in this one.
San Diego St. +10 (-113) vs. UCLA 1*
This is a huge game for San Diego St. and Head Coach Tom Craft, who needs a good year to save his job. The Aztecs tend to be play low scoring games (The UNDER is 16-4 in SDSU games the last 2 years) and the 10 points should be enough to cover the spread if San Diego St. is unable to win straight up.
Lots of plays on Saturday but no HUGE bets yet. Still a very young season obviously. I hope you all do well with your plays.
Football is FINALLY here
Good luck guys!
Here are my plays for Saturday. I placed all these bets this morning and afternoon but waited to post until after the Utah game when I could have an updated record. Of course Utah got backdoored and brought my record down but whatever..... :angryfire :angryfire :angryfire
Anyways some of the lines might be different on some of them, imparticular the Iowa game where I was lucky to have bet early.
9/3
Iowa -38.5 (-110) vs. Ball St. 3***
Kirk Ferentz has turned Iowa into one of the top programs in the country and the Hawkeyes are an absolute powerhouse at home. Iowa has won 18 straight at Kinnick Stadium, and are 23-4-1 ATS over their last 28 home games. Their opponent, Ball St., is an inexperienced team (only 9 seniors on the roster) that has struggled terribly on the road, with 9 straight road losses and a 3-10 ATS record their last 13 road games. This one may get ugly.
Southern California @ Hawaii OVER 66 (-108) 3***
USC has one of the best offenses in recent memory and they will be facing a Hawaii team that offers very little resistance on the defensive side of the ball. During the last 2 seasons, the OVER was 10-2-1 in games played in Hawaii, including 2 Hawaii Bowls. USC and Hawaii got together 2 years ago in California, and the Trojans romped 61-32. USC is replacing several key defensive players, and the Hawaii offense is always potent at home, so the Warriors should be able to put around 20 points on the board in this one. However, stopping the Trojans will be almost impossible for a defense that allowed nearly 500 yards per game in 2004.
Virginia -33.5 (-106) vs. Western Michigan 2**
Al Groh's Cavaliers teams have been very tough at home, winning 16 of their last 18 games, and posting an ATS record of 18-7 during his tenure. Virginia returns 4 starting offensive linemen, QB Marques Hagans, and TB Wali Lundy, and should have no problem moving the ball up and down the field in this one. Western Michigan has been prone to being blown out in recent years, going just 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 games as underdog, including a 59-16 loss to Virginia 2 years ago in Kalamazoo.
Boise St. @ Georgia UNDER 56.5 (-105) 2**
Boise St. does have a great offense, but they are not used to playing defenses like the one the Bulldogs group they will be facing on the road. Georgia did lose several key defensive stars to the NFL, but they are still returning 8 starters on that side of the ball, including DT Kedric Golston and FS Greg Blue. The UNDER is 10-3 the last 2 seasons "Between the Hedges", and is 31-17 in all Georgia games since 2001.
Boston College -2.5 (-106) @ BYU 1*
Boston College has been very tough away from home recently, going 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games away from Chestnut Hill. BYU is attempting to implement a new offense under their new coaching staff, and they might have trouble against a stout BC defense in this one.
Colorado -7 (Even) vs. Colorado St. 1*
Colorado is returning 15 starters on offense and defense (as well as standouts K Mason Crosby and P John Torp on special teams) from last year's Big 12 North championship team and they should be able to handle the Rams in this one. Colorado St. is just 2-6 ATS over their last 8 road games, and will be dealing with a rowdy crowd. And, to be really honest, I've seen several of the big name touts (Feist, Lawrence, Cokin, etc...) playing the Rams, and that just cemented the Buffaloes as a play for me.
Navy vs. Maryland UNDER 42 (-104) 1*
This one will be a dogfight with Maryland struggling to find an offense and Navy attemtping to control the clock with their ground game. The UNDER was 8-2 last year in Maryland games, and is 17-5 since '03, and 25-10 since '02.
Southern California -34.5 (-106) @ Hawaii 1*
I already said pretty much everything I wanted to about this game. It will be a track meet with Hawaii rarely (if ever) keeping the Trojans from scoring. Hawaii is also breaking in a new QB and lost dangerous WR/KR Chad Owens to the NFL. I see a Trojan blowout in this one.
San Diego St. +10 (-113) vs. UCLA 1*
This is a huge game for San Diego St. and Head Coach Tom Craft, who needs a good year to save his job. The Aztecs tend to be play low scoring games (The UNDER is 16-4 in SDSU games the last 2 years) and the 10 points should be enough to cover the spread if San Diego St. is unable to win straight up.
Lots of plays on Saturday but no HUGE bets yet. Still a very young season obviously. I hope you all do well with your plays.
Football is FINALLY here
Good luck guys!
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