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I've Been Waiting 8 Months For This Game:ask Krunch

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  • #16
    I like the over in this game too

    over and boise any thoughts on that


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    • #17
      Boise I am all over BSU!
      RED LIGHT UP THAT CIGAR

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      • #18
        Boiseboy, I am probably going to pass this game, but here is analysis by Jimmy Ashton, who is a respected capper and sees the game differently. Where do you disagree with him?
        ASHTON PREMIUM IS ALSO AVAILABLE AT THIS NUMBER: 1-900-787-4263…$18



        College Football:
        2 Units on Georgia -7½ -110

        CFB: 2* UGA





        The Dawgs will open up a season for the 1st time in an NCAA record 52 consecutive games, without the services of David Greene at QB. Greene was 42-10 for his career and is now carrying a clipboard in Seattle. They will also be missing Greene’s best friend and 17th pick David Pollack who will be working for the Bengals this season.

        Those departures along with leading WR Reggie Brown (2nd RD Philly) and Fred Gibson (4th RD Pittsburgh) have cast some doubts in Athens this summer. The oddsmakers have short-changed the Bulldogs even when you consider the fact that Boise State returns 16 starters including QB Jared Zabransky (2927 yards 16:12 ratio) and RB Lee Marks (968 YR).

        The temperatures have been baking in Boise this summer but these guys haven’t experienced the energy-draining humidity that will have their tongues hanging out of their mouths before warm-ups are done. DJ Shockley has waited patiently in the shadows behind Greene for 4 years and is primed for greatness…maybe. He’s thrown 10 career TD in mostly mop-up duty.

        Mark Richt kept Shockley somewhat happy by throwing him the occasional prime-time bone and the pivot has the luxury of a solid running game to lean on. Thomas Brown (875 YR 8 TD) and Danny Ware (692 YR 4 TD) will be pounding the Broncos DL behind an OL that returns intact.


        ps Good luck on it, as I always like to see free cappers be more correct in their assessment than the paid ones.
        Last edited by savage1; 09-03-2005, 12:45 AM.

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        • #19
          HUGE mistake here. Georgia is an absolutely EASY winner. Georgia lost 6 players to the NFL but has another 26 that will make it to the NFL! Mark Richt coached at FSU for 15 years and has recruited all over the South successfully the past 4 years. Georgia has their best talent in program history. I have followed SEC recruiting since 1978. This is a terrible matchup for Boise with no real experience at RB or WR (this not mentioned by BoiseBoy above who is betting with his heart). Georgia is flat LOADED contrary to the general consensus. OL is likely the best in the SEC. DE's that are unreal (one a 6th year senior). DL all return. Unreal talent at LB. EXPERIENCE at all DB positions. Safety is the only question with a 170 pound kid back there. Georgia will win the SEC East this season and will ROUT Boise tomorrow scoring somewhere in the 50's. Boise may score 24-27 if they are fortunate with a late score or two. Zabransky will be totally abused.

          GL and don't play Boise big unless you want to lose your bankroll early!

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          • #20
            GL Boiseboy! I know they can do it. I would love them to do it.
            Jake
            "He who is afraid to ask is ashamed of learning."
            -Danish Proverb

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            • #21
              best of luck

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              • #22
                When was the last time any WAC team beat anSEC team. This should be nothing but a warm up game for Georgia.

                Clearly no play on the over achieving Broncos.

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                • #23
                  GEORGIA (-7.5) 31 Boise St. 26
                  02:30 PM Pacific Time Saturday, Sep-03 - Stats Matchup
                  Boise State may play in a seriously weak conference, but they are a good team. My math model compensates for level of opposition and the Broncos were 0.7 yards per play better than average offensively (6.3 yppl against teams that would allow 5.6 yppl to an average team) and 0.1 yppl better than average defensively last season and they actually played a bit better on both sides of the ball against the better offensive and defensive units that they faced (and that includes their bad outing against Louisville in their bowl game). Boise State should be even better offensively this season with a more experienced cast surrounding star quarterback Jared Zabransky, who will surely improve in his second season as the starter. Defensively, Boise State should improve a bit as well and I rate them at 0.3 yppl better than average on that side of the ball. Georgia’s defense should once again be very good despite losing top NFL draft picks DL David Pollack (1st round), S Thomas Davis (1st round) and LB Odell Thurman (2nd round) and I rate the Bulldogs’ defense at 0.1 yppl worse than Boise’s offense, which is damn good. The big question is Georgia’s offense, which will have a new look with mobile D.J. Shockley running the attack after 3 years watching David Greene drop back in the pocket. Greene has a very good senior season, averaging 7.5 yards per pass play (vs. Division 1A foes) against a schedule of teams that would allow a combined 5.6 yppp to an average quarterback and he threw just 4 interceptions all season. Shockley had a few opportunities to play and he did a decent job throwing the ball (5.6 yppp against teams that allow a combined 5.2 yppp on defense), but he won’t come close to the passing efficiency of last season’s offense, especially without top NFL draft picks Reggie Brown and Fred Gibson to throw to. What Shockley does add is a running element, as he’s averaged over 7 yards per rushing play on 57 lifetime rushing plays (not including sacks, which are a part of my passing numbers). Shockley will also have the benefit of having one of the nation’s best rushing attacks, as the Bulldogs are 5 deep at running back and have 5 massive starting offensive lineman returning from last season. Georgia’s offense grades out at 0.55 yppl better than average entering this season, compared to 0.8 yppl better than average last year, and Shockley will probably throw considerably more interceptions that Greene did last season. In this game, the Bulldogs will move the ball well on the ground and have pretty good success in the air, but my overall ratings favor Georgia by only 5 points against a good Boise State team.

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                  • #24
                    Saturday, September 3rd - 5:30 p.m. (et)
                    From The Sports Network

                    By Gregg Xenakes, College Football Staff Writer

                    GAME NOTES: The 2005 college football season starts with a bang for the Boise State Broncos as they test their early-season ranking against a perpetual postseason squad like the 13th-ranked Georgia Bulldogs on Saturday from Sanford Stadium in Athens. The Broncos, who finished the 2004 regular season with a perfect record, won their third straight Western Athletic Conference title by running the table in eight league meetings. BSU finished in the Top-25 for the third consecutive year as it generated the nation's longest home winning streak at 25 games and also pushed it's string of consecutive WAC wins to 26. Because of the team's success over the last few years, save for a 44-40 loss to Louisville in last year's Liberty Bowl, head coach Dan Hawkins has been one of the hottest coaching commodities who is, apparently, not on the market. Building his Idaho-based program into such a national success has elevated the Broncos to their first-ever preseason national ranking at this level, as well as scared off some of the BCS schools, but not the Bulldogs. Georgia, which is no stranger to success in major college football (unlike BSU which didn't join Division I-A until 1996), suffered just two setbacks in 2004 against usual suspects in Tennessee and Auburn. However, while those were the only two losses on the schedule for head coach Mark Richt and his followers, the program had far too many close calls against South Carolina (20-16), Marshall (13-3), Arkansas (20-14) and Georgia Tech (19-13) to gain the national respect that they needed. The Bulldogs did get a New Year's Day date with Wisconsin at the Outback Bowl, but even that resulted in a lackluster 24-21 victory for UGA. In terms of the all-time series between these two programs, this game marks the first-ever meeting.

                    Hawkins has the luxury of bringing back another powerful quarterback again this season in Jared Zabransky, the preseason choice for Offensive Player of the Year in the WAC. Last season Zabransky not only connected on 63 percent of his attempts for 2,927 yards and 16 TDs, he also placed second on the team in rushing touchdowns with 13, crossing the goal line once every 10 attempts on the average. With his primary receiver from last season (T.J. Acree) gone, Zabransky hopes that Drisan James could be a suitable fill-in after pulling down 40 passes for 568 yards and a score in '04. But even if James is not the answer, the signal-caller has faith that coach Hawkins will again put all the right pieces in place for another successful campaign. Running back Lee Marks posted just two rushing scores last year, but his average of about five yards per carry is more than enough to keep defenses on their toes. Protecting the skill players on offense are three returning starters in the trenches in tackles Daryn Colledge and Jeff Cavender, along with guard Tad Miller.

                    While most of the time stats can tell a lot about a team, the fact that the Broncos had the top rushing defense in the WAC is a little deceptive. Sure, the team allowed just 103.9 ypg on the ground to rank 10th in the nation, but that was mainly because opponents had to race the clock in order to put enough points on the board just to stay competitive. The same thing can be said for a pass defense that was ninth in the then 10-team league and 99th in the nation after giving up 253.9 ypg. Opponents had to scramble as the Broncos scored no less than four touchdowns in any one game and at least 55 points per outing in each of the final four regular season contests. Either way, as long as the Broncos can strike a better balance between the two efforts this season, they should be set to rule the roost in the WAC once again. Getting BSU to that lofty goal will be junior linebacker Korey Hall who, after posting 85 tackles a season ago, has been named to the Lombardi Ward Watch List for 2005 and was also put on the Butkus Award Watch List just last week. Hall has been a First- Team All-WAC selection, but the unit will still have to scramble to make up for the loss of two-time All-WAC performer Andy Avalos who has vacated his spot in the middle. The front line and secondary will need some retooling with several high-profile players gone, but if anyone can get the job done it's Hawkins.

                    The Bulldogs were far from a dominating offensive force last season, even against weaker programs, and with the exodus of quarterback David Greene (the winningest signal-caller in Division I-A history) and wideouts Reggie Brown and Fred Gibson, there are a number of holes that need to be addressed before this team can even begin to think about challenging for the SEC title. Quarterback D.J. Shockley, who appeared in 10 games for the squad last season, completed just 43.3 percent of his attempts, leading to four touchdowns and an interception. Take away the combined 102 catches and 13 touchdowns by Brown and Gibson, and Shockley is forced to turn to tight end Leonard Pope, an imposing figure at 6-7 and 250 pounds who reeled in 25 balls for 482 yards and six scores a season ago. With that sort of talent it is not surprising that he was named to the 2005 John Mackey Award Watch List. To take some of the pressure off himself in the pocket, Shockley will need heavy production from sophomore tailback Thomas Brown who averaged better than five yards per carry and scored eight touchdowns as a freshman last season. Up front the man to watch is tackle Max Jean-Gilles, with the senior on the Outland Trophy Watch List and mentioned as a potential All-America candidate. While he wasn't expected to make much of an impact in this game, redshirt sophomore walk-on fullback Chase Green has been suspended for the opener after being charged with underage possession of alcohol in early August. Had he been more of a high-profile contributor, the distraction could have been a lot worse for the Bulldogs, but the coaching staff will make the most of it nonetheless. Also watching from the sidelines will be kicker Andy Bailey who suffered a shoulder injury two weeks ago, leaving the team's top scorer in '04 on the shelf for 4-6 weeks.

                    While the UGA offense sputtered and stalled at times last year, the defense picked the squad up off the mat many times. The team was ranked eighth in the country in total defense, allowing just under 289 ypg, with the scoring defense placing ninth, permitting a mere 16.5 ppg. The secondary for Georgia appears to be pretty solid with seniors locking down most of the positions. Greg Blue placed second on the team last year in tackles with 80 stops from his free safety position and also tied Thomas Davis and David Pollack for the team lead with three forced fumbles, which means he should be the most feared member of the unit with the latter players having left. The middle of the field is patrolled by juniors Danny Verdun Wheeler and Tony Taylor at the Will and Mike spots, respectively, while sophomore Brandon Miller eases into the Sam position with his 6-4 frame. Redshirt freshman Antonio Sims, listed as the team's rover, is now out for at least six weeks following a broken left fibula during the second week of August. Adding to the injury list on the defensive side of the ball is true freshman linebacker Tavares Kearney who underwent knee surgery last week to deal with a chronic issue with his articular cartilage. Kearney, who was slated to miss this game with BSU due to an earlier suspension anyway, is now on the shelf for the entire year and will be seeking a medical redshirt exemption.

                    Everyone in Georgia, and the SEC for that matter, considers this game a walk in the park, and sees Boise State as an easy target to get the season rolling. But if Richt is smart he'll be sure to let his players know that the Broncos and the WAC are nothing to sneeze at, and to take them too lightly could throw the Georgia train off the tracks before it even leaves the station.

                    Sports Network Predicted Outcome: Boise State 35, Georgia 31

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                    • #25
                      good luck Boiseboy

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                      • #26
                        Man too many opinions on this one I was researching and I have Boise with the spread but not the ML and also got the under

                        BOL to those who play

                        And if you truly read the SPorts Net Read out you will actually come to the conclusion of a Boise spread win I can't see the high scoring affair that would warrant a large spread of a touchdown plus against a solid boise team
                        Last edited by JamminJ; 09-03-2005, 04:23 AM.
                        TO BET OR NOT TO BET THAT IS THE QUESTION

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                        • #27
                          hey spiccoli...u say that boise state has an inexperienced backfield and wideouts...all 5 running back are back from last year marks,carpenter,carter,jones,and fullback helmandollar recieving they did loose thare #1 tj acree, but he is replaced by oregon state transfer cole clasen who caught 52 balls in 3 seasons there...so its not like he is a rookie...the rest r back...as far as betting with heart i have done the research and live 2,000 miles away from boise...where u live in atlanta home state...anyway everyone is entitled to there opinion thats why it is gambling...just wanted to list the backfield and and wideouts situation...they r not inexperienced at alll...best of luck everyone...
                          PLAY EVERY DOG EVERY NIGHT FOR THE EXACT SAME AMOUNT IN BASES....YOUR UNITS WILL GROW...[/B]

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                          • #28
                            Boise Boy

                            It's soon showtime buddy, I put down another C-Note on em and I put em in a moneyline parlay with Colorado State (everyones on the Rams today)!!!! Great writeup and win or lose hopefully its one hell of a game. I'll be watching the game with a 2 teamer working and hopefully a 3 teamer with my moneyline parlay!!!!!!!! Good luck buddy and like I said win or lose stick to your guns and don't let anyone sway your thinking!!!!!!!


                            Krunch

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                            • #29
                              Why are we polluting boiseboy's thread with service write-ups? I'm all for coming into a thread and questioning the selection. Savage you know as well as the next that what's in a newsletter write-up is meaningless.

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                              • #30
                                i agree with frank. come in and say your piece.

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