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  • Trends ... Friday

    Friday, September 2nd

    Detroit at Buffalo, 7:00 EST
    Detroit - 1-10 ATS off BB ATS losses
    Buffalo - 6-2 ATS on artificial turf

    Indianapolis at Cincinnati, 7:30 EST
    Indianapolis - 8-0 ATS off a loss by 10+ points
    Cincinnati - 7-17 ATS last two weeks of preseason

    Kansas City at St. Louis, 8:00 EST
    Kansas City - 7-1 Under in dome stadiums
    St. Louis - 1-5 ATS vs. AFC teams

    Denver at Arizona, 9:00 EST
    Denver - 18-7 Under in road games
    Arizona - 6-0 ATS off a non-conference game

    Minnesota at Seattle, 9:00 EST
    Minnesota - 18-7 Over off a home game
    Seattle - 1-5 ATS off a SU win

    **Denotes Time Change

  • #2
    DETROIT (0 - 2) at BUFFALO (2 - 1) - 9/2/2005, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    BUFFALO is 2-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    BUFFALO is 1-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    INDIANAPOLIS (0 - 4) at CINCINNATI (1 - 2) - 9/2/2005, 7:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    CINCINNATI is 1-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
    CINCINNATI is 1-1 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    KANSAS CITY (0 - 3) at ST LOUIS (1 - 1) - 9/2/2005, 8:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    KANSAS CITY is 2-0 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
    KANSAS CITY is 2-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    DENVER (3 - 0) at ARIZONA (3 - 0) - 9/2/2005, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ARIZONA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
    ARIZONA is 1-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    MINNESOTA (2 - 1) at SEATTLE (2 - 1) - 9/2/2005, 9:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
    SEATTLE is 1-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    Comment


    • #3
      GL on the trends Spark

      Comment


      • #4
        Friday, September 2nd

        Indiana at Central Michigan, 7:30 EST ESPNU
        Indiana - 6-1 Under last seven games with a posted total
        Central Michigan - 4-12 ATS vs. non-conference opponents

        Arizona at Utah, 8:00 EST ESPN
        Arizona - 2-7 ATS in road games
        Utah - 10-0 ATS vs. non-conference opponents

        ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

        Comment


        • #5
          Friday, September 2
          -- Indiana routed Central Michigan 41-10 last year, despite being outgained 379-334; they're road fave for just second time in last six years. Chippewas covered only seven of last 22 as dog, two of 10 vs Big 11. New IU coach Hoeppner left better team at Miami, OH to build Hoosier program; he has soph QB, and team that covered just six of last 18 non-league games. Central's QB has made ten career starts.

          -- Arizona just 4-10 as road dog since '02; they lost 23-6 at home to Utah last year, but were outgained by just 326-312 (Utah +4 TO's). Utes have new coach, QB and only 10 starters back, but they're 9-2 in last eleven tries as home favorite. Wildcats covered first road game in just five of last seventeen seasons.

          Comment


          • #6
            Hot pitchers
            -- Hudson is 3-0, 2.08 in his last three starts. Milton is
            2-0, 3.96 in his last four starts.
            -- Willis is 3-0, 1.25 in his last three starts.
            -- Mulder is 2-0, 0.53 in his last two starts; Cardinals are 10-1 in his last eleven starts.
            -- S. Kim is 1-0, 3.00 in two starts, both Rockie wins. Weaver is 5-0, 3.43 in his last six starts.
            -- Webb is 3-2, 2.68 in his last six starts. Schmidt is 4-0, 3.13 in his last five starts.

            -- Maine is 1-1, 2.79 in two starts this season.
            -- Hendrickson is 4-0, 4.38 in his last six starts. Downs is 2-1, 2.45 in his last four starts.
            -- Sabathia is 5-0, 3.27 in his last five starts.
            -- Young is 2-0, 0.45 in his last three starts.
            -- Bronx is 4-1 in last five Leiter starts (3-0, 3.72).
            -- Seattle is 11-5 in Moyer's last sixteen starts.

            Cold pitchers
            -- Maddux is 2-4, 4.50 in his last six starts. Pittsburgh is 2-7 in Fogg's last nine games.
            -- Padilla has 6.19 RA in his last three starts. Halama lost his first start for Nats, allowing two runs in 5.2 IP.
            -- Zambrano has 5.22 RA in his last five starts.
            -- Capuano is 2-3, 4.60 in his last five starts. Padres are 2-9 in Lawrence's last eleven starts.
            -- EAstacio is 0-2, 5.68 in his last four starts.


            -- Lefty Dinardo is Boston prospect who was 6-3, 3.15 in 22 starts in minor leagues this season, allowing 109 hits in 108.7 innings pitched.
            -- White Sox are 1-4 in last five Garcia starts. Douglass has 10.42 RA in his last four starts.
            -- Twins scored 43 runs in winning last five Radke starts.
            -- Greinke is 0-5, 8.08 in his last seven starts.
            -- Haren is 1-3, 3.41 in his last four starts.
            -- Byrd is 0-2, 4.58 in his last three starts.


            Totals
            -- Four of last five Cub road games stayed under total.
            -- Over is 6-2 in last eight Philly road games.
            -- Under is 9-2-2 in last thirteen Cincinnati road games.
            -- Last seven Willis starts stayed under the total.
            -- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine San Diego road games.
            -- Under is 7-2 in Houston's last nine home games.
            -- Under is 10-4-1 in last fifteen games at Coors Field.
            -- Webb's last four starts all stayed under the total.

            -- Under is 14-0-1 in last fifteen Fenway games.
            -- Over is 7-2 in last nine Devil Ray games.
            -- Over is 10-2 in Tigers' last twelve games.
            -- Under is 9-3-2 in last fourteen Radke starts.
            -- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Texas road games.
            -- Under is 10-4 in last fourteen Bronx road games.
            -- Under is 8-1 in last nine games at Anaheim.


            Hot teams
            -- Phillies are 13-6 in their last nineteen road games.
            -- Braves won five of their last six games.
            -- Marlins are 14-7 in last twenty-one home games.
            -- Padres won four of their last five games.
            -- Astros allowed six runs in winning last four at home. Cardinals are 6-2 in their last eight games.
            -- Dodgers won four of their last five games.
            -- Giants won four of their last five games.

            -- Red Sox are 18-1 in last nineteen home games.
            -- Indians are 10-4 in last fourteen road games.
            -- Rangers won five of their last six games.
            -- Bronx won ten of their last fourteen games
            -- Angels are 12-3 in first game of their last fifteen home series, 6-1 since All-Star Break.

            Cold Teams
            -- Cubs lost eight of their last eleven games. Pirates lost six of their last seven games.
            -- Nationals lost five of last six games.
            -- Reds scored three runs in three-game sweep at hands of the Astros in Houston.
            -- Mets lost four of their last five games.
            -- Brewers lost four of their last five games.
            -- Rockies lost seven of last ten home games.
            -- Arizona is 6-12 in last eighteen home games.


            -- Orioles are 3-10 last 13 games, but won last two.
            -- Devil Rays allowed 31 runs in losing last four games. Blue Jays are 3-10 in their last thirteen games.
            -- Tigers lost six of their last eight games. White Sox are 6-12 in last eighteen home games.
            -- Twins are 10-11 at home since All-Star Break.
            -- Royals lost six of their last seven games.
            -- A's lost six of their last seven home games.
            -- Seattle is 5-14 on road since All-Star Break.

            Comment


            • #7
              Friday, September 2

              National League:

              Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates, 7:05 EST
              Greg Maddux (R) vs. Josh Fogg (R)

              Maddux - 13-5 TSR with 1.92 ERA and 1.038 WHIP vs. Pittsburgh
              Fogg - 2-10 TSR in home games this season

              Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals, 7:05 EST
              Vicente Padilla (R) vs. John Halama (L)

              Padilla - Philadelphia 16-6 in road games when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons
              Halama - Washington 34-12 Under second half of the season

              Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves, 7:35 EST
              Eric Milton (L) vs. Tim Hudson (R)

              Milton - 14-3 Under in road games after giving up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings since 1997
              Hudson - 26-5 TSR after a game where he did not walk a batter since 1997

              New York Mets at Florida Marlins, 7:35 EST
              Victor Zambrano (R) vs. Dontrelle Willis (L)

              Zambrano - Mets 18-32 vs. Florida over the last three seasons
              Willis - 3-0 TSR with 1.27 ERA and 1.078 WHIP last three starts

              San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers, 8:05 EST
              Brian Lawrence (R) vs. Chris Capuano (L)

              Lawrence - 9-18 TSR this season
              Capuano - 13-4 TSR when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons

              St. Louis Cardinals at Houston Astros, 8:05 EST
              Mark Mulder (L) vs. Ezequiel Astacio (R)

              Mulder - 15-1 TSR in night games this season
              Astacio - Houston 9-1 Under in home games when playing on Friday this season

              Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies, 9:05 EST
              Jeff Weaver (R) vs. Sun-Woo Kim (R)

              Weaver - Los Angeles 20-7 in road games with a well rested bullpen who did not throw an inning last game since 1997
              Kim - Colorado 0-10 off 2 straight road losses against a division rival this season

              San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks, 9:40 EST
              Jason Schmidt (R) vs. Brandon Webb (R)

              Schmidt - 60-25 TSR on a grass field over the last 2 seasons
              Webb - 1-6 TSR in home games after a loss this season

              American League:

              Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox, 7:05 EST
              John Maine (R) vs. John Papelbon (R)

              Maine - n/a
              Papelbon - n/a

              Tampa Bay Devil Rays at Toronto Blue Jays, 7:05 EST
              Mark Hendrickson (L) vs. Scott Downs (L)

              Hendrickson - 7-0 Over on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season
              Downs - Toronto 28-53 when the total is 10 or higher over the last 2 seasons

              Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox, 8:05 EST
              Sean Douglass (R) vs. Freddy Garcia (R)

              Douglass - 8-1 Over in night games this season
              Garcia - 4-10 TSR in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons

              Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins, 8:10 EST
              C.C. Sabathia (L) vs. Brad Radke (R)

              Sabathia - 3-0 TSR with 2.57 ERA and 1.143 WHIP over his last three starts
              Radke - 41-55 TSR when working on 5 or 6 days rest since 1997

              Texas Rangers at Kansas City Royals, 8:10 EST
              Chris Young (R) vs. Zack Greinke (R)

              Young - 9-1 Under after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons
              Greinke - 5-22 TSR this season

              New York Yankees at Oakland Athletics, 10:05 EST
              Al Leiter (L) vs. Danny Haren (R)

              Leiter - 9-20 TSR when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons
              Haren - 8-0 TSR after walking <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings this season

              Seattle Mariners at Anaheim Angels, 10:05 EST
              Jamie Moyer (L) vs. Paul Byrd (R)

              Moyer - 42-16 Over as a road underdog since 1997
              Byrd - 30-14 Over when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997


              **Denotes Time Change
              TSR = Team Start Record

              Comment


              • #8
                Friday, 9/2/2005


                SEATTLE (57 - 76) at ANAHEIM (75 - 58) - 10:05 PM
                JAMIE MOYER (L) vs. PAUL BYRD (R)
                Top Trends for this game.
                SEATTLE is 57-75 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                SEATTLE is 11-30 (-15.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.
                SEATTLE is 49-95 (-31.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
                SEATTLE is 114-157 (-30.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
                SEATTLE is 35-51 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
                SEATTLE is 85-121 (-23.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
                SEATTLE is 21-33 (-10.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
                ANAHEIM is 77-58 (+5.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                ANAHEIM is 73-49 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                ANAHEIM is 59-37 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
                ANAHEIM is 44-20 (+24.6 Units) against the money line after shutting out their opponent since 1997.
                MOYER is 32-12 (+18.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday since 1997. (Team's Record)
                MOYER is 35-23 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
                ANAHEIM is 33-28 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
                ANAHEIM is 15-16 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.


                Head-to-Head Series History
                SEATTLE is 5-7 (+1.4 Units) against ANAHEIM this season
                7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.4 Units)



                JAMIE MOYER vs. ANAHEIM since 1997
                MOYER is 14-10 when starting against ANAHEIM with an ERA of 4.27 and a WHIP of 1.194.
                His team's record is 14-15 (-4.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 13-16. (-4.6 units)



                PAUL BYRD vs. SEATTLE since 1997
                BYRD is 5-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 1.60 and a WHIP of 1.322.
                His team's record is 5-0 (+8.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.6 units)

                Comment

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