NFL System Teasing 1983-2004

[MasterShakes]

Shakes, I'm going to bed. Go ahead and post additional systems. I'll gladly answer tomorrow.

Also, send Spark email requesting my email address. I'll send Spark email tomorrow that it's ok to forward you my email address.

Have a good nite and good luck in the upcoming football season.

Thanks for the help buddy... have a good one. I'll be in touch.

[frankb03]

It's hard to find the logic behind that, but it's hard to argue with 59% over that long of a period too.

I've spent tons of time study systems and data in the NFL and NBA. The one thing I learned? Go against what seems logical. Especially in the NBA. There's so many misconceptions. As I stated above there's lots of bad info on the web. I've tested many systems posted here and on the web with winning claims that were losing or average systems.

[jmarty6969]

frank check out how rj capps his games lmao

[MasterShakes]

Just summarizing what we learned in this thread:

1) TEASER: ALL 7.5 to 8.5 favorites win 71.78%, teaser wins 51.52%, PA: 3.04%

2) TEASER 7.5 to 8.5 HOME favorites win 73.73%, teaser wins 54.36%, PA: 8.72%

3) TEASER: ALL 1.5 to 8.5 dogs win 71.93%, teaser wins 51.73%, PA: 3.46%

4) TEASER: 1.5 to 2.5 HOME dogs win 75.32%, teaser wins 56.73%, PA: 13.46% (!)

5) TEASER: 1.5 to 2.5 HOME dogs WHEN OPPONENT OFF A SU WIN win 81.1%, teaser wins 65.77%, PA: 31.24% (!!!)

6) TEASER: ALL 7-point favorites win 75.2%, teaser wins 56.55%, PA: 13.1%

7) TEASER: ALL 3-point DOGS win 73.66%, teaser wins 54.25%, PA: 8.5%

8) STRAIGHT ATS: HOME DOG vs. team off SU win - 55.3%, PA: 5.6%

9) STRAIGHT ATS: HOME DOG of 1.5 to 3.5 when off their own win - 59.8%, PA: 14.6%

In order to figure out what percentage of the time a teaser will win, take the individual games win percentage with the extra six points and multiply them together, then move the decimal two points to the left. Player advantage is the percentage above 50% doubled (e.g., if winning 55%, PA is 10%).

Again, be sure that you're getting +100 odds on these teasers and that ties push. If ties lose, this changes all of this. If you're laying -110, you won't be winning much with these, if anything.