Announcement

**Spark** · 08-13-2005, 01:20 PM

Hot pitchers
-- Cardinals won last ten Carpenter starts (8-0, 0.97)
-- Seo is 3-1, 1.42 in four starts this season, why has he been in minor leagues almost all season?
-- Beckett is 3-2, 3.86 since coming off the DL.
-- Ohka is 1-1, 2.89 in his last three starts.
-- Clemens is 4-0, 1.33 in his last four starts.
-- Armas is 2-1, 3.67 in his last five starts.
-- Padilla has 3.10 RA in last three starts, but Phils have lost all three games, scoring total of three runs.

-- Mussina is 2-2, 3.48 his last five starts. Bronx is 6-3 in his last nine home outings.
-- Colon is 3-0, 4.21 in his last four starts. Seattle is 4-1 in last five Franklin starts.
-- A's are 6-2 in last eight Saarloos starts.
-- Wakefield is 3-0, 3.63 in his last three starts. Garland has 2.33 RA in his last four road starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Ortiz makes first start since 6/15; he was 0-4, 7.85 in his last five starts. Thomson makes first start since 5/16; he was 2-0, 3.19 in his last five starts. Both were hurt.
-- JWilliams is 0-2, 6.75 in his last three starts.
-- Houlton is 0-3, 6.07 in his last five starts.
-- Tomko is 1-4, 7.24 in his last eight starts.
-- Ortiz is 0-2, 7.54 in his last three starts.
-- KWells is 0-4, 5.20 in his last five starts.
-- Colorado is 1-3 in BKim's last four home starts.
-- Astacio is 1-2, 5.85 in four starts for San Diego.

-- Dominguez is 0-2, 5.11 in 14 IP in bigs this season; he had 55 strikeouts in 73 minor league innings, starting just nine games-- mostly a reliever.
-- Mays is 0-4, 9.20 in his last six starts.
-- Maine was 6-11, 4.56 in 23 minor league starts. Bush has 5.04 RA in his last four starts.
-- Elarton is 1-2, 4.86 in his last five starts. McClung is 2-5, 6.65 in eight starts this season.
-- Johnson has 6.75 RA in his last four starts. Lima is 0-2 9.31 in his last two starts.

Totals
-- Under is 10-2-1 in last thirteen Arizona road games.
-- Over is 6-3 in last nine St Louis road games.
-- Under is 8-4 in last twelve Met road games.
-- Under is 7-1 in last eight Florida home games.
-- Under is 7-1-3 in last eleven games at Miller Park.
-- Last five Houston home games went over total.
-- Under is 10-3 in BKim's starts this season.
-- Last three Padilla starts stayed under the total.

-- Over is 10-0-1 in last eleven Ranger games.
-- Five of last six Colon starts went over the total.
-- Under is 9-4 in Twins' last thirteen road games, 8-0 in last eight starts by Saarloos.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Toronto road games.
-- Four of last five Indian home games went over.
-- Last seven Fenway games went over the total.
-- Six of last nine Detroit road games went over total.

Hot teams
-- Arizona is 6-3 in its last nine road games. Braves are 8-3 in their last eleven home contests.
-- Cardinals are 16-8 in their last 24 road games.
-- Marlins won six of their last eight home games.
-- Reds won their last nine road games.
-- Houston is 24-4 in its last 28 home games.
-- Colorado is 8-5 in its last thirteen games.
-- Phillies won six of last eight road games. San Diego won seven of its last ten games.

-- Bronx is 13-5 in its last eighteen home games.
-- A's are 20-5 in their last twenty-five home games.
-- Orioles are 5-3 under Sammy Perlozzo. Toronto won eight of its last twelve games.
-- Indians won eleven of their last fourteen games.
-- Red Sox won their last twelve home games. White Sox are 19-7 in last twenty-six road games.

Cold Teams
-- Cubs lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Dodgers lost six of their last nine home games. Mets are 1-3 on west coast swing this week.
-- Giants lost four of last six road games.
-- Brewers lost seven of their last nine home games.
-- Pirates are 6-15 in their last twenty-one road games.
-- Nationals lost ten of last fourteen road games.

-- Rangers lost their last six road games.
-- Seattle is 9-13 in their last 22 home games. Angels lost seven of their last ten road games.
-- Twins lost nine of last twelve road games.
-- Devil Rays lost six of their last eight games.
-- Royals lost their last thirteen games. Detroit lost seven of last eight road games.

Umpires
-- Under is 5-0-1 last six Dowdy games, with dogs 5-1 in those six games. (Az-Atl)
-- Last six Winters starts stayed under, with faves 9-2 in his last eleven games. (StL-Chi)
-- Dog is 7-2 in West's last nine games. (NY-LA)
-- Over is 7-2 in last nine Timmons games. (SF-Fla)
-- Three of last four Reynolds games stayed under the total. (Cin-Mtl)
-- Favorite is 8-1 in last nine Scott games, with four of last five going over total. (Pitt-Hst)
-- Dogs are 5-2 in last seven Montague tilts. (Wsh-Col)
-- Last six Vanover games went over; underdog is 7-5 in his last dozen games behind plate. (Phil-SD)

-- Favorite won last five Hernandez games. (Tex-NY)
-- Dogs are 5-1 in last six Guccione games. (LA-Sea)
-- Over is 10-5 last fifteen Hudson games. (Min-A's)
-- Under is 11-5-1 in Schrieber games, with dogs 5-2 in his last seven games. (Tor-Blt)
-- Dogs are 7-4 in last 11 Rapuano games. (TB-Cle)
-- Favorite is 9-2 last 11 Barrett games, with last three all going over the total. (Chi-Bos)

**Spark** · 08-13-2005, 01:21 PM

-- Five of last six Atlanta home summer games went over total. Falcons back from last week's Japan game. Ray Lewis back in Atlanta, where his career almost ended after the infamous trial of few years back.
-- Ravens beat Atlanta last two summers, 13-10/24-0; Vick got hurt vs Baltimore two years ago.
-- Carolina won and covered last nine summer games.
-- Eight of last ten Washington summer games stayed under total. Skins lost to Carolina last two summers.
-- Last six Denver summer games stayed under total.
-- Houston covered two of last eleven summer games.
-- Arizona covered six of last eight summer games; it is big in Arizona for Cardinals to beat Dallas (old NFC East rival).
-- Parcells also tries to win these games; Dallas is 5-2 in their last seven summer games.
-- Dolphins played in Canton Monday night; Jacksonville which needs to sell tickets, won last four summer home games.
-- Four of last five Giant summer games went over total
-- New system for Browns, whose last five summer tilts all stayed under.
-- Colts back from Japan; they've won four of last five summer home games. Five of their last seven summer games went over. Colts 2-0 vs Bills last three summers.
-- Bills 5-2-1 vs spread last two summers; their last four summer road games went over total.
-- Alex Smith starts right off bat for 49ers, who failed to cover last five summer games, allowing 26.2 ppg.
-- Raiders covered just two of last eight in summer; their four games last summer were decided by total of 9 pts.

**Spark** · 08-13-2005, 01:28 PM

13) Leave it to the Patriots to unearth a QB who did not even play in college. Matt Cassel, a third-stringer at USC, was 13-23 Friday night, as New England got a 23-13 win at Cincinnati. Amazing.

12) Family ties: QB Joey, golfer Padraig and poker ace Dan Harrington are all cousins; Joey has a brother Mike, who is entering his senior year as QB for the Idaho Vandals, and is supposed to be pretty good.

11) Mike Lowell pulled hidden ball trick on Arizona Wednesday, with tying run on third and one out, with Marlins leading by run in seventh inning. Florida went on for a 10-5 win, but Lowell made a huge play.

10) U of Houston head coach Art Briles once had a four-year run as a high school coach at Stephanine HS in Texas, where he was 90-2-1 for six years, with four state championships. Cougars are slowly getting better although they won't be 90-2-1 anytime soon.

9) Middle Tennessee and North Texas play biggest game of Sun Belt Conference season September 10, so is it possible that when these two clubs face LSU and Alabama the previous week, they will be looking past these SEC heavyweights? Just asking..........

8) Navy football is 18-7 the last two seasons; how is it that no bigtime schools come calling for Paul Johnson, who also won very big at Georgia Southern?

7) Terrell Owens has made himself unwanted in NFL circles. He can't go back to the Eagles, because he is a master at burning bridges, and his salary demands preclude anybody else from having interest.

6) If he wants to put the blame for all this where it truly belongs, he should look in the mirror, then make a call to his agent. my guess is Eagles pay him to go away, then cut him after the season.

5) One word about Nick Saban: LSU plays Vandy, Appalachian State and North Texas this year; Miami Dolphins play Patriots, Jets and Bills twice each, and he also has ten other games. Right around Halloween, Saban might be pining for the good ol' SEC.

4) If I coached an NFL team, I would never kick FG when it was fourth and less than 3; I would use those plays as a chance to find out about my players. Can we make a first down? There is nothing in preseason game that resembles pressure of a regular season kick for a kicker, but there is for tackle or receiver.

3) Bronx has a $200 million payroll, and 60% of their rotation is Small-Chacon-Leiter. Wow.

2) Don Harnum, basketball coach at Rider, will not coach the Broncs this year, as he takes a year off to be the interim AD at Rider. He will resume basketball duties for 2006-07 season. The school president must really think a lot of Harnum to offer him this post.

1) If I could change two things about baseball (really, I'd like to change about 42), I'd outlaw coaches going to mound during inning, and I'd get rid of advantage that occurs when lefties are allowed to balk on throws to first base, holding runners on. Base stealing is fun, it should be encouraged.

**Spark** · 08-13-2005, 02:22 PM

Saturday, August 13th

National League:

Arizona at Atlanta, 1:20 EST
Russ Ortiz (R) vs. John Thomson (R)

Ortiz - Arizona 11-31 off BB wins
Thomson - Atlanta 13-3 off BB losses

St. Louis at Chicago Cubs, 1:20 EST
Chris Carpenter (R) vs. Jerome Williams (R)

Carpenter - St. Louis 16-0 after scoring 1 or 0 runs
Williams - Cubs 1-6 vs. Chris Carpenter

New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers, 4:05 EST
Jae Seo (R) vs. DJ Houlton (R)

Seo - Mets 8-24 after blowing a save
Houlton - Dodgers 24-12 Over in August

San Francisco at Florida, 7:05 EST
Brett Tomko (R) vs. Josh Beckett (R)

Tomko - San Francisco 28-8 off BB wins by 2 runs or less
Beckett - 2-7 TSR at home in the second half of the season

Cincinnati at Milwaukee, 7:05 EST
Ramon Ortiz (R) vs. Tomokazu Ohka (R)

Ortiz - 18-9 TSR as a road underdog of +125 to +175
Ohka - Milwaukee 10-27 in August

Pittsburgh at Houston, 7:05 EST
Kip Wells (R) vs. Roger Clemens (R)

Wells - Pittsburgh 6-35 as an underdog of +175 to +250
Clemens - Houston 39-16 in home games

Washington at Colorado, 8:05 EST
Tony Armas (R) vs. Byung-Hyun Kim (R)

Armas - Washington 19-10 with a total of 10+ runs
Kim - Colorado 9-25 after the bullpen allowed 0 runs

Philadelphia at San Diego, 10:05 EST
Vicente Padilla (R) vs. Pedro Astacio (R)

Padilla - Philadelphia 1-11 away after winning 3 of their last 4 games
Astacio - San Diego 19-8 revenging a one-run loss

American League:

Texas at New York Yankees, 1:05 EST
Jose Dominguez (R) vs. Mike Mussina (R)

Dominguez - Texas 8-1 away on Saturdays
Mussina - Mussina 12-3 Under with a total of 10+ runs

Anaheim at Seattle, 4:05 EST
Bartolo Colon (R) vs. Ryan Franklin (R)

Colon - 8-3 TSR in road games
Franklin - Seattle 7-23 as an underdog of +125 to +175

Minnesota at Oakland, 4:05 EST
Joe Mays (R) vs. Kirk Saarloos (R)

Mays - 7-14 TSR this season
Saarloos - Oakland 15-1 as a home favorite of -150 or higher

Toronto at Baltimore, 4:35 EST
David Bush (R) vs. John Maine (R)

Bush - Toronto 1-8 off a division shutout win
Maine - Baltimore 5-1 Over revenging a home loss by 10+ runs

Tampa Bay at Cleveland, 7:05 EST
Seth McClung (R) vs. Scott Elarton (R)

McClung - Tampa Bay 3-18 away off 5+ road games
Elarton - Cleveland 9-2 last 11 games

Chicago White Sox at Boston, 7:05 EST
Jon Garland (R) vs. Tim Wakefield (R)

Garland - White Sox 17-7 Under as an underdog of +150 or less
Wakefield - Boston 21-7 after scoring 8+ runs

Detroit at Kansas City, 7:10 EST
Jason Johnson (R) vs. Jose Lima (R)

Johnson - 10-1 Over away pitching on 5 or 6 days rest
Lima - Kansas City 0-13 last 13 games

**Denotes Time Change
TSR = Team Start Record

**Spark** · 08-13-2005, 05:16 PM

Saturday, August 13th

Baltimore at Atlanta, 7:30 EST

Baltimore - 8-2 ATS on artificial turf
Atlanta - 8-2 ATS as home favorites of 3 or less

Miami at Jacksonville, 7:30 EST

Miami - 14-7 ATS as a road underdog
Jacksonville - 6-1 Under last 2 years

Buffalo at Indianapolis, 8:00 EST

Buffalo - 0-4 ATS vs. AFC South opponents
Indianapolis - 16-7 Under in home games

Denver at Houston, 8:00 EST

Denver - 19-4 ATS on Saturdays
Houston - 0-6 ATS vs. conference opponents

Washington at Carolina, 8:00 EST

Washington - 1-9 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points
Carolina - 10-1 ATS vs. conference opponents

NY Giants at Cleveland, 8:00 EST

NY Giants - 5-17 ATS as a favorite
Cleveland - 12-5 ATS at home

Oakland at San Francisco, 8:00 EST

Oakland - 0-6 ATS in August
San Francisco - 4-1 Under as an underdog

Dallas at Arizona, 10:00 EST

Dallas - 3-17 ATS first two weeks of preseason
Arizona - 5-1 ATS as an underdog

Monday, August 15th

Philadelphia at Pittsburgh, 8:00 EST ESPN

Philadelphia - 6-1 Over in August
Pittsburgh - 3-8 ATS first two weeks of preseason
**Denotes Time Change

**Spark** · 08-13-2005, 05:16 PM

Saturday, 8/13/2005

BALTIMORE (0 - 0) at ATLANTA (1 - 0) - 8/13/2005, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 2-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (0 - 1) at JACKSONVILLE (0 - 0) - 8/13/2005, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 1-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUFFALO (0 - 0) at INDIANAPOLIS (0 - 1) - 8/13/2005, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (0 - 0) at HOUSTON (0 - 0) - 8/13/2005, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 19-4 ATS (+14.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 2-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 2-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (0 - 0) at CAROLINA (0 - 0) - 8/13/2005, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1993.
CAROLINA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1993.
CAROLINA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in August games over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY GIANTS (0 - 0) at CLEVELAND (0 - 0) - 8/13/2005, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1993.
NY GIANTS are 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in all games since 1993.
NY GIANTS are 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in all lined games since 1993.
NY GIANTS are 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) as a favorite since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OAKLAND (0 - 0) at SAN FRANCISCO (0 - 0) - 8/13/2005, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in August games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-1 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (0 - 0) at ARIZONA (0 - 0) - 8/13/2005, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in all games since 1993.
DALLAS is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1993.
DALLAS is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in all lined games since 1993.
DALLAS is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) as a favorite since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (0 - 0) at PITTSBURGH (0 - 0) - 8/15/2005, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 1-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

**Udog** · 08-13-2005, 07:50 PM

This is just too good, Spark. Thank you very much.

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Trends for Saturday

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