Dunkel Index - Sunday

[CoverBoy]

SUNDAY, AUGUST 7

National League

Washington* (Loaiza) 13.17 (1/2) San Diego (Peavy) 12.82
Total Runs: 7 1/2

New York Mets* (Zambrano) 12.96 (1/2) Chicago Cubs (Zambrano) 12.69
Total Runs: 9

Florida (Willis) 15.02 (1 1/2) Cincinnati* (Ortiz) 13.49
Total Runs: 10 1/2

L.A. Dodgers (Weaver) 12.19 (1/2) Pittsburgh* (Wells) 12.05
Total Runs: 8 1/2

Milwaukee (Ohka) 13.83 (Even) Philadelphia* (Padilla) 13.76
Total Runs: 10

St. Louis* (Carpenter) 14.17 (1/2) Atlanta (Sosa) 13.68
Total Runs: 8 1/2

Houston (Clemens) 14.85 (1 1/2) San Francisco* (Tomko) 13.36
Total Runs: 7

Arizona* (Vargas) 13.18 (1/2) Colorado (Wright) 12.93
Total Runs: 10

American League

Cleveland (Elarton) 14.46 (2) Detroit* (Johnson) 12.51
Total Runs: 9 1/2

Toronto* (Towers) 13.77 (1/2) New York Yankees (Leiter) 13.36
Total Runs: 11

Texas* (Young) 13.03 (1) Baltimore (Ponson) 12.41
Total Runs: 12

Boston (Wakefield) 14.07 (1) Minnesota* (Mays) 13.12
Total Runs: 10

Oakland (Haren) 15.04 (3) Kansas City* (Hernandez) 11.81
Total Runs: 9

Chicago White Sox* (Garland) 14.86 (2 1/2) Seattle (Harris) 12.57
Total Runs: 9

L.A. Angels* (Colon) 14.81 (1) Tampa Bay (McClung) 13.60
Total Runs: 9 1/2

[Spark]

Dunkel rating for each team, every day based on a variety
of factors. then compare the two ratings to determine a margin of victory
based on runs that are listed in increments of 1/2 runs. So, for example,
today's Dunkel line for Oakland @ K.C. reads:

Oakland (Blanton) 15.39 (3 1/2) Kansas City* (Lima) 11.92
Total Runs: 9

The 15.39 is Oakland's Dunkel rating with Blanton pitching and the 11.92 is
Kansas City's Dunkel rating with Lima pitching. The 3 1/2 is the number of
runs we have Oakland favored. The 9 is the number of total runs we expect
to be scored. The * signifies that K.C. is the home team.

Generally, teams that we have favored by 1 1/2 runs or more are strong
straight-up plays. Games where the higher-rated team is favored by only a
run or less are good underdog plays, especially utilizing the 1 1/2-run
spread. Underdogs that are favored by a run or more are solid straight-ups
in the other direction. And our run totals have been right nearly 60
percent of the time when differing from the line.