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  • Trends Friday

    MLB Baseball Trends

    Friday, July 29th

    National League:

    Arizona Diamondbacks at Chicago Cubs, 2:20 EST
    Javier Vazquez (R) vs. Mark Prior (R)

    Vazquez - Arizona 56-115 as an underdog over the last 2 seasons
    Prior - Cubs 6-1 Under at home vs. Arizona over the last 3 seasons

    Philadelphia Phillies at Colorado Rockies, 5:05 EST
    Brett Myers (R) vs. Shawn Chacon (R)

    Myers - 13-3 TSR against NL West opponents over the last 2 seasons
    Chacon - 0-9 TSR in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons

    Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves, 7:35 EST
    Dave Williams (L) vs. Horacio Ramirez (L)

    Williams - 6-1 TSR on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season
    Ramirez - Atlanta 100-70 Under in night games over the last 2 seasons

    Washington Nationals at Florida Marlins, 7:35 EST
    Tony Armas (R) vs. Josh Beckett (R)

    Armas - Washington 15-5 Under in July
    Beckett - 0-6 TSR on Friday over the last 2 seasons

    New York Mets at Houston Astros, 8:05 EST
    Kris Benson (R) vs. Wandy Rodriguez (L)

    Benson - 9-1 TSR when the money line is -100 to -150 this season
    Rodriguez - Houston 7-0 Under on Friday this season

    San Francisco Giants at Milwaukee Brewers, 8:05 EST
    Kirk Rueter (L) vs. Doug Davis (L)

    Rueter - 9-3 TSR vs. Milwaukee with 2.31 ERA and 1.141 WHIP
    Davis - Milwaukee 1-6 at home vs. San Francisco over the last 3 seasons

    Cincinnati Reds at San Diego Padres, 10:05 EST
    Luke Hudson (R) vs. Pedro Astacio (R)

    Hudson - Cincinnati 8-23 in road games against right-handed starters this season
    Astacio - San Diego 25-9 Under in night games this season

    St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers, 10:40 EST
    Matt Morris (R) vs. Brad Penny (R)

    Morris - 6-18 TSR in road games when working on 5 or 6 days rest since 1997
    Penny - 22-9 Under when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons

    American League:

    Anaheim Angels at New York Yankees, 7:05 EST
    Ervin Santana (R) vs. Mike Mussina (R)

    Santana - Anaheim 21-15 as an underdog this season
    Mussina - Yankees 5-11 on Friday this season

    Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox, 7:05 EST
    Carlos Silva (R) vs. Wade Miller (R)

    Silva - 16-6 TSR when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons
    Miller - 2-8 TSR when the total is 10 or higher over the last 2 seasons

    Texas Rangers at Toronto Blue Jays, 7:05 EST
    Chan Ho Park (R) vs. Scott Downs (L)

    Park - 11-3 TSR against AL East opponents since 1997
    Downs - Toronto 8-17 vs. Texas over the last 3 seasons

    Kansas City Royals at Tampa Bay Devil Rays, 7:15 EST
    Daniel Carrasco (R) vs. Casey Fossum (L)

    Carrasco - Kansas City 18-45 as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons
    Fossum - 8-1 Under when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season

    Chicago White Sox at Baltimore Orioles, 7:35 EST
    Orlando Hernandez (R) vs. Erik Bedard (L)

    Hernandez - 11-3 TSR vs. Baltimore
    Bedard - Baltimore 14-5 Under as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season

    Cleveland Indians at Seattle Mariners, 10:05 EST
    Kevin Millwood (R) vs. Aaron Sele (R)

    Millwood - 12-3 Under this season
    Sele - 8-1 Under at home this season

    Detroit Tigers at Oakland Athletics, 10:05 EST
    Sean Douglass (R) vs. Rich Harden (R)

    Douglass - Detroit 16-35 after allowing 8 runs or more over the last 2 seasons
    Harden - Oakland 12-0 as a home favorite of -150 or more this season


    **Denotes Time Change
    TSR = Team Start Record

  • #2
    More Later ...

    Hot pitchers
    -- Vazquez is 2-2, 3.00 in his last four starts. Cubs won last three Prior starts, scoring 20 runs.

    --

    Cold pitchers
    --

    --


    Totals
    -- Under is 7-4-1 in last dozen Prior starts, 5-1 in last six Vazquez outings.

    --


    Hot teams
    -- Arizona is 8-6 in last fourteen road games. Cubs won 10 of their last fifteen games.

    Comment


    • #3
      12) Brett Favre, Steve McNair, Jerry Rice, Walter Payton and Eli Manning all played college football in the state of Mississippi, all at different colleges.

      11) Didn't get a chance to say so long to Dave, hoops fan from Cocoa Beach who was a valued companion for much of the last nine days. A Kentucky fan, Dave is a retired engineer who knows a good point guard when he sees one.

      10) Since June 1, the Padres are 18-32, and their lead in NL West shrunk from three to two games.

      9) Shawn Chacon, acquired by Bronx Thursday, has a 2-20 record in his last twenty-two decisions.

      8) So Larry Brown is now coaching the Knicks. Had this been a movie, it would have been written off as a bad one, a stupid, implausible story. Real life is whole lot stranger than fiction.

      7) Barry Alvarez has authored a smooth transition as he announced this will be his last year as the football coach at Wisconsin, and also announced a successor. This approach usually is quite successful.

      6) Manny Ramirez was told he was getting a day off Wednesday, but then the Red Sox asked him to play, because they had injury issues, especially since they had Thursday off. Ramirez apparently refused to play; doesn't this qualify as breach of contract?

      5) The Braves are in first place again. Bobby Cox has to be the greatest active manager and a lock for the Hall of Fame. Look at the players they are using as yet another division is being won. Why is he underrated?

      Comment


      • #4
        6) Manny Ramirez was told he was getting a day off Wednesday, but then the Red Sox asked him to play, because they had injury issues, especially since they had Thursday off. Ramirez apparently refused to play; doesn't this qualify as breach of contract?

        It should! It surely qualifies as a breach of responsibility and decency!!!! That's really disappointing!

        Comment


        • #5
          I just read that, last night, NBC reported Larry Luchinno as saying that, even though it will be extremely difficult due to the size of his contract, Ramirez will be gone by Sunday.

          Comment


          • #6
            Originally posted by Udog
            I just read that, last night, NBC reported Larry Luchinno as saying that, even though it will be extremely difficult due to the size of his contract, Ramirez will be gone by Sunday.
            If that happens, Sox season in my opinion will be over and team won't make the playoffs and probably won't either for the next couple of seasons. jmho

            Comment


            • #7
              Originally posted by savage1
              If that happens, Sox season in my opinion will be over and team won't make the playoffs and probably won't either for the next couple of seasons. jmho
              I couldn't agree more, savage. He is a horse!
              I think I can understand the organization's feelings, though. They're probably thinking that, when a guy is being compensated like Manny is, it wouldn't hurt a thing do a little something extra now and then.

              Comment


              • #8
                Friday, 7/29/2005


                ST LOUIS (64 - 37) at LOS ANGELES (46 - 56) - 10:40 PM
                MATT MORRIS (R) vs. BRAD PENNY (R)
                Top Trends for this game.
                ST LOUIS is 32-30 (-14.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
                PENNY is 14-6 (+10.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
                ST LOUIS is 175-102 (+28.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                ST LOUIS is 84-52 (+20.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
                ST LOUIS is 14-2 (+11.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday this season.
                ST LOUIS is 170-98 (+28.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
                ST LOUIS is 43-19 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
                ST LOUIS is 129-76 (+24.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
                LOS ANGELES is 46-56 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                LOS ANGELES is 46-56 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.


                Head-to-Head Series History
                ST LOUIS is 3-1 (+0.8 Units) against LOS ANGELES this season
                3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.8 Units)



                MATT MORRIS vs. LOS ANGELES since 1997
                MORRIS is 3-3 when starting against LOS ANGELES with an ERA of 4.44 and a WHIP of 1.328.
                His team's record is 4-4 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-3. (+1.7 units)



                BRAD PENNY vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
                PENNY is 2-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.28 and a WHIP of 1.642.
                His team's record is 3-4 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.5 units)




                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                ANAHEIM (59 - 43) at NY YANKEES (54 - 46) - 7:05 PM
                ERVIN SANTANA (R) vs. MIKE MUSSINA (R)
                Top Trends for this game.
                ANAHEIM is 60-43 (+6.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                ANAHEIM is 29-21 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
                ANAHEIM is 61-48 (+20.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday since 1997.
                ANAHEIM is 56-37 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                ANAHEIM is 46-29 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
                ANAHEIM is 46-28 (+11.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
                ANAHEIM is 28-16 (+8.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
                NY YANKEES are 53-46 (-21.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                NY YANKEES are 5-11 (-11.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday this season.
                NY YANKEES are 49-41 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                NY YANKEES are 33-32 (-21.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
                NY YANKEES are 36-32 (-14.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.


                Head-to-Head Series History
                ANAHEIM is 5-2 (+4.2 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
                4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)



                ERVIN SANTANA vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
                SANTANA is 1-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 2.000.
                His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)



                MIKE MUSSINA vs. ANAHEIM since 1997
                MUSSINA is 5-4 when starting against ANAHEIM with an ERA of 3.52 and a WHIP of 1.272.
                His team's record is 9-5 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-4. (+5.8 units)




                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                MINNESOTA (54 - 47) at BOSTON (56 - 45) - 7:05 PM
                CARLOS SILVA (R) vs. WADE MILLER (R)
                Top Trends for this game.
                BOSTON is 106-46 (+34.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
                BOSTON is 220-185 (-60.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.
                BOSTON is 10-14 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.


                Head-to-Head Series History
                There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.



                CARLOS SILVA vs. BOSTON since 1997
                SILVA is 1-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 1.422.
                His team's record is 1-0 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)



                WADE MILLER vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
                No recent starts.




                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                TEXAS (51 - 50) at TORONTO (52 - 49) - 7:05 PM
                CHAN HO PARK (R) vs. SCOTT DOWNS (L)
                Top Trends for this game.
                TORONTO is 52-49 (+5.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                TORONTO is 39-27 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
                TEXAS is 75-64 (+10.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
                TEXAS is 141-122 (+27.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                TEXAS is 95-83 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
                PARK is 71-43 (+23.9 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
                TORONTO is 107-126 (-44.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 since 1997.


                Head-to-Head Series History
                TEXAS is 5-2 (+3.0 Units) against TORONTO this season
                4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.6 Units)



                CHAN HO PARK vs. TORONTO since 1997
                PARK is 0-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 11.56 and a WHIP of 1.927.
                His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)



                SCOTT DOWNS vs. TEXAS since 1997
                DOWNS is 0-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 16.85 and a WHIP of 1.873.
                His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)




                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                KANSAS CITY (38 - 64) at TAMPA BAY (37 - 66) - 7:15 PM
                DJ CARRASCO (R) vs. CASEY FOSSUM (L)
                Top Trends for this game.
                TAMPA BAY is 53-55 (+16.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
                TAMPA BAY is 69-73 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 2 seasons.
                TAMPA BAY is 18-13 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
                TAMPA BAY is 117-135 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 3 seasons.
                KANSAS CITY is 47-44 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.


                Head-to-Head Series History
                KANSAS CITY is 3-2 (+1.3 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
                3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)



                DJ CARRASCO vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
                CARRASCO is 0-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.167.
                His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)



                CASEY FOSSUM vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
                FOSSUM is 1-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 6.13 and a WHIP of 1.635.
                His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)




                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                CHI WHITE SOX (65 - 35) at BALTIMORE (51 - 50) - 7:35 PM
                ORLANDO HERNANDEZ (R) vs. ERIK BEDARD (L)
                Top Trends for this game.
                CHI WHITE SOX are 66-35 (+22.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                CHI WHITE SOX are 27-11 (+12.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
                CHI WHITE SOX are 32-16 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
                CHI WHITE SOX are 16-5 (+9.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
                CHI WHITE SOX are 60-32 (+19.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                CHI WHITE SOX are 43-22 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
                CHI WHITE SOX are 11-3 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters this season.
                CHI WHITE SOX are 27-14 (+10.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                BALTIMORE is 7-16 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
                BALTIMORE is 38-48 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
                BALTIMORE is 50-51 (-9.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                BALTIMORE is 8-25 (-20.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
                BALTIMORE is 6-11 (-9.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 this season.


                Head-to-Head Series History
                BALTIMORE is 2-2 (+0.2 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
                2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)



                ORLANDO HERNANDEZ vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
                HERNANDEZ is 7-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.76 and a WHIP of 1.402.
                His team's record is 11-3 (+5.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-6. (+0.2 units)



                ERIK BEDARD vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
                BEDARD is 1-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 5.68 and a WHIP of 1.263.
                His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)




                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                CLEVELAND (53 - 50) at SEATTLE (44 - 57) - 10:05 PM
                KEVIN MILLWOOD (R) vs. AARON SELE (R)
                Top Trends for this game.
                CLEVELAND is 28-24 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
                CLEVELAND is 25-21 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
                CLEVELAND is 20-10 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
                CLEVELAND is 24-16 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
                SEATTLE is 107-156 (-38.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                SEATTLE is 32-46 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
                SEATTLE is 102-142 (-29.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
                SEATTLE is 70-109 (-31.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
                SEATTLE is 73-107 (-23.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
                SEATTLE is 63-93 (-23.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.


                Head-to-Head Series History
                CLEVELAND is 5-2 (+2.9 Units) against SEATTLE this season
                4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.6 Units)



                KEVIN MILLWOOD vs. SEATTLE since 1997
                MILLWOOD is 1-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.55 and a WHIP of 1.184.
                His team's record is 1-1 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)



                AARON SELE vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
                SELE is 4-8 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 5.36 and a WHIP of 1.588.
                His team's record is 4-12 (-11.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-8. (-2.1 units)




                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                DETROIT (50 - 51) at OAKLAND (55 - 46) - 10:05 PM
                SEAN DOUGLASS (R) vs. RICH HARDEN (R)
                Top Trends for this game.
                OAKLAND is 34-22 (+11.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
                OAKLAND is 71-24 (+25.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
                OAKLAND is 55-47 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                OAKLAND is 25-5 (+15.6 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -200 over the last 3 seasons.
                OAKLAND is 32-18 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
                OAKLAND is 17-7 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
                OAKLAND is 53-40 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.


                Head-to-Head Series History
                There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.



                SEAN DOUGLASS vs. OAKLAND since 1997
                No recent starts.



                RICH HARDEN vs. DETROIT since 1997
                HARDEN is 2-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 1.368.
                His team's record is 2-1 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)

                Comment

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