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I had a good Friday with all 3 dogs winning. For the year I went from being down a couple of units to ahead 2 units. Keep an eye on my dog plays. This looks like the turning point I was waiting for when big dogs like SF and Toronto tonight are winners. I was going to add this to my Friday thread but as I wrote this I kept thinking how its not too bad losing more games than I win but not losing any money. Then my mind got carried away and my fingers kept hitting the keys the more I thought about this. Everythng from this point on, I didn't intend to write, but now that I did, I think it might be helpful to someone who is new to betting baseball.
The beauty of these dog plays is that I have 11 less winners than losers yet I'm plus 2 units. Big deal you say being up only two units. It is when you realize not many of my plays win. I said at the beginning of baseball that hitting between 37 and 39% of my dog plays is my breakeven point and so far it looks like that is true for this season too. What I'm trying to say, especially to the newbies, is it's a lot harder to lose big units playing almost all dogs than playing mainly medium to big favorites. Can you imagine being 49-38 and losing 2 units. That's what playing all the favorites of my plays would have done. The juice can kill so be careful.
Anyone here who wants some action while waiting for football should be able to play all my dog plays without losing very much at worst and winning pretty good at best. I've been behind most of this season, but never more than 5 units. Call my plays the safe way to play. They won't win near as often as the other cappers here but when two winners can usually offset three losers, thats very important. What I'm trying to say is NOT that my dog plays are great. I'm trying to say to the guys here who are new to playing bases that laying even a little juice all the time, makes it hard to turn a profit and laying big juice can really hurt if they win only half the time. You have to win around 62% of your favorite plays just to break even.
I hope I'm not out of line writing this but I learned a long time ago that playing almost all favorites in baseball can be deadly and I hope I'm helping someone here to see how much harder it is to win just playing mostly favorites. I remember when USA today listed all of Pete Rose's bets for a month. He was playing two to three big favorites a day, mostly laying over four dimes just to win two dime. He got killed because even if he hit two out of three plays he was only even for the day and he had to hit all three plays to make a profit. And we all know how he did always betting Cincy and other big favorites. Anyway take this for what it's worth. I'm just trying to give back some of what I gained from everyone here at BettersChoice.
The beauty of these dog plays is that I have 11 less winners than losers yet I'm plus 2 units. Big deal you say being up only two units. It is when you realize not many of my plays win. I said at the beginning of baseball that hitting between 37 and 39% of my dog plays is my breakeven point and so far it looks like that is true for this season too. What I'm trying to say, especially to the newbies, is it's a lot harder to lose big units playing almost all dogs than playing mainly medium to big favorites. Can you imagine being 49-38 and losing 2 units. That's what playing all the favorites of my plays would have done. The juice can kill so be careful.
Anyone here who wants some action while waiting for football should be able to play all my dog plays without losing very much at worst and winning pretty good at best. I've been behind most of this season, but never more than 5 units. Call my plays the safe way to play. They won't win near as often as the other cappers here but when two winners can usually offset three losers, thats very important. What I'm trying to say is NOT that my dog plays are great. I'm trying to say to the guys here who are new to playing bases that laying even a little juice all the time, makes it hard to turn a profit and laying big juice can really hurt if they win only half the time. You have to win around 62% of your favorite plays just to break even.
I hope I'm not out of line writing this but I learned a long time ago that playing almost all favorites in baseball can be deadly and I hope I'm helping someone here to see how much harder it is to win just playing mostly favorites. I remember when USA today listed all of Pete Rose's bets for a month. He was playing two to three big favorites a day, mostly laying over four dimes just to win two dime. He got killed because even if he hit two out of three plays he was only even for the day and he had to hit all three plays to make a profit. And we all know how he did always betting Cincy and other big favorites. Anyway take this for what it's worth. I'm just trying to give back some of what I gained from everyone here at BettersChoice.
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