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NBA Finals Game 1 (first post)

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  • NBA Finals Game 1 (first post)

    First of all, I'd like to say that BC, by far, is the best forum site for sports-betting out there. I've been lurking around several forums for a couple of years now and found that BC has the best cappers hands down. Thanks for everything guys - I've learned a lot. It's been a profitable post-season for me, and I hope to end it on a positive note. With that being said, I feel that now is as good a time as any for my first post. For Game 1 of the NBA finals, I am going with the San Antonio Spurs - 6 ½ . Despite the long lay-off, I think that San Antonio will come out guns blazing which should be enough to cover the number. With a deeper bench, their ability to get it done on both ends of the floor, and a home record of 44-5 SU, I feel that San Antonio is the play. Just remember that San Antonio is something like 64-12-2 ATS when they win SU during the playoffs. They beat Phoenix at their own game and think that they will do the same to Detroit in Game 1.

    I am mostly a fundamental handicapper, analyzing match-ups and discovering who has the edges in key situations. In addition, I never blindly follow trends or systems - never have and never will. However, I do incorporate them into my capping, and feel that in certain instances they help me to be on the right side. So, for those of you who are interested, I've dug up a couple of playoff system plays that have been profitable in the past. Take it for what it’s worth.

    Home favorites (-11 ½ or less) are 43-20 ATS when facing a sub .700 opponent in Game 1 of Round 2 or later. 28-8 ATS when home favorite has a W/L % or .700 or higher (play San Antonio).

    Road dogs (+5 or more) that are coming off a SU road dog win by five points or more are a weak 7-21 ATS (play against Detroit).


    NBA Finals record 0 - 0

    San Antonio Spurs - 6 ½
    10 units



    good luck,

    shift

  • #2
    Gl And Welcome Kinda Busy Over In The In Game Thread Bol
    2007 BCS and 2009 BCS CHAMPS
    2006 & 2007 NCAA MENS BASKETBALL CHAMPS
    2008 & 2010 RAYS BASEBALL AMERICAN LEAGUE CHAMPS

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    • #3
      GL Brother!

      ............... and Welcome!

      Comment


      • #4
        Best of luck with your pick and welcome to the forum!!!

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        • #5
          I'm the other way but welcome shiftdown and good luck in the future!

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          • #6
            gl Shft down and Welcome!
            RED LIGHT UP THAT CIGAR

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            • #7
              Welcome and GL---enjoy yourself here...It is the Best Forum around....You'll have fun with the fellows here...all helpful, yet all of em are ball busters...kapt


              Don't make me go Cajun on your Ass!

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              • #8
                Good Luck on your play, and welcome to the forum!!!
                "Calling an illegal alien an 'undocumented immigrant'
                is like calling a drug dealer an 'unlicensed pharmacist'"

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                • #9
                  Good Luck And Welcome. Person Like You Makes B. C. The Best Forum.
                  Win Or Lose, Please Keep Posting, Will You???

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                  • #10
                    nice winner last night. Congrats and welcome to the forum. Looking forward to your picks
                    2013 NCAA POD Record

                    8-3ATS +3.80 units

                    2013 NFL POD Record

                    1-2 ATS -4.50 units

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                    • #11
                      Can't start any better than that---good call...kapt


                      Don't make me go Cajun on your Ass!

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