Announcement

**Spark** · 06-09-2005, 11:50 AM

MLB Baseball Trends

Thursday June 9th

National League:

Houston Astros at New York Mets, 7:10 EST
Andy Pettitte (L) vs. Tom Glavine (L)

Pettitte - Houston 5-14 against left-handed starters this season
Glavine - 14-2 TSR vs. Houston with a 2.16 ERA and a 1.251 WHIP

Interleague Play:

Cleveland Indians at San Diego Padres, 3:35 EST
Jake Westbrook (R) vs. Adam Eaton (R)

Westbrook - Cleveland 73-92 when playing on Thursday since 1997
Eaton - 24-11 TSR in day games since 1997

Kansas City Royals at San Francisco Giants, 3:35 EST
Jose Lima (R) vs. Noah Lowry (L)

Lima - 9-3 TSR as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons
Lowry - San Francisco 13-23 as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons

Oakland Athletics at Washington Nationals, 7:05 EST
Joe Blanton (R) vs. Livan Hernandez (R)

Blanton - n/a
Hernandez - 10-1 TSR when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season

Seattle Mariners at Florida Marlins, 7:05 EST
Aaron Sele (R) vs. Josh Beckett (R)

Sele - 81-47 TSR in the first half of the season since 1997
Beckett - 27-13 Under in night games over the last 3 seasons

Texas Rangers at Philadelphia Phillies, 7:05 EST
Pedro Astacio (R) vs. Vicente Padilla (R)

Astacio - Texas 47-42 as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons
Padilla - 16-6 Over as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season

Tampa Bay Devil Rays at Cincinnati Reds, 7:10 EST
Casey Fossum (L) vs. Aaron Harang (R)

Fossum - Tampa Bay 2-15 in road games against right-handed starters this season
Harang - 22-9 Under at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 since 1997

Minnesota Twins at Arizona Diamondbacks, 9:40 EST
Kyle Lohse (R) vs. Javier Vazquez (R)

Lohse - 29-20 TSR as an underdog of +100 to +150 since 1997
Vazquez - Arizona 20-51 after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons

**Spark** · 06-09-2005, 11:50 AM

Additional Trends:Thursday, 6/9/2005

HOUSTON (22 - 35) at NY METS (31 - 28) - 7:10 PM
ANDY PETTITTE (L) vs. TOM GLAVINE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 22-35 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 77-78 (-22.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 5-14 (-10.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 390-350 (-62.4 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.
HOUSTON is 56-67 (-18.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 22-35 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 6-23 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 9-19 (-14.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 92-41 (+25.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.
NY METS are 22-9 (+14.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
GLAVINE is 14-24 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
GLAVINE is 14-24 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 4-1 (+2.4 Units) against HOUSTON this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.8 Units)

ANDY PETTITTE vs. NY METS since 1997
PETTITTE is 6-2 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.50 and a WHIP of 1.349.
His team's record is 10-5 (+4.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-8. (-1.8 units)

TOM GLAVINE vs. HOUSTON since 1997
GLAVINE is 11-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.16 and a WHIP of 1.251.
His team's record is 14-2 (+11.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-8. (-2.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (28 - 29) at SAN DIEGO (34 - 25) - 3:35 PM
JAKE WESTBROOK (R) vs. ADAM EATON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 73-92 (-40.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday since 1997.
CLEVELAND is 89-94 (-36.7 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
SAN DIEGO is 487-485 (+35.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
SAN DIEGO is 348-360 (+23.9 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997.
EATON is 10-2 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
EATON is 24-11 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)
EATON is 10-2 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 101-96 (+7.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 80-69 (+16.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 18-21 (-16.1 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-0 (+3.2 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

JAKE WESTBROOK vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.

ADAM EATON vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
EATON is 0-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.125.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (19 - 39) at SAN FRANCISCO (24 - 33) - 3:35 PM
JOSE LIMA (R) vs. NOAH LOWRY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 25-59 (-24.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 25-53 (-21.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 77-143 (-36.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 281-190 (+57.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 425-268 (+66.4 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 15-8 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in road games in June games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 28-28 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 45-37 (+20.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
LIMA is 30-20 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LIMA is 21-13 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-10 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 24-33 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 13-24 (-13.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 11-21 (-10.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 24-33 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 2-0 (+2.5 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)

JOSE LIMA vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
LIMA is 5-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 5.46 and a WHIP of 1.492.
His team's record is 6-4 (+3.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-2. (+3.7 units)

NOAH LOWRY vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (23 - 35) at WASHINGTON (33 - 26) - 7:05 PM
JOE BLANTON (R) vs. LIVAN HERNANDEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 4-15 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
OAKLAND is 23-35 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 92-79 (-21.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 8-22 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
OAKLAND is 28-39 (-19.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 104-97 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 15-25 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
OAKLAND is 14-28 (-14.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 92-88 (+16.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 33-26 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 17-10 (+9.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
WASHINGTON is 20-9 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
WASHINGTON is 69-43 (+25.2 Units) against the money line in home games in June games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 45-25 (+22.4 Units) against the money line in home games in an inter-league game since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 32-24 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
WASHINGTON is 22-16 (+9.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HERNANDEZ is 10-3 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
HERNANDEZ is 10-3 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 86-59 (+28.1 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-0 (+2.1 Units) against OAKLAND this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

JOE BLANTON vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.

LIVAN HERNANDEZ vs. OAKLAND since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 1-2 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 5.75 and a WHIP of 1.573.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (25 - 32) at FLORIDA (29 - 27) - 7:05 PM
AARON SELE (R) vs. JOSH BECKETT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 52-79 (-22.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 19-45 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 88-131 (-36.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 37-71 (-25.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 83-120 (-31.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 55-93 (-34.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 26-51 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 89-64 (+28.5 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.
FLORIDA is 2-8 (-7.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
FLORIDA is 59-51 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 13-21 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 105-101 (-22.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 65-71 (-23.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 78-79 (-21.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 58-55 (-12.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 112-106 (-22.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-1 (+0.5 Units) against FLORIDA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)

AARON SELE vs. FLORIDA since 1997
SELE is 1-0 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 0.571.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

JOSH BECKETT vs. SEATTLE since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS (32 - 25) at PHILADELPHIA (32 - 28) - 7:05 PM
PEDRO ASTACIO (R) vs. VICENTE PADILLA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-11 (+8.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TEXAS is 16-8 (+9.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
TEXAS is 121-98 (+31.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 53-56 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 64-46 (+27.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 11 to 11.5 since 1997.
TEXAS is 115-90 (+34.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 81-65 (+19.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 28-17 (+12.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 (+2.2 Units) against TEXAS this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)

PEDRO ASTACIO vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
ASTACIO is 6-5 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 5.48 and a WHIP of 1.569.
His team's record is 6-5 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-3. (+4.8 units)

VICENTE PADILLA vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (20 - 39) at CINCINNATI (23 - 35) - 7:10 PM
CASEY FOSSUM (L) vs. LUKE HUDSON (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

CASEY FOSSUM vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
FOSSUM is 1-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

LUKE HUDSON vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (35 - 22) at ARIZONA (31 - 29) - 9:40 PM
KYLE LOHSE (R) vs. JAVIER VAZQUEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 89-61 (+23.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 152-111 (+31.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 75-53 (+14.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 128-95 (+22.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 20-13 (+14.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 61-50 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LOHSE is 45-22 (+23.5 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 45-66 (-29.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 80-136 (-54.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 61-103 (-41.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 119-150 (-49.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 6-15 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in home games after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 48-92 (-42.8 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 82-140 (-56.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against ARIZONA this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

KYLE LOHSE vs. ARIZONA since 1997
LOHSE is 0-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 2.200.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

JAVIER VAZQUEZ vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
VAZQUEZ is 0-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 7.36 and a WHIP of 1.527.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

**Spark** · 06-09-2005, 11:51 AM

Hot pitchers
-- Pettitte has 0.69 RA in his last two starts, but Astros are 1-4 in his last five road outings. Glavine is 3-1, 2.16 in his last five starts.
-- Eaton is 4-0, 3.13 in his last five starts.
-- Hernandez is 6-0, 2.58 in his last eight starts; Nats won his last four starts at RFK.
-- Padilla is 2-1, 2.70 in his last three starts.
-- Beckett is 3-1, 2.59 in his last six starts; he is 6-0, 1.47 in his six home starts. Sele is 2-1, 2.42 in his last four starts.
-- Lohse is 4-1, 2.59 in his last five starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Indians are 3-9 in Westbrook starts, 1-5 on road.
-- Giants are 1-5 in last six Lowry home starts (3.92). Lima is 0-5, 9.15 in twelve starts this season.
-- Blanton is 0-4, 6.31 in his five road starts.
-- Astacio is 1-5, 8.22 in his last six starts.
-- LHudson comes off DL to start for Reds; he allowed four runs in 6.2 IP in his rehab start at AA. In 9 career big league starts, he is 4-2, 2.65. Fossum is 0-1, 4.05 in four big league starts this season.
-- Vazquez is 0-1, 9.82 in his last two starts.

Totals
-- Eight of last nine Astro road games stayed under.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven San Diego home games.
-- Over is 4-1 in last five San Francisco home games.
-- Under is 5-2 in last seven Oakland road games.
-- Over is 15-4 in last nineteen Phils' home games.
-- Under is 11-4-1 in last fifteen Seattle road games.
-- Over is 8-1 in last nine Tampa Bay road games.
-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Arizona home games.

Hot teams
-- Mets won five of their last seven games.
-- Indians won their last three road contests.
-- Royals are 6-2 under Bell, but are 2-9 in their last eleven road games.
-- Nationals are 13-2 in their last fifteen home games.
-- Phillies won eight of nine games, scoring 61 runs.
-- Reds won four of last five home games.
-- Twins won five of their last six away games.

Cold teams
-- Astros are 6-23 on the road this season.
-- Padres lost six of their last seven home games.
-- Giants lost eleven of their last twelve games.
-- A's are 2-17 in their last nineteen road games.
-- Seattle lost 13 of last 17 road games. Marlins lost 11 of their last fourteen games, five of seven at home.
-- Devil Rays lost 14 of last 16 road games; they scored 16 games in first two games of series, still lost both.
-- Diamondbacks lost seven of their last eight games.

**Spark** · 06-09-2005, 11:51 AM

Pistons @ Spurs-- Popovich, Brown are close friends; have to respect champ as underdog here, but Spurs are together team, unlike divided Lakers in last year's Finals. With Duncan, Ginobili, SA has best two players- they've got bench guys who contribute, and a quality PG. Home team won both series games this season. Spurs won by 80-77 margin, December 3, as 9-point favorite. Pistons got their revenge 110-101 in Palace on March 20.

Detroit is 5-4 on road in playoffs; with last eight away games staying under total. San Antonio won six of their last eight home games, losing first and last ones. Six of the last eight Spur games went over the total, but clubs they played preferred a faster pace than Detroit will.

**Udog** · 06-09-2005, 12:27 PM

I didn't have a lot of confidence in anything today until I got here. Now, I really like two plays. Nationals -1 and the Pistons plus the points. That's it for me today. Thanks again, Spark!
Last night I thought, when the rain delay in St. Louis hit the 2 hr. mark, that the Cards -1 play was in real trouble. Funny game, isn't it?

**Spark** · 06-09-2005, 12:30 PM

Yep, same feelings here Udog .. Tough night .. all we can do is get back on the saddle ... Good Luck pal .. enjoy the day

**Udog** · 06-09-2005, 12:40 PM

Yessir, Spark! You too!

Announcement

Trends Thursday

Trends Thursday

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment