That is what you and I could have done if we had played this since opening day. I got this idea yesterday and played it for the first time yesterday and won both plays. This is so simple, I don't know why I didn't think of this before. All you do is BET AGAINST the four teams with the worst road records when they are away from home. That would be Tampa Bay (4-24), Colorado (4-23), Houston (5-23) and Cincinnati (6-21). Add them up and you get 91 winning plays and just 19 losing plays. Of course playing against these teams means you will be laying quite a bit of juice, but even at an average of say -170 a play, the real juice looks to be less, you would win 91 units and lose 33 units for A PROFIT OF 58 UNITS.
Now if you are like me and don't like laying juice, you could parley all these teams that are on the road and while risking less each night the profit is also less, only 37 UNITS.
That's based on the average 2 team parley paying 100:152 and
the average 3 team parley paying 100:300. You would only have a play when 2 or more of the 4 teams are away. Since the start of the season two team parleys went 24-12 at an average of plus 152 and three team parleys went 5-2 at an average of plus 300. Hitting 29 out of 43 parleys, ain't too shabby. There were 17 days when only one of these teams was away, so if you parley, you would not have a play on those days.
Last night, the first time I Tried playing this after getting this idea, I had a two team parley of the Mets to Cinc at 100 paying 166. Tonight, playing the same two team parley again, 100 would pay 179. These are plays AGANIST Houston and Tampa Bay.
When I went back to see how this would have done, I used the same four teams because it was easier to figure out how this would have done. It shouldn't make too much of a difference, since the next worse team KCity has won just 7 road games, but each Monday, I'm going to check to see which 4 teams have the worst record and use those 4 teams for that week. It should stay pretty much the same.
Now, since this sounds too good to be true, am I missing something. Non of these teams have a losing record at home, but all we care about are their road games.
Now if you are like me and don't like laying juice, you could parley all these teams that are on the road and while risking less each night the profit is also less, only 37 UNITS.
That's based on the average 2 team parley paying 100:152 and
the average 3 team parley paying 100:300. You would only have a play when 2 or more of the 4 teams are away. Since the start of the season two team parleys went 24-12 at an average of plus 152 and three team parleys went 5-2 at an average of plus 300. Hitting 29 out of 43 parleys, ain't too shabby. There were 17 days when only one of these teams was away, so if you parley, you would not have a play on those days.
Last night, the first time I Tried playing this after getting this idea, I had a two team parley of the Mets to Cinc at 100 paying 166. Tonight, playing the same two team parley again, 100 would pay 179. These are plays AGANIST Houston and Tampa Bay.
When I went back to see how this would have done, I used the same four teams because it was easier to figure out how this would have done. It shouldn't make too much of a difference, since the next worse team KCity has won just 7 road games, but each Monday, I'm going to check to see which 4 teams have the worst record and use those 4 teams for that week. It should stay pretty much the same.
Now, since this sounds too good to be true, am I missing something. Non of these teams have a losing record at home, but all we care about are their road games.
Comment