Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

My Stongest Play of the NBA Playoffs

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • My Stongest Play of the NBA Playoffs

    I believe this is my best play of the NBA Playoffs -

    Taking Detroit
    Strong Bet from me- but please bet responsible, no matter which team you choose. :bounce1:

    Miami (59-23) at Detroit (54-28)
    Sunday, May 29, 2005 8:00:00 PM EDT
    at Palace of Auburn Hills
    Detroit are 4.5 point favorites. The total for this game has been set at 177.

    Recent Team Form/Streak
    Team SU ATS OU Last 10 ATS LastOU Fave Dog OFF DEF +/-
    Miami 59-23 44-34-4 44-38-0 4-6-0 3-7-0 54-14 5-9
    101.5 95.0 6.5
    Detroit 54-28 40-41-1 37-45-0 6-4-0 4-6-0 49-17 5-11 93.3 89.5 3.8

    Handicapping Trends
    Miami
    Heat is 9-3-0 ATS in their last 12 games
    Heat is 4-1-0 ATS in their last 5 away games
    Heat is 1-4-1 OU in their last 6 games
    Heat is 2-4-0 OU in their last 6 away
    Heat is 11-2-0 SU in their last 13 games after scoring 90 to 100 points
    Heat is 9-4-0 ATS in their last 13 games after scoring 90 to 100 points
    Heat is 11-2-0 SU in their last 13 games after being 3.5 to 7 point favorites
    Heat is 9-2-0 ATS in their last 11 games after being 3.5 to 7 point favorites
    Heat is 4-9-0 ATS in their last 13 away games against the Pistons
    Heat is 1-5-0 OU in their last 6 games away against Pistons
    Detroit
    Pistons are 4-1-0 ATS in their last 5 games
    Pistons are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games
    Pistons are 9-4-0 ATS in their last 13 home games against the Heat
    Pistons are 10-1-0 SU in their last 11 games after scoring less than 90 points
    Pistons are 6-1-0 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 90 points
    Pistons are 7-13-1 ATS in their last 21 games after being 3.5 to 7 point underdogs
    Pistons are 1-5-0 OU in their last 6 games at home against Heat

    Betting Situations
    Miami most recently...
    After a win are 9-1
    After playing Pistons are 4-6
    Before playing Pistons are 7-3
    When playing on Sunday are 9-1
    Detroit most recently...
    After a loss are 7-3
    After playing Heat are 6-4
    Before playing Heat are 7-3
    When playing on Sunday are 9-1

    Head2Head Matchup Summary
    TeamSU ATS O/U AverageScore 1/2 AvgScore FG% REB 3Pt

    Miami 2-8-0 4-6-0 3-6-1 81.1 39.5 40.0 43.7 36 - 147
    Detroit 8-2-0 6-4-0 3-6-1 87.9 44.4 39.7 44.8 49 - 127
    Last edited by Spearit; 05-29-2005, 08:46 AM.
    "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

  • #2
    From the Detroit Free Press
    During part of Friday's practice at American Airlines Arena, Alonzo Mourning practiced at power forward with Michael Doleac at center.

    There were two reasons for this: One, Shaquille O'Neal probably won't be practicing anytime soon because of a bruised right thigh. Two, the Heat likes playing Mourning, a true center, with O'Neal, and wanted Mourning to get more of a feel for playing power forward.

    "He does have to make some adjustments," coach Stan Van Gundy said. "He doesn't get his comfort zone on the left side of the floor, he has to move to the right side, there's some of that he has to do. He has to guard more perimeter, but offensively we won't ask him to play on the perimeter."

    The Heat has used the Mourning-O'Neal pairing for brief stretches in both games of the Eastern Conference finals, and the move has paid off in some areas; for example, Rasheed Wallace doesn't post up as much when he's in against Mourning, and the Pistons have a harder time getting into the paint with both Mourning and O'Neal on patrol.
    ( Pistons Points in the Paint is a hugh concern from the last two games)

    "I see it as being beneficial because of our size and our pursuit of the basketball, and we're going to utilize it as a strength," Mourning said.

    Mourning, who has been a center his entire career, is still adjusting to the new role.

    "You've got to guard that three-point line," he said. "Instead of trapping against the screen-and-roll, and rolling towards the basket, I've got to veer off to the three-point line. It's just being in the right spots.

    "We've got plays where I'm accustomed to playing five, and I think that's why it would have been beneficial for him to start playing us more together during the season. But at the same time, it's not that I can't adapt to it."

    Van Gundy pointed out he couldn't have played them together during the regular season because Mourning wasn't signed until March 1, and it took a few weeks before the Heat grew comfortable with his play. Then O'Neal went down, first with a stomach virus, and then with the thigh bruise.

    Mourning has said before that he wants to play with O'Neal; to this, Van Gundy replies: Who doesn't?

    "I mean, poll the league, everybody wants to play with Shaq," Van Gundy said.

    GAME 3 PLAN: While the Heat improved in Game 2 in rebounding and general execution, one area in particular needs work.

    "We've still got to get a better handle on their post-up game," Van Gundy said.

    Van Gundy liked how the Heat limited Detroit's perimeter players from posting up, and wants to see similar success against the big men. And while the Heat has done well protecting the paint, the Pistons have made 15 three-pointers.

    On the whole, Van Gundy tried to give a sense that Miami is the underdog.

    "Look, we're still behind the 8-ball in this series," he said. "It's 1-1 but they've got the home court, so we're the team that's fighting and scratching from behind at this point. We can't let a good game the other night obscure that. We have to have a tremendous amount of urgency on Sunday."

    NOTEBOOK: In reference to watching film, Van Gundy was asked about Dwyane Wade's 40-point performance in Game 2. "I'm not really watching film to see how impressive Dwyane was," he replied. "That doesn't really give me many coaching points." ...

    Van Gundy had a good take on how the Heat has limited Richard Hamilton to 15-for-43 shooting so far. "We haven't given him anything easy," Van Gundy said. "He's probably looking and saying that we haven't done anything, that he's just had a lot of shots he's missed. And both things are true. I know I'm certainly not smart enough to have a formula to stop Rip Hamilton, but we just want to take away his easy baskets and hope he doesn't have one of those great, great, great nights." ...

    Asked why he wears No. 3, Wade called upon some higher reasons. "I picked it because it represented the Trinity -- the Father, Son and Holy Spirit," he said.
    (Cool Reason)

    My take is that Detroit was only 2 points down with a 1:10 to go - felt they needed to foul Miami instead of defensive pressure which Miami made. Then Miam grabbed the ball and made a dunk for a 6 point victory. Looks on paper like not the close game that it was. Detroit has Miami's number. It has played them well. The number concerns me a little but not when you take in the fact that we are back in Detroit now. Pistons
    "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

    Comment


    • #3
      GL Spearit!!!!!
      Lord Knows I'm A Voodoo Child




      My record Click Here

      Comment


      • #4
        GL on your big play Spearit---kapt


        Don't make me go Cajun on your Ass!

        Comment


        • #5
          Good luck Bud, I like your reasoning!!I'll take a shot!

          Comment


          • #6
            GL on the play Spearit!

            Comment


            • #7
              Good Luck Spearit!!
              "Calling an illegal alien an 'undocumented immigrant'
              is like calling a drug dealer an 'unlicensed pharmacist'"

              Comment


              • #8
                GL today Spear Chucker!!!

                Comment


                • #9
                  gl buddy

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Goodluck today Spear!!!!
                    "Sometimes it's not what you play, but what you don't play."

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      good luck mr. spear!!

                      Comment

                      Working...
                      X