NBA Phoenix vs San Antonio

[Spearit]

Just wanting to share this info for tonites game.
San Antonio (59-23) at Phoenix (62-20)
Tuesday, May 24, 2005 9:00:00 PM EDT at America West Arena
Phoenix Suns are 3.5 point favorites. The total for this game has been set at 209.5.

Team SU ATS OU Last 10 ATS Last OU Fave Dog OFF DEF +/-
San Antonio 59-23 44-36-2 33-47-2 2-7-1 4-6-0 57-18 2-5 96.2 88.4 7.8
Phoenix 62-20 41-39-2 49-33-0 5-5-0 4-6-0 58-16 4-4 110.4 103.3 7.1

Handicapping Trends
San Antonio
Spurs are 8-3-0 ATS in their last 11 games
Spurs are 5-0-0 ATS in their last 5 games against the Suns
Spurs are 4-12-0 ATS in their last 16 away games
Spurs are 5-1-0 OU in their last 6 games
Spurs are 4-1-0 OU in their last 5 away
Spurs are 5-0-0 SU in their last 5 games after scoring more than 120 points
Spurs are 4-1-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 120 points
Spurs are 6-2-0 SU in their last 8 games after being 3.5 to 7 point underdogs
Spurs are 4-1-0 ATS in their last 5 away games against the Suns
Spurs are 5-1-0 OU in their last 6 games against the Suns
Spurs are 4-1-0 OU in their last 5 games away against Suns
Phoenix
Suns are 2-4-0 ATS in their last 6 games
Suns are 1-4-0 ATS in their last 5 home games
Suns are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 home games against the Spurs
Suns are 9-4-0 OU in their last 13 games
Suns are 5-2-0 OU in their last 7 at home
Suns are 22-4-0 SU in their last 26 games after scoring 111 to 120 points
Suns are 17-3-0 SU in their last 20 games after being 3.5 to 7 point favorites
Suns are 4-1-0 ATS in their last 5 games after being 3.5 to 7 point favorites
Suns are 5-1-0 OU in their last 6 games against the Spurs
Suns are 4-1-0 OU in their last 5 games at home against Spurs

Betting Situations
San Antonio most recently...
After a win are 7-3
After playing Suns are 6-4
Before playing Suns are 9-0
When playing on Tuesday are 9-1
Phoenix most recently...
After a loss are 9-1
After playing Spurs are 4-5
Before playing Spurs are 5-4
When playing on Tuesday are 8-2

Head2Head Matchup Summary

Team SU ATS O/U Average
Score 1/2 Avg
Score FG% REB 3Pt
(made)
San Antonio 9-1-0 7-2-1 5-5-0 102.7 51.5 46.1 44.8 55 - 176
Phoenix 1-9-0 2-7-1 5-5-0 93.3 44.8 43.3 42.7 56 - 135

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Games
Date Day Away Pts. Home Pts. HomeLine ATSr OU
FG% Edge REB Edge 3PTEdge

5/22/2005 Sun SAN 121 PHO 114 -3.5 SAN O SAN SAN SAN
3/9/2005 Wed SAN 101 PHO 107 -10 SAN O PHO PHO PHO
1/21/2005 Fri SAN 128 PHO 123 -6 SAN O PHO SAN Tie
12/28/2004 Tue PHO 94 SAN 115 -4.5 SAN O SAN SAN SAN
3/27/2004 Sat PHO 76 SAN 105 -12.5 SAN U SAN SAN SAN
3/6/2004 Sat SAN 107 PHO 86 -3 SAN O SAN SAN SAN
1/23/2004 Fri SAN 86 PHO 84 7 PHO U PHO PHO PHO
10/28/2003 Tue PHO 82 SAN 83 -6 PHO U SAN PHO PHO
5/1/2003 Thu SAN 87 PHO 85 2 Tie U SAN PHO SAN
4/29/2003 Tue PHO 82 SAN 94 -8 SAN U SAN SAN PHO

Team Last 10 Games top San Antonio - Game Results
Date Day Points Opponent Points SU Home
Line OU FG% FT% 3Pt (made) Days Rest
5/22/2005 Sun 121 at Phoenix 114 W -3.5 207.5 51.7 67.7 10 2
5/19/2005 Thu 98 at Seattle 96 W 5 188 45.8 76.5 6 1
5/17/2005 Tue 103 Seattle 90 W -11 186 46.2 73.5 6 1
5/15/2005 Sun 89 at Seattle 101 L 7 186 41.7 80.0 5 2
5/12/2005 Thu 91 at Seattle 92 L 4.5 188.5 43.8 55.9 8 1
5/10/2005 Tue 108 Seattle 91 W -10.5 185 52.8 77.1 5 1
5/8/2005 Sun 103 Seattle 81 W -8 187 50.7 82.9 4 3
5/4/2005 Wed 99 Denver 89 W -9.5 189.5 45.2 72.7 9 1
5/2/2005 Mon 126 at Denver 115 W 2.5 188 48.2 86.7 7 1
4/30/2005 Sat 86 at Denver 78 W 2 190 38.3 64.3 6 2
Team Next 5 Games top
5/28/2005 Sat Phoenix
5/30/2005 Mon Phoenix
6/1/2005 Wed at Phoenix
6/3/2005 Fri Phoenix
6/5/2005 Sun at Phoenix

Phoenix - Game Results
Date Day Points Opponent Points SU Home Line OU FG% FT% 3Pt (made) Days Rest
5/22/2005 Sun 114 San Antonio 121 L -3.5 207.5 48.8 82.8 6 1
5/20/2005 Fri 130 at Dallas 126 W -3 221 49.5 70.0 13 1
5/18/2005 Wed 114 Dallas 108 W -7 223 44.8 82.1 5 2
5/15/2005 Sun 109 at Dallas 119 L -3 221 51.2 73.9 8 1
5/13/2005 Fri 119 at Dallas 102 W -2 222 51.7 72.7 11 1
5/11/2005 Wed 106 Dallas 108 L -6 223 41.6 73.5 7 1
5/9/2005 Mon 127 Dallas 102 W -6 225 52.3 82.1 12 7
5/1/2005 Sun 123 at Memphis 115 W 5 207 60.3 73.5 11 1
4/29/2005 Fri 110 at Memphis 90 W 2.5 207.5 52.4 61.9 11 1
4/27/2005 Wed 108 Memphis 103 W -8.5 207.5 46.2 77.5 5 2
Team Next 5 Games top
5/28/2005 Sat at San Antonio
5/30/2005 Mon at San Antonio
6/1/2005 Wed San Antonio
6/3/2005 Fri at San Antonio
6/5/2005 Sun San Antonio

Team City Info. top
Hometown Newspapers

- San Antonio Express News
- Arizona Republic

[LSUMONSTER]

So What Would Be The Pick According The Above???
Thanks

[Spearit]

My take is the emotions factor. Suns need the win and will cover the 4 points. They will utilize a smaller quicker lineup. They will have a scary orbital monster in the lineup. I am also on the over- as most are. I like playing this after the first half- if Duncans ankle can hold up- I will probably bet over - if not I will definately bet over. Yes San Antoine is a great defending team and has done well against the Suns but show less consistency on the road. Also See Sparks trends on this game which indicate San Antoine is the play. Good Luck.

[Spearit]

The over rates the best bet consistent with the intensity that this game brings. The Suns can win and not cover keeping with stats. The over merits attention due to the games played this year alone. Phoenix up-tempo is something San Antoine will not back down from. They hope to wear the Suns down by attrition and foul problems. The Suns do not have the depth that San Antoine has. Phoenix will be able to utilize its sixth man more in this game with the return of "Orbita". Remember that the Suns came from behind down by 11 and then up by 8 before falling. The Suns will not look back this night. The tempo should remain up for this game before moving to San Antoine where things may change.

[frankb03]

I like the UNDER. Home teams after losing at home is a strong UNDER situation. Teams tend to play more conservative after losing at home. My take is the Suns know they can't run in gun with Spurs and win. They tried that on Sunday and lost. The Spurs put up 121 points vs them on Sunday. I look for them to take a different approach.

I'd be careful taking the Suns here. Needing a win and getting the win are two different things. The Spurs are clearly the better team. DEFENSE wins games. The Spurs have the better defense, BY FAR. Excluding round 1 the home team in game 2 after losing game 1 has not been a very good ATS spot. 9-3 SU and a lousy 4-7 ATS

[frankb03]

The lone Suns win vs the Spurs this season they won 107-101. A low scorint game for them. In the other games the Suns allowed 115, 128, 121 points. If I'm the coach of the Suns my strategy is to play a slower tempo game. Then try to beat them in the end.

[the lumberjack]

thanks Frank

[Spearit]

Thanks Frank- As always your words show wisdom. However, my early bet so far is the over 104.5 in the first half. I've knocked this around and still believe the over is the play. Noone has really slowed Phoenix down this year with their fast pace play. Nash is against the wall. They have their six man back in position. There was a tightness at the beginning of the first game- missing shots. Phoenix can rotate fresh legs and foul more when needed. On whether they cover?- No bet-I will leave my money on the table. If a defensive game- I know this sounds a bit adsurd, I believe it will still be close to the number. Remember the swing toward the Suns in last game - down by 11 and then up by 8. Good Luck My Friend. Your capping has helped many of us this past season.

[frankb03]

Thanks Frank- As always your words show wisdom. However, my early bet so far is the over 104.5 in the first half. I've knocked this around and still believe the over is the play. Noone has really slowed Phoenix down this year with their fast pace play. Nash is against the wall. They have their six man back in position. There was a tightness at the beginning of the first game- missing shots. Phoenix can rotate fresh legs and foul more when needed. On whether they cover?- No bet-I will leave my money on the table. If a defensive game- I know this sounds a bit adsurd, I believe it will still be close to the number. Good Luck My Friend. Your capping has helped many of us this past season.

Spearit, GL to you as well.

I appreciate your analysis. Much of what you say makes sense.

[RJeremy]

good info. thanks Spearit!

[frankb03]

Thanks Frank- As always your words show wisdom. However, my early bet so far is the over 104.5 in the first half.

I'll root hard for the 1st half OVER. 55-50

GL buddy

[Kaptain]

I like the Suns +...Suns blown out by Spurs earlier on the Suns home court...Back at the same court, now Suns 4-4 1/2 pt favorite...Why--cause oddsmakers know the Public will take Spurs (and want you to)...I expect the Suns to cover...kapt

[Spearit]

Taking Suns -3 2nd half
Won 1st half over.
Duncan in possible foul trouble with three. Thoughts on the under but holding off. Good Luck!

[ChuckLazar]

Taking Suns -3 2nd half
Won 1st half over.
Duncan in possible foul trouble with three. Thoughts on the under but holding off. Good Luck!

I'm on it with you Bud!!!

[frankb03]

spearit, good call with the OVER. Congrats.