Trends Monday

[Spark]

NBA Trends

Monday, May 23rd

Eastern Conference Playoffs
Conference Finals
Series tied 0-0
Detroit at Miami, 8:00 EST


Detroit:
0-8 ATS in a road game where where the total is between 180 and 184.5 points
6-1 Under after allowing 80 points or less 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons

Miami:
14-3 ATS after playing a game as a road favorite
6-0 ATS off 2 or more consecutive road wins

[Spark]

Additional Trends:
DETROIT (62 - 31) at MIAMI (67 - 23) - 5/23/2005, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 180 and 184.5 points this season.
MIAMI is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
MIAMI is 76-48 ATS (+23.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 7-4 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 9-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Spark]

Pistons @ Heat-- As fun as the Suns are to watch, East finals will be grind-it-out ball; key to series, obviously, is health of Shaq, who practiced Saturday, then took it bit easier Sunday. Average total on three series games this season was 158 with Miami winning last two meetings- the only Detroit win was by single point, 78-77. All three games stayed under total. Have to give Pistons credit as defending champs, but Miami is 8-0 in the playoffs in '05

[Spark]

National League:

Philadelphia Phillies at Florida Marlins, 7:05 EST
Jon Lieber (R) vs. Dontrelle Willis (L)

Lieber - 4-7 TSR vs. Florida with a 5.23 ERA and a 1.521 WHIP
Willis - 6-3 TSR vs. Philadelphia with a 2.24 ERA and 1.011 WHIP

Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds, 7:10 EST
Esteban Loaiza (R) vs. Eric Milton (L)

Loaiza - 22-4 TSR when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons
Milton - Cincinnati 9-21 against right-handed starters this season

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves, 7:35 EST
Kaz Ishii (L) vs. Horacio Ramirez (L)

Ishii - 22-9 Under in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons
Ramirez - Atlanta 62-35 against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons

Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers, 8:05 EST
Shawn Chacon (R) vs. Chris Capuano (L)

Chacon - Colorado 3-17 as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season
Capuano - Milwaukee 26-9 Under against NL West opponents over the last 2 seasons

Houston Astros at Chicago Cubs, 8:05 EST
Wandy Rodriguez (L) vs. Glendon Rusch (L)

Rodriguez - n/a
Rusch - 5-8 TSR vs. Houston with a 4.05 ERA and 1.400 WHIP

Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals, 8:10 EST
Dave Williams (L) vs. Chris Carpenter (R)

Williams - Pittsburgh 87-55 Under as an underdog of +175 to +250 since 1997
Carpenter - 23-6 TSR when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons

American League:

Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians, 7:05 EST
Kyle Lohse (R) vs. Scott Elarton (R)

Lohse - 15-5 TSR on the road when the total is 10 or higher since 1997
Elarton - 5-19 TSR as an underdog over the last 2 seasons

Chicago White Sox at Anaheim Angels, 10:05 EST
Jon Garland (R) vs. Ervin Santana (R)

Garland - 8-0 TSR this season with a 2.41 ERA and a 0.955 WHIP
Santana - 0-1 TSR this season with a 13.50 ERA and a 2.75 WHIP

[Spark]

Hot pitchers
-- Willis is 7-1, 1.77 in eight starts, 5-0, 0.69 at home.
-- Loaiza is 1-1, 1.96 in his last five starts.
-- Ramirez is 1-0, 1.54 in two home starts.
-- Chacon has 3.12 RA in his last four starts, but with Rockies scoring just seven runs total, they lost all four. Capuano is 3-1, 2.45 in his last five starts.
-- Williams is 3-0, 2.95 in his last three starts.
-- Lohse is 2-0, 2.45 in his last two starts.
-- Garland is 8-0, 2.41 so far this season.


Cold pitchers
-- Lieber is 1-4, 6.07 in his last five starts.
-- Ishii is 0-2, 8.49 in a pair of road starts.
-- Rusch is 0-1, 3.45 in three starts, lasting just 15.2 IP in his three starts. Rodriguez was 4-2, 3.69 in AAA, as he struck out 48 in 46.1 IP, with 43 hits allowed.
-- Carpenter has 5.54 RA in last four starts, but Cards scored 53 runs in winning six of his last seven starts.
-- Elarton is 1-2, 8.00 in his last five starts.

Totals
-- Under is 9-3 in last 12 games at Dolphin Stadium, and 6-2 in Phillies' last eight road games.
-- Milton's last five starts all went over the total.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Met games.
-- Under is 6-1 in last seven Chacon starts, 9-2 in last 11 Brewer games, 5-0-1 last six Capuano starts.
-- Last five Wrigley games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 9-2-1 in last dozen Pittsburgh games, 1-6-1 in last eight Cardinal home games.
-- Over is 5-1 in last six Elarton starts.
-- Last five White Sox games stayed under the total.


Hot teams
-- Florida won 12 of its last 16 home contests. Phillies won five of their last seven games.
-- Pirates are 11-6 in last 17 games, 6-2 in last eight on foreign soil. Cardinals won four of last five at home.
-- Twins won seven of their last nine road games.
-- White Sox are 16-7 on road, 7-1 in road openers. Angels won six of last nine games, but are 1-4 in their last five at home.

Cold teams
-- Reds lost ten of their last thirteen home games. Nats lost four of their last five road games.
-- Braves were 1-5 on road last week, but won five in row at home. Mets lost three of last four on road.
-- Colorado is 3-19 on road, 1-6 in road openers. Milwaukee lost seven of its last nine games.
-- Cubs are 1-6 in home series openers. Astros lost 19 of their 21 road games, including last five in a row.
-- Indians lost eleven of their seventeen home games.

[Spark]

13) 10 of the 30 major league teams aren't scheduled next Monday, Memorial Day. Isn't baseball a staple of our national holidays? What are these people thinking?

12) Arizona committed larceny when it traded Randy Johnson to Bronx for Vazquez and Halsey.

11) The guy who does studio updates during Red Sox games on NESN was the actor who hit the home run in Bull Durham, when Crash Davis told him the pitch that was coming. It took him four takes to hit ball out.

10) There are 212 teams signed up this weekend for my favorite AAU basketball tournament, the Gym Rat Challenge, here in Albany. It is best run event of spring and a pleasure to attend. We will be reporting all next weekend, on seeing teams from as far away as South Carolina, Texas, Wisconsin and Kentucky.

9) Not only are 212 teams already signed up for the Gym Rat, there are 97 teams on a waiting list to play in the three age groups.

8) At $410 a team, do the math; there is major money to be made in organizing AAU events, and this event is the best run of any, other than the national tournament.

7) Did you see Dirk Nowitzki chew out Jason Terry at midcourt, after Terry never put a hand up to defend a tying 3-pointer by Steve Nash? Friday night's loss by the Mavericks may be tough to recover from; once the star player starts verbally thrashing his teammates, the chemistry tends to suffer.

6) San Antonio, Phoenix in west, two smaller markets, and Detroit in the East with Miami. This is final four in the NBA. Baseball should be observant and see how a salary cap makes the game a lot more healthy.

5) If you're middle infielders aren't dependable fielders you can't be a good baseball team.

4) Eldrick Woods (7-2) is early favorite for US Open next month at Pinehurst, NC. Mickelson (5-1), Ernie Els (6-1) and Singh (7-1) are next three favorites.

3) The classic movie Animal House was filmed out at the University of Oregon, in Eugene.

2) Animal House co-writer Harold Ramis once used a review of the movie to secure a home loan.

1) There is some version of poker being shown on 12 different television networks

[Spark]

HOUSTON (15 - 28) at CHICAGO CUBS (19 - 22) - 8:05 PM
WANDY RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. GLENDON RUSCH (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-1 (+0.7 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)



WANDY RODRIGUEZ vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.



GLENDON RUSCH vs. HOUSTON since 1997
RUSCH is 4-5 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.05 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 5-8 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-6. (-0.6 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


PITTSBURGH (19 - 22) at ST LOUIS (27 - 16) - 8:10 PM
DAVID WILLIAMS (L) vs. CHRIS CARPENTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 53-28 (+17.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 139-81 (+25.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 16-4 (+9.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
ST LOUIS is 138-79 (+27.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 90-49 (+22.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 15-8 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games in May games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 71-81 (+3.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)



DAVID WILLIAMS vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
WILLIAMS is 1-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 0.900.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)



CHRIS CARPENTER vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
CARPENTER is 2-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 4.05 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.4 units)




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MINNESOTA (25 - 17) at CLEVELAND (19 - 23) - 7:05 PM
KYLE LOHSE (R) vs. SCOTT ELARTON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 73-64 (+13.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 82-57 (+20.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 69-49 (+12.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 68-40 (+19.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 118-90 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LOHSE is 15-5 (+11.2 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
LOHSE is 43-21 (+22.1 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 39-48 (-21.2 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 241-223 (-54.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
CLEVELAND is 201-178 (-55.4 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-3 (-0.2 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)



KYLE LOHSE vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
LOHSE is 6-6 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.265.
His team's record is 7-7 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-8. (-3.7 units)



SCOTT ELARTON vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
ELARTON is 2-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.18 and a WHIP of 1.206.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.3 units)




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CHI WHITE SOX (31 - 13) at ANAHEIM (25 - 18) - 10:05 PM
JON GARLAND (R) vs. ERVIN SANTANA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 31-13 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 15-3 (+11.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 16-7 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 8-1 (+7.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 25-10 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 23-8 (+13.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 12-3 (+8.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GARLAND is 8-0 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
ANAHEIM is 55-47 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 14-20 (-13.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 55-47 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 126-127 (-25.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.



JON GARLAND vs. ANAHEIM since 1997
GARLAND is 2-4 when starting against ANAHEIM with an ERA of 4.34 and a WHIP of 1.599.
His team's record is 3-5 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-3. (+0.7 units)



ERVIN SANTANA vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
No recent starts.

[Spark]

Major League Baseball Weather Monday, May 23

Philadelphia Phillies at Florida Marlins, 7:05 p.m. Mostly cloudy with a 40-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing in from right field at 5-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 80.
Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds, 7:10 p.m. Cloudy with a 30-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing out to right field at 10-20 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Near 65.
New York Mets at Atlanta Braves, 7:35 p.m. Mostly cloudy with a 30-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing out to right field at 10-20 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Near 80.
Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers, 8:05 p.m. Partly cloudy. Winds blowing out to right field at 10-20 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 55.
Houston Astros at Chicago Cubs, 8:05 p.m. Partly cloudy. Winds blowing in from center field at 10-20 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Near 60.
Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals, 8:10 p.m. Mostly clear. Winds blowing out to right field at 10-20 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Near 80.

Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians, 7:05 p.m. Cloudy with a 60-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing in from left field at 10-20 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Near 55.
Chicago White Sox at Anaheim Angels, 10:05 p.m. Mostly clear. Winds blowing in from right field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 75.

[hammy85]

Thanks Spark !

gl,

hammy