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**Spark** · 05-20-2005, 09:24 AM

Friday, 5/20/2005

SAN ANTONIO (66 - 26) at SEATTLE (58 - 34) - 5/19/2005, 10:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 10-7 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 12-5 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
9 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (69 - 22) at DALLAS (64 - 30) - 5/20/2005, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 50-29 ATS (+18.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 8-8 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 8-8 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

**Spark** · 05-20-2005, 09:25 AM

Friday, May 20th

National League:

Colorado Rockies at Pittsburgh Pirates, 7:05 EST
Jamey Wright (R) vs. Mark Redman (L)

Wright - 4-11 TSR vs. Pittsburgh with a 5.17 ERA and a 1.617 WHIP
Redman - Pittsburgh 61-35 Over as a home favorite of -125 to -150 since 1997

Interleague Play:

Chicago White Sox at Chicago Cubs, 2:20 EST
Freddy Garcia (R) vs. Greg Maddux (R)

Garcia - White Sox 22-7 after a win this season
Maddux - Cubs 27-54 off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog since 1997

Atlanta Braves at Boston Red Sox, 7:05 EST
Tim Hudson (R) vs. Wade Miller (R)

Hudson - 58-21 TSR after giving up 1 or less earned runs in his last outing since 1997
Miller - 1-5 TSR vs. Atlanta with an ERA of 5.75 and a WHIP of 1.883

Arizona Diamondbacks at Detroit Tigers, 7:05 EST
Brandon Webb (R) vs. Mike Maroth (L)

Webb - Arizona 81-58 Under against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons
Maroth - Detroit 4-17 in home games when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons

Washington Nationals at Toronto Blue Jays, 7:05 EST
Claudio Vargas (R) vs. Ted Lilly (L)

Vargas - Washington 12-3 when the money line is +125 to -125 this season
Lilly - 0-7 TSR against NL East opponents since 1997

Cleveland Indians at Cincinnati Reds, 7:10 EST
Kevin Millwood (R) vs. Aaron Harang (R)

Millwood - 36-13 Under when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997
Harang - Cincinnati 0-8 after 5 or more consecutive road games this season

New York Yankees at New York Mets, 7:10 EST
Kevin Brown (R) vs. Victor Zambrano (R)

Brown - 13-3 Over in road games when pitching on Friday since 1997
Zambrano - 14-5 TSR as a home underdog over the last 3 seasons

Philadelphia Phillies at Baltimore Orioles, 7:35 EST
Randy Wolf (L) vs. Daniel Cabrera (R)

Wolf - 22-7 Over in road games over the last 3 seasons
Cabrera - 22-12 TSR in all games over the last 2 seasons

Tampa Bay Devil Rays at Florida Marlins, 7:35 EST
Hideo Nomo (R) vs. Al Leiter (L)

Nomo - Tampa Bay 15-3 in interleague play over the last 2 seasons
Leiter - 62-33 Under as a home favorite of -110 or higher since 1997

Houston Astros at Texas Rangers, 8:05 EST
Brandon Backe (R) vs. Kenny Rogers (L)

Backe - Houston 2-16 in road games this season
Rogers - 18-4 TSR when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons

St. Louis Cardinals at Kansas City Royals, 8:05 EST
Mark Mulder (L) vs. Zack Greinke (R)

Mulder - 8-2 TSR vs. Kansas City with an ERA of 2.40 and a WHIP of 0.987
Greinke - 13-1 Under in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons

Milwaukee Brewers at Minnesota Twins, 8:10 EST
Gary Glover (R) vs. Carlos Silva (R)

Glover - Milwaukee 58-39 Under as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons
Silva - Minnesota 81-56 in night games over the last 2 seasons

San Diego Padres at Seattle Mariners, 10:05 EST
Jake Peavy (R) vs. Ryan Franklin (R)

Peavy - 22-3 TSR as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons
Franklin - 14-3 Under after a win over the last 2 seasons

Oakland Athletics at San Francisco Giants, 10:15 EST
Joe Blanton (R) vs. Kirk Rueter (L)

Blanton - Oakland 23-49 as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons
Rueter - 20-5 TSR as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons

Anaheim Angels at Los Angeles Dodgers, 10:40 EST
Jarrod Washburn (L) vs. Scott Erickson (R)

Washburn - 14-1 Over against NL West opponents since 1997
Erickson - 32-54 TSR after a loss since 1997

**Spark** · 05-20-2005, 09:39 AM

Hot pitchers
-- Redman is 2-3, 2.75 in eight starts this season.
-- Maddux is 2-0, 3.80 in his last seven starts.
-- Webb is 2-0, 4.05 in three road starts, but two of those three were at Coors Field. Bonderman is 3-0, 2.57 in his last four starts.
-- Harang is 1-1, 2.74 in his last three starts. Millwood is 1-0, 3.38 in last three starts, all Cleveland wins.
-- Cabrera is 2-1, 2.45 in his last three starts.
-- Rogers is 4-0, 0.57 in his last four starts, and hasn't allowed a run in his last 24 innings on the mound.
-- St Louis won last six Mulder starts (5-0, 3.44). In his last three starts, Greinke has 2.42 RA, but KC scored 13 runs in his eight starts this season (1-7).
-- San Diego is 7-1 in Peavy starts (3-0, 2.75). In his last two starts, Franklin has 2.31 RA, but Seattle is 0-3 in his home starts.
-- Rueter is 2-0, 2.36 in his last four starts.
-- Washburn is 2-1, 1.19 in his last four road starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Wright is 1-2, 7.88 in his last four starts, but in three road starts, he is 1-0, 1.31.
-- Garcia is 0-2, 8.03 in his last two starts.
-- Hudson is 2-2, 6.56 in his last four starts. Miller has a 4.22 RA in his first two AL starts.
-- Nationals are 0-2 in Vargas starts (0-1, 8.59). Lillyis 1-3, 14.26 in his last five starts.
-- Zambrano is 1-2, 7.29 in his last four starts. Brown is 2-4, 6.57 in six starts, winning last two, both vs A's.
-- Wolf is 1-3, 5.23 in his last five starts.
-- Florida is 0-4 in Leiter home starts (0-3, 10.19). Nomo is 0-2, 6.11 in his last five starts.
-- Home side is 8-0 in Backe starts (0-2, 7.54 in four starts on road).
-- Glover is 0-1, 6.60 in his last three starts. Twins lost last three Silva starts (0-2, 4.50).
-- Blanton is 0-4, 6.67 in his last five starts.
-- Erickson is 0-2, 6.41 in his last five starts. Dodgers are 0-4 if they give him less than eight runs.

Totals
-- Under is 9-1 in last ten Pirate home games.
-- Under is 5-1 in last six games at Wrigley Field, 6-2 in last eight White Sox games.
-- Over is 8-4 in last dozen Atlanta road games, 6-1-1 in last eight Boston games.
-- Under is 7-3 in last ten Diamondback games, 6-3 in last nine Detroit home games. .
-- Under is 6-2 in last eight Washington road games.
-- Over is 10-4 in last fourteen Cincinnati games.
-- Over is 6-2 in last eight Bronx games.
-- Under is 9-3-1 in last 13 Philadelphia road games.
-- Under is 8-1 in last nine Marlins' home contests.
-- Under is 6-3 in last nine Houston road games, 8-2 in last ten Texas games. .
-- Over is 6-2 in last eight St Louis road games.
-- Under is 10-1-1 in last dozen Milwaukee road tilts, 7-3 in last ten Minnesota home games. .
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine San Diego road games; over is 5-2-1 in last eight Mariner games.
-- Under is 3-0-1 in last four Giant home games, 7-2 in last nine Oakland road games.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Dodger home games,
4-1 in last five Erickson starts, 11-3 in last 14 Angel road contests.

Hot teams
-- Cubs are 5-2 in their last seven games.
-- Nationals won five of their last six games.
-- Indians are 6-1 in last seven road series openers.
-- Mets are 15-7 at home, 7-0 in series openers. Team from Bronx won ten of their last eleven games.
-- Boston won five of last six home games.
-- Arizona is 6-2 in its last eight road games.
-- Phillies won three of their last four games. Orioles are 5-2 in their last seven home games.
-- Florida is 9-4 in its last thirteen home games.
-- Cardinals won 13 of their 19 road games this season.
-- Milwaukee is 5-12 in last seventeen road games. Twins won three of their last four games.
-- Padres won seven in row and 14 of last 16 games.
-- Angels won eight of their last ten road games.

Cold teams
-- Colorado is 3-6 last nine games, 2-15 on the road. Pirates are 2-6 in its last eight home games.
-- Braves lost their last five road series openers, and are 7-11 in their last 18 road games.
-- Detroit lost six of their last nine home games.
-- Toronto is 9-10 at home, but won three in row there
-- Reds lost eight of their last ten home games.
-- Devil Rays are 3-15 in games on foreign soil.
-- Houston is 2-16 in games on foreign soil. Rangers are 1-6 in first game of a home series.
-- Royals are 6-15 at home, but 4-3 in their last seven.
-- Seattle is 4-9 in its last thirteen home games.
-- Giants lost four of their last five games. A's are 1-7 in their last eight road games.
-- Dodgers lost six of their last eight games.

**Spark** · 05-20-2005, 09:39 AM

Suns (3-2) @ Mavericks-- Nowitzki got poked in eye pretty good in Game 5, similar to injury that KO's Joe Johnson in this series; check his status. Suns won Game 5 despite poor shooting, first time that has happened in series. In three wins, Suns scored 127-119-114 points, with first half totals of 110-119-103; in their losses, they scored 106-108, with first half totals of 100-116. Under is 3-1 in last four series games, but last two unders were each by a whisker.

**Spark** · 05-20-2005, 09:42 AM

With interleague play starting tonight, it is time for my annual plea to fix major league baseball. None of these suggestions will probably ever happen, but I've put lot of thought into them, and think they have merit.

13) Total revenue sharing amongst all thirty teams, just like the NFL, the most profitable league in the world.

12) Salary cap of $125 million, salary floor of $50 mill You can go over the cap to re-sign your own guys. if this plan went into effect, baseball would be amazing.

11) Total geographic realignment.

10) You play 18 games a year vs each division foe, in six series, one played each month, unlike now, when you play two series in ten days vs same team. This will lower scoring, if you spread out series games, so you don't face the same pitcher twice in a row.

9) Eliminate the DH. We want all major leaguers to own a glove. Or at least know how to use one.

8) No coaches in between the white lines, once game starts; no trips to mound, no stalling, nothing. Want the game to move? Then stop the stalling tactics.

7) Each teams plays six doubleheaders a year at home which the players will like, because it gives them six extra days off during the 180-day season.

6) Every player, whether college, high school or guys from other countries, go through the entry draft. None of this stuff where key guys from other countries get to pick where they play. Let 'em be drafted, and if they don't like it, let 'em go back where they came from.

5) Baseball seriously needs to make a big deal out of the entry draft. This would be a boon across the board from the minor leagues to fantasy leagues to marketing the game's new stars at the big league level. Finding a Mel Kiper Jr for baseball can't be that hard.

4) Let the umpires be individuals, as long as they stay in shape and are professional. You are never going to get 60+ guys to all calls balls and strikes exactly in the same way, so let them be human, while making sure they still look like athletes. We like umps in shape.

3) No more home court advantage in World Series for the winner of the All-Star Game; what a hideous idea. Only people who like it are FOX, and they could give a rat's ass about baseball, only ratings.

2) Name a commissioner (Cal Ripken, George Will, Bob Costas, George W. Bush, don't care who), then give him some damn authority to run the game well.

1) The Baseball Channel. Good lord, the NFL plays game on 44 of the 365 days each year (not counting preseason or Pro Bowl), and they have a network that is on 24/7. Baseball has real games over 200 days a season; how can they not have their own network?

**Spark** · 05-20-2005, 11:47 AM

Friday, 5/20/2005

ST LOUIS (25 - 15) at KANSAS CITY (12 - 29) - 8:05 PM
MARK MULDER (L) vs. ZACK GREINKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 137-80 (+25.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 66-41 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 27-6 (+18.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 136-78 (+27.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 88-49 (+20.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 104-63 (+20.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 52-28 (+16.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 70-133 (-37.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 1-12 (-11.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
KANSAS CITY is 288-376 (-88.2 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 15-35 (-23.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 288-376 (-88.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 21-50 (-25.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 28-75 (-32.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MARK MULDER vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
MULDER is 8-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.40 and a WHIP of 0.987.
His team's record is 8-2 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-7. (-6.0 units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
GREINKE is 0-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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MILWAUKEE (19 - 21) at MINNESOTA (23 - 16) - 8:10 PM
GARY GLOVER (R) vs. CARLOS SILVA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 68-48 (+12.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 66-39 (+19.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 116-89 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 81-56 (+21.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

GARY GLOVER vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
GLOVER is 1-3 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 8.05 and a WHIP of 1.474.
His team's record is 1-3 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.3 units)

CARLOS SILVA vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
SILVA is 0-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 2.500.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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SAN DIEGO (25 - 16) at SEATTLE (16 - 24) - 10:05 PM
JACOB PEAVY (R) vs. RYAN FRANKLIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 7-1 (+7.9 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
SAN DIEGO is 54-48 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 14-3 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in May games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 52-47 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 479-480 (+34.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
PEAVY is 26-9 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PEAVY is 25-9 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 76-113 (-30.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 50-85 (-31.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 119-137 (-38.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 79-123 (-37.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JACOB PEAVY vs. SEATTLE since 1997
PEAVY is 2-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.545.
His team's record is 2-0 (+3.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

RYAN FRANKLIN vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
FRANKLIN is 0-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 4.97 and a WHIP of 1.105.
His team's record is 0-2 (-3.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

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OAKLAND (16 - 24) at SAN FRANCISCO (19 - 21) - 10:15 PM
JOE BLANTON (R) vs. KIRK RUETER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 42-44 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 85-98 (-32.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 97-89 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 211-156 (+29.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 421-261 (+70.1 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 207-148 (+34.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 144-96 (+30.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 575-438 (+72.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
RUETER is 165-105 (+52.8 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
RUETER is 62-34 (+24.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
RUETER is 152-95 (+50.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
RUETER is 97-60 (+35.5 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
RUETER is 82-33 (+41.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 85-55 (+31.7 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 6-15 (-11.8 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JOE BLANTON vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

KIRK RUETER vs. OAKLAND since 1997
RUETER is 6-3 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 4.57 and a WHIP of 1.478.
His team's record is 7-5 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-5. (-0.1 units)

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ANAHEIM (23 - 17) at LOS ANGELES (22 - 18) - 10:40 PM
JARROD WASHBURN (L) vs. SCOTT ERICKSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 124-126 (-27.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 54-36 (+19.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 116-90 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 113-86 (+21.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 88-62 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 60-43 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 51-34 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ERICKSON is 32-54 (-28.2 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JARROD WASHBURN vs. LOS ANGELES since 1997
WASHBURN is 1-1 when starting against LOS ANGELES with an ERA of 5.18 and a WHIP of 1.368.
His team's record is 5-2 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-7. (-7.4 units)

SCOTT ERICKSON vs. ANAHEIM since 1997
ERICKSON is 4-5 when starting against ANAHEIM with an ERA of 4.68 and a WHIP of 1.440.
His team's record is 5-7 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-7. (-3.3 units)

**garister** · 05-21-2005, 02:14 AM

Thanks Spark

for all your hard work on the trends, I look at them everyday...I was sitting on the fence with the Angels today and when I saw your stats on Washburn being 14-1 against the NL West and Dodgers need to score 8 for Erickson to win otherwise he is 0-4...that made my decision final...as of right now Angels are winning in the ninth 5-0. erickson only lasted 1.2 innings...should be an ez winner to cap a 5-1 day....thanks again!!!

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