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**Spark** · 05-19-2005, 09:11 AM

MLB Baseball Trends

Thursday, May 19th

National League:

St. Louis Cardinals at Philadelphia Phillies, 1:05 EST
Jason Marquis (R) vs. Brett Myers (R)

Marquis - 25-36 TSR when the total is 8.5 to 10 since 1997
Myers - 19-5 TSR when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons

San Francisco Giants at Colorado Rockies, 3:05 EST
Brett Tomko (R) vs. Jeff Francis (L)

Tomko - 42-25 Over in all games over the last 3 seasons
Francis - 0-2 TSR vs. San Fransisco with a 15.13 ERA and a 2.641 WHIP

**Milwaukee Brewers at Washington Nationals, 1:05 EST
Victor Santos (R) vs. Livan Hernandez (R)

Santos - 15-4 Under as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons
Hernandez - Washington 40-24 Under as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons

Arizona Diamondbacks at Houston Astros, 8:05 EST
Brad Halsey (L) vs. Roger Clemens (R)

Halsey - Arizona 20-58 as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons
Clemens - 17-6 Under after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons

American League:

Tampa Bay Devil Rays at Detroit Tigers, 1:05 EST
Scott Kazmir (L) vs. Jeremy Bonderman (R)

Kazmir - Tampa Bay 1-14 as an underdog this season
Bonderman - Detroit 12-4 Under in May

Toronto Blue Jays at Minnesota Twins, 1:10 EST
Gustavo Chacin (L) vs. Joe Mays (R)

Chacin - Toronto 33-57 as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons
Mays - Minnesota 86-104 in day games since 1997

Baltimore Orioles at Kansas City Royals, 2:05 EST
Rodrigo Lopez (R) vs. Runelvys Hernandez (R)

Lopez - Baltimore 12-2 in day games this season
Hernandez - Kansas City 42-98 against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons

**Spark** · 05-19-2005, 09:12 AM

Hot pitchers
-- Bonderman is 3-0, 2.57 in his last four starts.
-- Toronto is 4-1 on road with Chacin (2-0, 2.20)
-- LHernandez is 5-0, 2.65 in his last five starts.
-- Marquis is 2-1, 2.25 in his four road starts. Myers is 3-2, 1.85 in his last seven starts.
-- Francis is 2-0, 3.38 in three starts at Coors Field.
-- Clemens is 3-1, 1.11 in eight starts, 2-1, 1.75 in five starts at the Juice Box.

Cold pitchers
-- Tampa is 1-7 in Kazmir starts, losing last four (0-3, 6.26); he is 0-2, 6.75 in three road starts.
-- Mays has 6.85 RA in his last four starts, and a 6.61 mark in three starts at the Metrodome.
-- Lopez is 0-0, 9.00 in his last four starts; Orioles lost his last three starts. RHernandez is 0-5, 5.76 in his last seven starts. Royals are 1-4 in his home starts.
-- Santos is 0-3, 4.98 in his last four starts.
-- Tomko is 1-4, 5.51 in five home starts. In his eight starts, Giants scored two or less runs six times.
-- Halsey is 0-2, 6.56 in his last four starts; he is 0-1, 8.04 in three road outings.

Totals
-- Under is 9-2-1 in last 12 Washington home games, 5-0-1 in last six Santos starts, 4-0 in last four starts by Hernandez.
-- Over is 9-2 in Phillies' last eleven home games, but is 2-6 in last eight Marquis starts, 2-5 in last 7 by Myers.
-- Over is 5-1-2 last eight San Francisco road games, 4-0 in last four Francis starts.
-- Under is 7-1 in Clemens starts this season.
-- Under is 6-2 in last eight Detroit home contests.
-- Under is 6-2 in last eight Toronto road games, 7-3 in last ten Minnesota home games.
-- Over is 4-1 in RHernandez' last five starts.

Hot teams
-- Nationals won four of their last five games.
-- Cardinals won seven of their last ten games.
-- Astros won three of last four games, scoring 24 runs. Arizona won six of its last eight games.
-- Toronto is 5-3 in its last eight games overall.
-- Orioles won 13 of their 17 road games, and scored 34 runs in winning last four games overall.

Cold teams
-- Brewers are 5-11 in their last 16 road games.
-- Phillies are 3-5 in their last eight home games.
-- Giants are 5-9 in last 14 games, scoring eight runs in last four games.
-- Tampa Bay is 2-15 on foreign soil. Tigers lost five of their last eight home games.
-- Royals are 5-15 at home this season.
-- Twins lost six of their last nine home games.

**Spark** · 05-19-2005, 09:13 AM

Pistons (3-2) @ Pacers-- Indiana looked tired at end of Game 5; will home crowd energize them here, in a series where average total is 164.6, with three of the five tilts staying under total? Pacers just haven't made shots; this is likely to be Miller's last-ever home game- can he make one last stand and hit some treys? Indiana is 10-51 in the last three games on three-pointers.

Spurs (3-2) @ Sonics-- Home side is 5-0 in this series, with Spurs losing both visits to this site by 1,12 points- they missed 15 of 34 free throws in pivotal Game 3 loss that kept this series alive. Spurs have taken 30+ FT's in all five games- they cut their turnovers down from 20 to 9 between Games 4 and 5. In their wins, Spurs shot 51, 53 and 46%; in their losses, 44,42%. Sonics are 5-0 at home in the playoffs; if they lose here, season is over.

Second round, NBA playoffs

**Spark** · 05-19-2005, 09:15 AM

13) Watching the Dodgers play as much as I can on DirecTV, I get same feeling when I watched Michael Jordan play for the Bulls; that I was watching one of the greatest people ever to do what he did. Vin Scully is that good behind a microphone, and he has to be 80 years old.

12) On the other hand, Hawk Harrelson (White Sox) and Michael Kay (Bronx) should be ordered by a court to listen to tapes of Scully, so they can learn how to broadcast without shoving their allegiances down their viewers' throats. Just a thought.

11) On the other hand, those two teach us the value of the mute button.

10) We get to watch the Padres, the best team the media chooses to ignore. They're pretty darn good, but no one in the eastern media seems to know/care.

9) Around 9pm, throw the night's scoreboard up on the laptop, then pick and choose the best game or situation.......Orioles have bags full and one out? We go there......Willis has no-hitter in the 7th? We go there........I get to see the biggest plays of the night live, every night.

8) Baseball from Wrigley Field. The Friday 3:20 game. Take Me Out to the Ballgame, whether it is Ditka singing, or the state champ girls' volleyball team. Excellent stuff.

7) Listening to Ray Fosse work on FOX Sports Bay area, and realizing that his getting run over by Pete Rose in the '70 All Star Game was huge career break; while his injured shoulder made him less of a player, it led to him getting traded to Oakland, where he won pair of World Series rings, and helped get him the announcing job he still holds today, 35 years later.

6) Devil Rays and Royals on a Thursday night. Yes, media, there are thirty teams in the big leagues, and while some are worse than others, they all try very hard.

5) Watching the great players. Tejada, Maddux, Clemens, Pujols, . Watching the new stars; Brian Roberts, Willis, Teixeira, Adam Dunn.

4) Pennant races in September; big games every night.

3) Joe Buck is so much better on local Cardinal telecasts, than he is on national FOX games. More understated, less of a wise guy, a lot more like his dad.

2) I root for Oakland, but I prefer DH-less baseball; I enjoy games from all the new parks in the National League- they all seem to have such personality, although not sure what that hill is doing in Center Field at the Juice Box.

1) When I was a kid, the highlight of a weekday was when the afternoon paper came at 4:30, and I could see the A's' boxscore from the night before. Now, you can follow the boxscore in real time, while watching the game live. Information is everything; this is my definition of progress.

**GR8Life** · 05-19-2005, 10:43 AM

Trends for MLB games on Thursday, May 19th, 2005
Milwaukee Brewers @ Washington Nationals
Victor Santos (1 - 3, 3.18 ERA) v. Livan Hernandez (6 - 2, 3.90 ERA)
Livan Hernandez is 14 - 3 against a strikeout-prone lineup (≥ 7 k/g) as a favorite at home.
Jim Reynolds is 11 - 22 when umpiring where the dog on the road is a poor OBP team.
Jim Reynolds has 2 overs, 5 unders, and 1 pushes umpiring against MIL.
St. Louis Cardinals @ Philadelphia Phillies
Jason Marquis (5 - 2, 3.17 ERA) v. Brett Myers (3 - 2, 1.63 ERA)
When Brett Myers is starting, his team is 4 - 1 versus STL.
When Jason Marquis is starting, his team is 2 - 4 versus PHI.
Tampa Bay Devil Rays @ Detroit Tigers
Scott Kazmir (0 - 4, 4.60 ERA) v. Jeremy Bonderman (5 - 2, 3.42 ERA)
Tampa Bay Devil Rays are 15 - 40 against a poor base-stealing (≤ .65 sb/attempts) team as a dog on the road.
Jeremy Bonderman has 7 overs, 3 unders, and 0 pushes as a favorite at home.
Gary Cederstrom has 13 overs, 6 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against DET.
Jeremy Bonderman has 9 overs, 4 unders, and 1 pushes against total ≥ 9 and total ≤ 9.5 in the current park.
Gary Cederstrom is 89 - 53 when umpiring as a "homer" for a favorite.
Toronto Blue Jays @ Minnesota Twins
Gustavo Chacin (4 - 2, 3.35 ERA) v. Joe Mays (2 - 1, 5.02 ERA)
Gustavo Chacin has 1 overs, 6 unders, and 0 pushes as dog on the road.
Joe Mays is 2 - 5 against a poor run-creating team (≤ 4.5 rc/g) as a favorite at home.
Gustavo Chacin is 5 - 2 overall as a dog on the road.
Tim Timmons has 2 overs, 7 unders, and 2 pushes umpiring against MIN.
Joe Mays has 15 overs, 23 unders, and 0 pushes as a favorite at home.
Baltimore Orioles @ Kansas City Royals
Rodrigo Lopez (2 - 1, 4.47 ERA) v. Runelvys Hernandez (2 - 5, 4.82 ERA)
Mark Wegner is 4 - 10 when umpiring where the favorite on the road is a poor OBP team.
Mark Wegner is 8 - 14 when umpiring where the dog at home is a poor OBP team.
Rodrigo Lopez has 3 overs, 5 unders, and 0 pushes as favorite on the road.
Mark Wegner is 119 - 76 when umpiring as a "homer" overall.
San Francisco Giants @ Colorado Rockies
Brett Tomko (3 - 5, 4.36 ERA) v. Jeff Francis (3 - 1, 4.69 ERA)
Brett Tomko is 0 - 6 against fly ball-hitting team as a dog on the road.
Dana DeMuth has 7 overs, 11 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against COL.
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astros
Brad Halsey (2 - 2, 3.88 ERA) v. Roger Clemens (3 - 1, 1.11 ERA)
Rob Drake has 0 overs, 5 unders, and 0 pushes umpiring against HOU.

**hammy85** · 05-19-2005, 12:34 PM

Thanks Guys

hammy

**Spark** · 05-19-2005, 03:13 PM

No problem hammy

Thursday, 5/19/2005

ST LOUIS (25 - 14) at PHILADELPHIA (18 - 23) - 1:05 PM
JASON MARQUIS (R) vs. BRETT MYERS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 46-37 (+10.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 137-79 (+26.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 66-40 (+19.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 136-77 (+28.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 104-62 (+21.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 51-49 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 51-49 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 (+1.8 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.0 Units)

JASON MARQUIS vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
MARQUIS is 2-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 4.13 and a WHIP of 1.592.
His team's record is 2-4 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.1 units)

BRETT MYERS vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
MYERS is 1-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.18 and a WHIP of 1.929.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (19 - 20) at COLORADO (11 - 26) - 3:05 PM
BRETT TOMKO (R) vs. JEFF FRANCIS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 211-155 (+30.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 53-46 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 207-147 (+35.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 66-37 (+24.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 11-26 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 7-21 (-14.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
COLORADO is 11-26 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 48-91 (-29.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 6-2 (+3.7 Units) against COLORADO this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.5 Units)

BRETT TOMKO vs. COLORADO since 1997
TOMKO is 4-5 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.25 and a WHIP of 1.270.
His team's record is 7-6 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-6. (+0.4 units)

JEFF FRANCIS vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
FRANCIS is 0-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 15.13 and a WHIP of 2.641.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (19 - 20) at WASHINGTON (22 - 18) - 1:05 PM
VICTOR SANTOS (R) vs. LIVAN HERNANDEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 172-192 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 53-66 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-1 (+0.7 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

VICTOR SANTOS vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
SANTOS is 1-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

LIVAN HERNANDEZ vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 6-3 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.47 and a WHIP of 1.418.
His team's record is 6-8 (-2.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-6. (+1.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (24 - 17) at HOUSTON (15 - 24) - 8:05 PM
BRAD HALSEY (L) vs. ROGER CLEMENS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 75-128 (-53.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 73-124 (-51.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 56-94 (-38.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 114-141 (-46.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 35-65 (-35.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 6-18 (-14.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
HOUSTON is 15-24 (-11.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 20-25 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 9-18 (-12.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 15-24 (-11.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 72-71 (-21.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 22-28 (-15.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-1 (+0.3 Units) against HOUSTON this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

BRAD HALSEY vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

ROGER CLEMENS vs. ARIZONA since 1997
CLEMENS is 2-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 1.33 and a WHIP of 1.082.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.2 units)

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TAMPA BAY (14 - 27) at DETROIT (19 - 19) - 1:05 PM
SCOTT KAZMIR (L) vs. JEREMY BONDERMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 2-15 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 13-49 (-29.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
KAZMIR is 0-10 (-10.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 38-83 (-36.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
DETROIT is 20-32 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

SCOTT KAZMIR vs. DETROIT since 1997
KAZMIR is 0-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 6.55 and a WHIP of 1.455.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

JEREMY BONDERMAN vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
BONDERMAN is 3-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.20 and a WHIP of 0.872.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (21 - 19) at MINNESOTA (22 - 16) - 1:10 PM
GUSTAVO CHACIN (L) vs. JOE MAYS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 125-81 (+34.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 115-89 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 21-8 (+11.4 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 44-29 (+19.7 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 244-253 (+20.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 86-104 (-33.2 Units) against the money line in home games in day games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 1-1 (+1.1 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)

GUSTAVO CHACIN vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.

JOE MAYS vs. TORONTO since 1997
MAYS is 2-4 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.40 and a WHIP of 1.311.
His team's record is 3-4 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+1.6 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (26 - 13) at KANSAS CITY (11 - 29) - 2:05 PM
RODRIGO LOPEZ (R) vs. RUNELVYS HERNANDEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 32-21 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 57-31 (+18.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 26-13 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 13-4 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BALTIMORE is 25-18 (+17.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 12-2 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
BALTIMORE is 19-8 (+11.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 11-29 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 38-62 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 23-56 (-24.4 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 65-114 (-26.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 42-98 (-42.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 27-75 (-34.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 4-1 (+1.5 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

RODRIGO LOPEZ vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
LOPEZ is 2-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 5.16 and a WHIP of 1.280.
His team's record is 2-2 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.4 units)

RUNELVYS HERNANDEZ vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 0-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.05 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

**BigTicket** · 05-19-2005, 04:28 PM

Spark-tastic-

who's remarks are those that you post daily? Good stuff, thanks!

**Spark** · 05-19-2005, 04:45 PM

I really do not know BT .. Those are e-mailed to me ... It must be a service ...

Hope you STDB tonight buddy hahaha

**JAY** · 05-19-2005, 05:25 PM

This info is so useful to me. Thanks again Spark

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