Is it worth playing Yankee's tonight?

[wayne1218]

C'mon now frankie. Betting a -158 RL in a parlay is no different than any other wager in a parlay with more or less juice! :D

[frankb03]

As I stated above. I'd never bet a home favorite on the RL at any amount let alone -158

[wayne1218]

To each their own i guess.

[frankb03]

Just remember the Yankees were playing lousy before last night.
One thing I have learned over the years is that a one game blowout doesn't necessarily mean anything except for that particular game.
What a way for Tampa to snap their long losing streak against NY-to win after getting creamed the night before!
As I stated before, games like this make Vegas rich especially when you have an absurd line like this one.
Nomo is no Randy Johnson but he did pitch a no-no, and Johnson has been nothing to write home about this year.
Kudos to anyone who played TB tonight.(I bet there weren't many).
With all of the hundreds of games to be played this season, this one in my opinion was to stay away from period.

How many times in many sports do we see a team score a boat load of points then can't score the next game?

Randi Johnson scares me. His reputation precedes him. I think he's about 60 years old. LOL

[stickman1]

Yanks looked good tonight

[savage1]

How many times in many sports do we see a team score a boat load of points then can't score the next game?

Randi Johnson scares me. His reputation precedes him. I think he's about 60 years old. LOL

In short he is not as old as me. lol
Re: your boatlaod of points statement, it happens even more so (the team can't do anything in their next game) if they had been playing poorly prior to that game as was the case with the Yanks.
That blowout game yesterday turned out to be a head fake;it wasn't the first time nor the last time that situation has(will) occurred.

[griswold]

I won't belabor the point because I didn't step up and play Tampa, but Nomo (tonite's Tampa pitcher) has been like this his whole career. He pulls great games out of nowhere (first couple of starts this year were awful, then goes out and pitches great tonight). The very best baseball teams win about 67 percent of their games (unlike the NBA or college FB where teams often win over 80 percent). This makes laying a big juice number very unwise. My biggest hangup is that it takes forever just to get even if you lose with a -300 or -400 favorites. (Remember the guy with the martingale system---think how much he'll have to lay in the next Yankees game just to get even off a one game losing streak!) My own personal opinion is that inexperienced bettors are more likely to lay a big favorite because they haven't been killed yet by it, as some of the more grizzled bettors have been. Live and learn, I guess.

[MB17]

Bottom line!!!! Playing -380 favorites ML, RL anyway is betting suicide.

Frank, as a newbie, I've got a question. If your quote above is true, then wouldn't it be wise to simply take the dog everytime you see a ML at 300+?

[frankb03]

Frank, as a newbie, I've got a question. If your quote above is true, then wouldn't it be wise to simply take the dog everytime you see a ML at 300+?

No. blindly fading all 300+ favorites won't win long-term. Also at many books with dogs over +200 the juice goes up.

I don't believe the average bettor is going to play every -300 or more favorite. After tonight loss a bettor needs to win 4 games for a small profit. I don't think many bettors are going to be eager to lay another -200 or -300 after a today's huge loss.

[savage1]

Hey Frank-If a service wanted to take a shot, get some customers, and make a name for itself, it should have made TB the GOY tonight;I wonder if LOSER Lawrence or Big Al tried that(of course supported by a 105-0 system lol).

[frankb03]

Hey Frank-If a service wanted to take a shot, get some customers, and make a name for itself, it should have made TB the GOY tonight;I wonder if LOSER Lawrence or Big Al tried that(of course supported by a 105-0 system lol).

Good Point!

Here's Loser Lawrence write-up.........

Since 1980 +350 dogs are an amazing 105-0 when they win the game SU.

LOL

[MB17]

LMAO.

BTW, thanks for the quick reply. Before your answer, I was tempted to simply take every 300+ dog from here on out. lol

[savage1]

Good Point!

Here's Loser Lawrence write-up.........

Since 1980 +350 dogs are an amazing 105-0 when they win the game SU.

LOL

LMFAO!! For emphasis he might say also favorites of 350 or or more are 0-105 when they lose straight up.

[frankb03]

LMFAO!! For emphasis he might say also favorites of 350 or or more are 0-105 when they lose straight up.

You're right! Are you sure you don't assist LL with his writeups?

LOL

[savage1]

You're right! Are you sure you don't assist LL with his writeups?

LOL

Nah-he doesn't need my help;I am sure he and Big Al have done this for so long(they probably help one another) that they have it down to a science as to how to write enough cleverly written bullshit including 104-0 systems to attract many newbies and also many other naive folks and suckers who believe it.