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  • 2 Baseball Systems

    i have no idea what % these will hit but i know for sure that if you play system 1 every time you will be ahead of the game
    system 2 i dont know and probably will play only when i like it
    but i am going to still track it to see what it does
    system #1
    play on home team when losing first 2 games of a 3 game series
    record in 2005 6-0 +6*
    with all favs -130 or less only 1 -170 (twins/santana)

    next plays
    4/14 cleveland indians
    4/14 kansas city royals

    system #2
    play on road team when losing first 2 games of a 3 game series
    record in 2005 3-4 -1*

    next play
    4/14 houston astros

    gl
    truckin
    we can share the women, we can share the wine
    we can share what we got of yours cause we done shared all of mine.

  • #2
    with all favs -130 or less only 1 -170 (twins/santana)

    Maybe it's late...can you explain that line...thanks.

    Comment


    • #3
      Originally posted by SFLINSJ
      with all favs -130 or less only 1 -170 (twins/santana)

      Maybe it's late...can you explain that line...thanks.
      i am just saying that out of the 6 games played so far that it went 6-0
      they were all favs that won but only one was high -170 (twins/santana) the other 5 winners were all -130 or less
      i just put that in there because if every game was -200 it would not be worth playing because there is to much risk
      hope that helps
      we can share the women, we can share the wine
      we can share what we got of yours cause we done shared all of mine.

      Comment


      • #4
        Originally posted by TRUCKIN
        i have no idea what % these will hit but i know for sure that if you play system 1 every time you will be ahead of the game
        system 2 i dont know and probably will play only when i like it
        but i am going to still track it to see what it does
        system #1
        play on home team when losing first 2 games of a 3 game series
        record in 2005 6-0 +6*
        with all favs -130 or less only 1 -170 (twins/santana)

        next plays
        4/14 cleveland indians
        4/14 kansas city royals

        system #2
        play on road team when losing first 2 games of a 3 game series
        record in 2005 3-4 -1*

        next play
        4/14 houston astros

        gl
        truckin
        added played for system #2
        4/14 detriot tigers
        sorry i missed that one last night
        we can share the women, we can share the wine
        we can share what we got of yours cause we done shared all of mine.

        Comment


        • #5
          Hey truckin....isnt system two's record so bad primarily because of the Rockies losing streak???

          Comment


          • #6
            cozmo

            i will check later
            but 2 of the losses are probably the rockies
            maybe as the year goes we just dont play certain teams because they suck
            we can share the women, we can share the wine
            we can share what we got of yours cause we done shared all of mine.

            Comment


            • #7
              thanks Truckin

              Comment


              • #8
                Thanks for the info Trucking!!!
                I'll definetly be keeping an eye on this system.
                So the royals is just your system play and won't be a fade or faded?
                Anyways, thanks for helping out and doing the fades today, hope I can get to a computer in time to play'em!!
                Goodluck today buddy!!!
                "Sometimes it's not what you play, but what you don't play."

                Comment


                • #9
                  Originally posted by TRUCKIN
                  added played for system #2
                  4/14 detriot tigers
                  sorry i missed that one last night
                  another added play
                  i must have been drunk last night when i did this thread to miss 2 games
                  added for system #2
                  tampa bay devilrays
                  gl
                  we can share the women, we can share the wine
                  we can share what we got of yours cause we done shared all of mine.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    keawe

                    Originally posted by keawe
                    Thanks for the info Trucking!!!
                    I'll definetly be keeping an eye on this system.
                    So the royals is just your system play and won't be a fade or faded?
                    Anyways, thanks for helping out and doing the fades today, hope I can get to a computer in time to play'em!!
                    Goodluck today buddy!!!
                    anytime
                    goodluck to you today
                    yes i am playing the royals today because it is system #1
                    i will do fades for late games
                    truckin
                    we can share the women, we can share the wine
                    we can share what we got of yours cause we done shared all of mine.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      sflinsj

                      Originally posted by SFLINSJ
                      thanks Truckin
                      your welcome and goodluck
                      i hate barry bonds to
                      we can share the women, we can share the wine
                      we can share what we got of yours cause we done shared all of mine.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Isn't Tampa Bay part of system 1?

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Originally posted by TRUCKIN
                          another added play
                          i must have been drunk last night when i did this thread to miss 2 games
                          added for system #2
                          tampa bay devilrays
                          gl
                          yes i missed it at first
                          we can share the women, we can share the wine
                          we can share what we got of yours cause we done shared all of mine.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Thanks truckin! Ur right.....some teams just suck!

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Trucking

                              I have been using this since 1976. Here is some fact finding a friend and I did on 6 years.

                              Here is a quick workup of sweeps for 1993-1998

                              This is for three game series, for both leagues, including interleague play:

                              Home team in danger of being swept (0-2 going into game three)

                              Play the home team.....when
                              All games: 289-257 +17.5 units
                              H win%>=600 16-10 +1.25u
                              H win%500-599 84-73 -5.05u
                              H win%400-499 128-113 +12.85u
                              H win%<400 61-61 +8.5u

                              Away team in danger of being swept
                              Play away team when....

                              All games 337-395 +42.6 units
                              A win%>=600 24-23 -1.0 u
                              A win%500-599 105-105 +14.1 u
                              A win%400-499 165-206 +13.7 u
                              A win%<400 67-84 +14.8 u

                              So, playing <500 teams (home and away) gives you- win 47.8 units, and you can
                              add playing away teams 500-599 for an additional 14.1 units for a total of
                              61.9 units

                              That's a return of (roughly) 61.9/1095 plays or about 6% return on
                              investment. Not too shabby!

                              Comment

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