Frankb03AnotherBaseball??

[bfpsu]

Hi Frank,
Do you have any data on how many baseball games from last year were decided by just one run? I'm trying to see if it's to my advantage to lay -1.5 runs in certain situations.
Thanks

[frankb03]

Last season 634 of 2462 games were decided by 1 run.

[kbsooner21]

Thanks for all your help Frank!! Definitely on top of your Game!!

[frankb03]

In 1627 games the Home Favorites won 955 games. 270 games by 1 run

In 835 games the Road Favorite won 472 games. 89 games by 1 run

[Blackbeard]

Thats nice, so I assume that means(my math is not the best, so let me know if Im wrong Franky) home faves win 58% of the time and of these wins run line was the play only 28% of the time. Also wondering if you know of any sites that give the number of wins for a particular spread, like 111 games for +125 or 500 games by -160 and so on. I sometimes cap just by the lines, I have a few numbers I like that seem to come in often.

[bfpsu]

Thanks for your help Frank I really appreciate it.

[Kaptain]

Thats nice, so I assume that means(my math is not the best, so let me know if Im wrong Franky) home faves win 58% of the time and of these wins run line was the play only 28% of the time. Also wondering if you know of any sites that give the number of wins for a particular spread, like 111 games for +125 or 500 games by -160 and so on. I sometimes cap just by the lines, I have a few numbers I like that seem to come in often.

Can the Old Kapt give you a suggestion....Taking the Home favorite on the RL mitigates your chances of covering....If home team is ahead by 1 after top of ninth--they don't bat---thus losing 1 complete inning of offense 11%.....Home dogs don't need th at bat if they are already ahead, thus you already had a winner.....RL Road teams get all 9 ABs....something to ponder....

[Blackbeard]

Thanks Kapt, definently agree, also don't like that 28%, but it may come into use if there are several non runline winners in a day(I know I know, statistical nightmare). I'm also tracking the diffrences in lines on bodog/pinnacle to try & DEVLOPE A SYSTEM, TODAYS RESULTS LOOK PROMISING SO FAR. Damn caps lock, but Im too lazy to retype

[frankb03]

Can the Old Kapt give you a suggestion....Taking the Home favorite on the RL mitigates your chances of covering....If home team is ahead by 1 after top of ninth--they don't bat---thus losing 1 complete inning of offense 11%.....Home dogs don't need th at bat if they are already ahead, thus you already had a winner.....RL Road teams get all 9 ABs....something to ponder....

AGREED! Never take the HF on the RL.