ANyone have BIG AL's College NIT picks for Tuesday??
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Monday Service Plays All Sports
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DR BOB
Possible Best Bets for Monday Posted Below!
Free Analysis
Monday, March 27
New Jersey (-4) 98 CHARLOTTE 88
Charlotte is at their best when their opponent is not as likely to give their best effort, as the Bobcats have played well against teams coming off a win (22-13-2 ATS) and against teams that are unrested (12-6-1 ATS). However, the Bobcats are only 3-10-1 ATS against rested teams that have lost 2 or more consecutive games and the Nets’ back-to-back losses will assure that they take this game seriously. Charlotte, meanwhile, is just 4-8-1 ATS this season after a game in which they won and covered the spread (0-1 ATS after back-to-back wins) and they qualify in a negative 34-82-2 ATS situation that plays against bad teams after a win late in the season. The Bobcats won in that situation on Saturday against a Miami team that had just won a big game against Phoenix the night before, but they aren’t likely to catch the Nets letting down for this game (New Jersey is 6-3-2 ATS after back-to-back losses since Jason Kidd started playing in early December). My ratings favor New Jersey by just 2 points, and by only 2 ½ points if Emeka Okafor is out for Charlotte (he’s questionable with a sprained ankle), so it appears as if too much value is being given for Okafor’s potential absence. The linesmakers have been over-adjusting for Okafor all season, as the Bobcats are 6-2 ATS when he doesn’t play, and I’m not willing to give up too many points to make New Jersey a Best Bet. I will lay 3 points or less with New Jersey in a 2-Star Best Bet while making the Nets an opinion if they remain favored by more than 3 points.
Cleveland (-3 ½) 95 NEW ORLEANS 86
The Cavaliers have lost 11 consecutive road games, but they’ve also been an underdog in every one of those games and they’ve won and covered 5 straight times as a road favorite while being 7-2 ATS in that role this season. It’s not that the Cavs are bad on the road – they’re bad as underdogs. Cleveland is 25-14 ATS as a favorite this season and their two spread losses as a road favorite came against pretty good teams (Chicago and New Jersey with Kidd playing), so they’ve covered all 7 times as a road favorite against truly bad teams (2-0 against Atlanta, 2-0 against Charlotte, 1-0 against Golden State before getting Baron Davis, 1-0 against Portland and 1-0 against Utah). New Orleans is a better team since getting Speedy Claxton to run the point and he returned from a 3 game absence for their upset win at Memphis on Saturday. That win, however, sets up the Hornets in a negative 34-82-2 ATS letdown situation. My ratings favor Cleveland by only 2 ½ points and I’m not willing to give up line value to play them as a Best Bet, so I’ll only play Cleveland in a 2-Star Best Bet if they are favored by 2 points or less, and I’ll consider the Cavaliers an opinion if they remain favored by more than 2 points.
SACRAMENTO (-4 ½) 108 Philadelphia 97
The Kings have been a pretty mediocre team since losing center Brad Miller, but they’ve continued to play well at home following a loss – going 3-0 ATS in that role without Miller this month. Sacramento has a long history of bouncing back from losses at home, especially against a mediocre or bad team. In fact, the Kings are now an amazing 27-1-1 ATS at home after a loss when not favored by 14 points or more against a team with a win percentage of less than .550 (21-0-1 ATS laying less than 12 points). I rate the 76ers as a better team with current personnel and my ratings only favors Sacramento by 3 points in this game, but I’m willing to give up some line value to play the Kings in their best role. I’ll make Sacramento a 2-Star Best Bet at -4 points or less and I’ll consider the Kings a strong opinion if they remain favored by more than 4 points.
Atlanta at ORLANDO - OVER 203
Teams that are out of the playoff race tend to play for themselves and that results in a more up and down, higher scoring game with more showtime and less defense. Atlanta has gone OVER in 8 of their last 9 games and the Magic have gone OVER 3 straight games and using games since the start of February would result in a fair total of 209 points, which would give this game a 56% chance of going OVER 203 points, which is certainly worthy of an opinion.
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Originally posted by joelattiRIP I think Mac's plays should count as TWO for the fades
Brian Mac you need to stop fooling yourself and the uninformed
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12 units tournament game of year Kentucky LOSER
7 units minn twolves(must be his 2nd nba game of year) LOSER
5 units under kentucky LOSER
3 units under lakersWIN
3 units under wizardsWIN
Loses $2,040 on the day. Now a stellar minus $6,200 or 62 units for the tournament. Loses yet another game of the year. Continues to make claims on his comp line how well the open enders are doing. Stop the shiit. You have lost 8 dimes the last 2 weeks and are now on the verge of costing your clients 400 units since 1/11 and 500 units since mid November. You are a thief. Stop telling people you're winning. These numbers speak for themselves. Every play except for those few days after you cut me off has been accurately documented since 1/11 and you are losing you AAASSSSSSS!!!!! I guess he hasn't made any "headway" so he'll be adding 2 more weeks of losers to everyones service. I think it's time to close shop Mr. Mac.
Thanks joe...keep posting his fades PLEASE!
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