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Friday NCAA
Duke is 2-3 in this round since '00; they beat Spartans by seven Nov 30, in game where they made half their 3's. Michigan State is deeper team, more athletic, but Izzo has lost five in row vs Duke, and State struggled on foul line late in close games this year, despite their gaudy free throw numbers for season. Since 2001, #1 seeds are 12-2 SU in this round, and 10-4 vs spread.
Wisconsin beat Maryland 69-64 in November; State hammered Terps twice in ACC play. Hodge is by far the best player on court, but Ryan has won 4 national titles in Division III, is super coach. NC State plays a Princeton-style, much like Northwestern in Big 11, a team Badgers beat 73-58 Feb 2. Wisconsin won 7 of last eight games, Wolfpack five of last six. Methodical play will rule here. Dome setting could hurt NC State three-point shooters.
While we quote that stat about #1's being 10-4 vs the spread in this round, #1 seeds as double digit faves in this round are just 3-7-1 vs spread in last 11 tries, stat that goes back over a decade, so hope for Villanova squad that will miss injured Sumpter, but still claims it wants to run with Tar Heels. Wildcats won nine of last ten games, losing by hoop to West Virginia in Big East tourney, loss that looks lot better now. Carrier Dome is Big East country; this would be a genuine upset if the Wildcats could beat North Carolina.
NCAA Tips:
Kentucky, -4-- Utah has the excellent big man, but UK has three 7-footers to throw at him, one of whom is 7-3; New Mexico gave Utes trouble because they threw tall people at Bogut in bunches. This spread is just too low, because Bogut is best player on floor, and Utes are veteran unit. Favorites are 8-4 vs spread in this round this year and last. Athleticism wins out over experience. 20 tubbysmiths on the Wildcats, -4.
Duke is 2-3 in this round since '00; they beat Spartans by seven Nov 30, in game where they made half their 3's. Michigan State is deeper team, more athletic, but Izzo has lost five in row vs Duke, and State struggled on foul line late in close games this year, despite their gaudy free throw numbers for season. Since 2001, #1 seeds are 12-2 SU in this round, and 10-4 vs spread.
Wisconsin beat Maryland 69-64 in November; State hammered Terps twice in ACC play. Hodge is by far the best player on court, but Ryan has won 4 national titles in Division III, is super coach. NC State plays a Princeton-style, much like Northwestern in Big 11, a team Badgers beat 73-58 Feb 2. Wisconsin won 7 of last eight games, Wolfpack five of last six. Methodical play will rule here. Dome setting could hurt NC State three-point shooters.
While we quote that stat about #1's being 10-4 vs the spread in this round, #1 seeds as double digit faves in this round are just 3-7-1 vs spread in last 11 tries, stat that goes back over a decade, so hope for Villanova squad that will miss injured Sumpter, but still claims it wants to run with Tar Heels. Wildcats won nine of last ten games, losing by hoop to West Virginia in Big East tourney, loss that looks lot better now. Carrier Dome is Big East country; this would be a genuine upset if the Wildcats could beat North Carolina.
NCAA Tips:
Kentucky, -4-- Utah has the excellent big man, but UK has three 7-footers to throw at him, one of whom is 7-3; New Mexico gave Utes trouble because they threw tall people at Bogut in bunches. This spread is just too low, because Bogut is best player on floor, and Utes are veteran unit. Favorites are 8-4 vs spread in this round this year and last. Athleticism wins out over experience. 20 tubbysmiths on the Wildcats, -4.
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