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3/24 National Thug Association Over/Unders

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  • 3/24 National Thug Association Over/Unders

    NBA Totals 27-7 (79%)

    Memphis / New Jersey Over 175.5

    Seattle / Portland Under 191

    Dallas / Sacramento Under 210

  • #2
    Originally posted by prolific
    NBA Totals 27-7 (79%)

    Memphis / New Jersey Over 175.5

    Seattle / Portland Under 191

    Dallas / Sacramento Under 210

    Based on your picks.

    I see only Under Portland 191 is solid.
    Memphis and Nets are playing great defenses, but good lucks to you.
    Dallas game went over las night. You expect them to slow down right? I see they will go over again tonight because two good teams.

    Good lucks to you that is just my opinion about the games.

    Comment


    • #3
      These aren't the same Dallas/Sac teams as the past couple years. Avery Johnson focuses on defense and runs more set plays than Nellie did. Remember, this is a Kings team with no Webber and no Brad Miller.

      Comment


      • #4
        Hey prolific, thanks for the posts on your picks. If possible can you post what your program's predicted scores are for each game? That way if the line moves we can tell how strong a game it is.

        If you can't do it, don't worry about it bro, I appreciate all of you work.
        Control what you can control...

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        • #5
          Originally posted by Hoosier Daddy
          These aren't the same Dallas/Sac teams as the past couple years. Avery Johnson focuses on defense and runs more set plays than Nellie did. Remember, this is a Kings team with no Webber and no Brad Miller.
          Kings since the trade are 7/8 O/U

          It's hard to argue with 27-7

          GL.

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          • #6
            obviously your first instrinct when dallas and sacramento play is to pick the over, no matter what the number is ...

            but i don't let any subjective thoughts like that enter into the capping of the over/unders ... i strictly go by the numbers ...

            the system started off really good with 4-1 in the first week and 16-2 in the 2nd week but has slowed down to 7-4 in the 3rd week ... so i might have to start playing less games per day and start putting some subjective thought into the picks

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            • #7
              GL tonight. Keep up the great work
              1 of 1 Morons

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              • #8
                Originally posted by prolific
                obviously your first instrinct when dallas and sacramento play is to pick the over, no matter what the number is ...

                but i don't let any subjective thoughts like that enter into the capping of the over/unders ... i strictly go by the numbers ...

                the system started off really good with 4-1 in the first week and 16-2 in the 2nd week but has slowed down to 7-4 in the 3rd week ... so i might have to start playing less games per day and start putting some subjective thought into the picks
                Prolific, I agree. Don't let subjective opinions interfere with your system. Play them all.

                Secondly, don't change anything. Any member will tell you. 7-4 is GREAT. Don't mess with success. There's no way any system will maintain 60% let alone 70%. Ride out the cold streaks. Don't get discouraged.
                Last edited by frankb03; 03-24-2005, 05:05 PM.

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                • #9
                  Originally posted by frankb03
                  Prolific, I agree. Don't let subjective opinions interfere with your system. Play them all.

                  Secondly, don't change anything. Any member will tell you. 7-4 is GREAT. Don't mess with success. There's no way any system will maintain 60% let alone 70%. Ride out the cold streaks. Don't get dscouraged.
                  Frank I totally agree.

                  27-7 That is unbelieveable. Just let the system ride.
                  1 of 1 Morons

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                  • #10
                    Another point! As many members noted including myself. My 10* play the other night was on Atlanta. The worst team in the league vs. Phoenix, the best team in the league. Logic told me don't make Atlanta a 10* play. Hwever, I kept reminding myself even the worst teams cover the spread. They don't lose every game.

                    The illogical often is the most logical.

                    GL

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                    • #11
                      that 27-7 might be a little misleading .. there was a 17-0 run in there which is the biggest anomoly i have every seen ... take that out and its 10-7 which is pretty average ... hopefully the system produces more peaks than valleys

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                      • #12
                        If we used 100% logic all of the time and if all the results were 'logical', there would be no books as they would be broke.... Let's RIP the man tonight!
                        Three Jack's Record http://www.bettorschat.com/forums/sh...10#post1323910

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                        • #13
                          Originally posted by prolific
                          that 27-7 might be a little misleading .. there was a 17-0 run in there which is the biggest anomoly i have every seen ... take that out and its 10-7 which is pretty average ... hopefully the system produces more peaks than valleys
                          Don't over-analyze. You're going to have good runs and bad runs. In the end it evens out. It would be great if I went 3-2 60% every night. But that's not reality. You'll have 10-0 runs and 2-8 runs. Learn to recognize each.

                          If you start cherry picking you'll potentially ruin a good system.

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                          • #14
                            Pro, kinda like Lal/Den OVER any thoughts
                            RED LIGHT UP THAT CIGAR

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                            • #15
                              denver line is too close to call

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