for the responses.......pinny is great for props, the only thing i see now that looks to be of interest is that no 14,15, or 16 seed wins a game at +141, although that is far from a lock...
jcoor, as far as the reality show props, at the moment, those are not good bets because of the uncertainty of the endings...maybe in the future that will change, but for now, stay away from the reality show wagers
one of my sites has a million baseball player props, such as over/under hr's, rbi's, sb's, wims etc.......if your book has the same thing, you might want to find a specific player you think for whatever reason may have a subpar season and bet 'under'......on those plays, 'under' is always a better bet than 'over' because of the injury factor, especially in todays day and age where players sit out games because of having a headache
I never really looked at the props on the site I use but I just checked it out. There is some crazy shit out there. Check this one out that I found on the site:
WHICH COUPLE WILL DIVORCE 1st, by 31st Dec 2006?(Must be official in court)
Packer--->i think the best example i can give you is 'award show' bets, i posted predictions for the academy awards and went 13-1, 6-0 in the main categories........nowadays most sites will put odds up for award shows and they are rather easy to predict; there are about 15 sites out there who have experts predicting them and they are right 90% of the time..........another example is 2 weeks back, i bet 'over 5 1/2 big 12 teams to make the toruney' and whereas that wasn't a lock, it was a near lock because they were going to take 6 pretty much no matter what........a lot of it depends on what site you use.....pinny (pinbet) always has props , as does olmympic and sportsbook ( i do not think i am allowed to use names, sorry)......do you use a specific site??
Blitzz--->because i scour the internet for prop bets, i know the site you are talking about that has those props, absolutely hilarious......obviously that is shit that is impossible to bet on, but look at the same site and you will find some good props, in fact , that site always has good odds on award shows, they just cap the max bet around $200, so follow those bets on your site
if i am allowed, i will start posting the prop bets that i think are good bets and why, always feel free to ask any questions, otherwise, i will post them
the only thing i see tonight that is of interest is on one of my sites, you can bet that the denver nuggets will not make the playoffs at +155.........interesting bet here because you have 3 teams (wolves, nuggets and lakers ) fighting for 1 spot, so naturally, getting any of the 3 at no for +155 seems to be a wise bet because they are all separated hy 1 game and by taking 'not make the playoffs' , you get 2 teams at a +155 price.....this is just an example......you may lose, but it is a smart bet even though denver probably has a slightly easier schedule than the other 2.......obviously none of the 3 has any chance to be higher than the 8 seed
Most points scored in game.
Bryant +2(-135)
Iverson-2(+105)
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Butler -2(+135)
Korver+2(-165)
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Team to get the first 10 points in game
Lakers +105
76ers -135
player vs player prop bets, or over/under points/rebounds/assists, etc. are often decent bets
In the nba, do not look at someone's yearly average, look for how someone has done in the past 5-6 games........people usually get stats in streaks.........so if you see like kobe bryant's over/under points at 32.5 and he has scored like 38,40, and 36 his last 3 games, you are more inclined to bet the over.......also, in the nba, look and see if the player played the night before or the night after because that may mean less minutes for him in that game.........
hOWEVER, in these over/under player prop bets, i usually find an under i like and bet it because a lot of things can make it go under like:
1)foul trouble
2)blowout meaning less minutes
3)injury
so if your people offer nba player props or player props for the ncaa tourney, look to unders instead of overs, make sense?
oly is one of the best, you are lucky.........watch all the toruney props they put up in the next day and i will post the ones i like if you are interested.........
also, on that site, always look at 'other events' because you can often find some diamonds in the rough there........
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