The Homer System Test

[frankb03]

Woww....seems so eeasy!!!

Easy but scary.

[frankb03]

Are these straight $100 bets on the home team on the first game of the homestand, or each game on the homestand, or progressive bets..... How does an 0-4 series work out to a loss of $1844, and the 5th loss of an 0-5 series add an extra $2140 loss???

Progressive. If the home team cover-s game 1 take the $100 and go home. If they lost game 1 ATS then game 2 risk 231 to win 210. Net profit for the homestand and all homestands is $100

[phonepole]

so you're saying take the home team until they win if they have 4 or more home games in a row??? if they win the first game, you lay off of them for the rest? ATS of course.

Duh..... guess that's one more thing i didn't get.... Don't say it RJ!!!!
Any data on how this system would have done this season?

[frankb03]

Any data on how this system would have done this season?

I'll test Wednesday

[Homer]

Game 1 - 110 / 100
Game 2 - 231 / 210
Game 3 - 485 / 441
Game 4 - 1018 / 926
Game 5 - 2139 / 1945
Game 6 - 4493 / 4084 (god forbid) LOL

Remember this though guys you can start your base at what your Bankroll will allow you to lose.

Like 10 - 20 - 30 Etc.

If it goes into the fourth game thats a lot to hold for that one based on 100.

Thanks again Frank.

Looking forward to how the Road one comes out :D :D

[savage1]

Hey Frank-great system.
However, why not also do something which applies to this season like chasing San Antonio.
If my stats are correct, they have not gone more than two in a row without covering;please correct me if I am wrong and/or if my thinking is flawed.
I take that back as they did have one dry spell, not covering for 5 games(1 tie included);still it seems pretty solid.
ps I wasn't trying to make light of your system, but I think if you find a good consistent team in college or the pros, you could do the same thing and be successful(doubling up after each ATS loss).

[The Lovedoc]

Thanks frank, but i think i will stick with my system... Its full proof baby!!!

[phonepole]

Frank - if this is what you're looking for - here's a head start.
All results are posted on ********* - W, L, P, or NL (No Line)

Home Streaks

Team....Date.....No. Games....Pattern.....Games to 1st W

Bos......2/9...........4........W-W-L-L.................1
Chi......12/6..........4.........L-W-L-W................2
...........1/7...........5........W-W-W-W-L...........1
Clev......2/5..........5.........W-W-L-W-W...........1
Dal......11/30........4..........L-P-W-L................3 (1 push)
..........12/28........5.........W-W-W-W-L...........1
Den.....11/17........5.........W-W-W-L-L............1
..........11/29........4.........L-L-W-W................3
Det......1/12.........4.........L-W-L-W................2
GS.......11/17.......4..........W-L-L-L.................1
Hou.....11/16........4.........W-L-L-NL................1
...........12/4.........6.........L-L-W-NL-W-W........3
Ind.......11/20.......4.........NL-NL-W-L..............3 (2 NL)
...........2/9..........4..........L-L-W-W................3

[frankb03]

Remember this though guys you can start your base at what your Bankroll will allow you to lose.

Like 10 - 20 - 30 Etc.

Homer, thank for raising this point. I was a bit reluctant to post this system. I was contemplating emailing it to you. The last thing I wanted to do was post a system in which a member might be risking 1000s.

[RJeremy]

Frank,

someone was doing something similar to this on another forum, except they were taking the road team everytime.......i think it was like 64-3 the last time I checked....but those 3 could've been brutal.

[Homer]

Frank,

someone was doing something similar to this on another forum, except they were taking the road team everytime.......i think it was like 64-3 the last time I checked....but those 3 could've been brutal.

I agree RJ it would be Brutal if you play your base at 100 a pop. Those last games will be some huge bank.

My plan was to start at 20. Make a new online account at just play this system for the rest of the year in the NBA and see how it goes. Yes your not going to make a killing but you should win some money over the rest of the year.

Look forward to how Franks Database comes back with the road teams.

Thanks again Frank great information and I'm going to try this with the home teams. Maybe the road as well if it comes back good also.

[frankb03]

Any data on how this system would have done this season?

This season 24-2

[frankb03]

Homer, I had a calculation error last night. I realized the error this morning when I was to double checking my calculations. I'm re-running the system. It appears it's still profitable but not as much as I reported last night. I got to run out now. I'll report later.

Also, I was testing the system with additional parameter such as using teams with .501 or better home record.

Homer, email me. Get my email address from Doc or RJ. They both have it.

[Homer]

Also, I was testing the system with additional parameter such as using teams with .501 or better home record.

Homer, email me. Get my email address from Doc or RJ. They both have it.

Thanks man will do

[RJeremy]

Homer,

You have mail!