Trends and Forecasts 2/28

[crswir]

College Basketball Trend Report
PITTSBURGH (18 - 7) at BOSTON COLLEGE (23 - 2) - 2/28/2005, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 1-6 ATS (-5.6 Units) in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.5 over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 1-6 ATS (-5.6 Units) in February games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 1-6 ATS (-5.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
PITTSBURGH is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-1 against the spread versus BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 3-0 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




DREXEL (16 - 10) at TOWSON ST (6 - 21) - 2/28/2005, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DREXEL is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
DREXEL is 4-1 against the spread versus TOWSON ST over the last 3 seasons
DREXEL is 5-0 straight up against TOWSON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




DRAKE (11 - 15) at BRADLEY (13 - 13) - 2/28/2005, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DRAKE is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
BRADLEY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games in February games over the last 3 seasons.
BRADLEY is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
DRAKE is 5-1 ATS (+3.9 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
DRAKE is 3-2 against the spread versus BRADLEY over the last 3 seasons
DRAKE is 3-2 straight up against BRADLEY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




S ILLINOIS (24 - 6) at INDIANA ST (10 - 18) - 2/28/2005, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA ST is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA ST is 1-5 ATS (-4.5 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA ST is 3-2 against the spread versus S ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
S ILLINOIS is 5-0 straight up against INDIANA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




MIDDLE TENN ST (17 - 11) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (11 - 15) - 2/28/2005, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 5-1 ATS (+3.9 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 5-1 ATS (+3.9 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in home games in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in home games in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 2-2 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 5-0 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




CREIGHTON (19 - 10) at ILLINOIS ST (17 - 11) - 2/28/2005, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CREIGHTON is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
ILLINOIS ST is 4-1 against the spread versus CREIGHTON over the last 3 seasons
CREIGHTON is 4-1 straight up against ILLINOIS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




SW MISSOURI ST (15 - 11) at EVANSVILLE (11 - 15) - 2/28/2005, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SW MISSOURI ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
EVANSVILLE is 18-36 ATS (-21.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
SW MISSOURI ST is 4-2 against the spread versus EVANSVILLE over the last 3 seasons
SW MISSOURI ST is 5-1 straight up against EVANSVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




N IOWA (20 - 9) at WICHITA ST (19 - 7) - 2/28/2005, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WICHITA ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
N IOWA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
WICHITA ST is 1-6 ATS (-5.6 Units) in home games after a conference game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
WICHITA ST is 3-3 against the spread versus N IOWA over the last 3 seasons
WICHITA ST is 3-3 straight up against N IOWA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




OKLAHOMA (21 - 6) at TEXAS (19 - 8) - 2/28/2005, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games in February games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
OKLAHOMA is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 5-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 5-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




AIR FORCE (16 - 11) at SAN DIEGO ST (10 - 15) - 2/28/2005, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 6-1 ATS (+4.9 Units) when playing with one or less days rest this season.
SAN DIEGO ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SAN DIEGO ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
AIR FORCE is 3-2 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
AIR FORCE is 3-2 straight up against SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




NEW MEXICO (21 - 6) at UNLV (14 - 11) - 2/28/2005, 11:59 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 5-1 ATS (+3.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
UNLV is 5-1 ATS (+3.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
NEW MEXICO is 5-1 ATS (+3.9 Units) in February games this season.
NEW MEXICO is 6-1 ATS (+4.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
UNLV is 4-2 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
UNLV is 5-1 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




MONTANA (14 - 12) at N ARIZONA (11 - 16) - 2/28/2005, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTANA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
N ARIZONA is 6-1 ATS (+4.9 Units) in home games after allowing 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
N ARIZONA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
N ARIZONA is 5-0 against the spread versus MONTANA over the last 3 seasons
N ARIZONA is 4-1 straight up against MONTANA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


Today's Games
MST Our Favored Team Rating Sprd Our Underdog Team Rating
5:00p Boston College* ESPN 96.7 8 Pittsburgh 93.5
5:00p Drexel 87.8 10½ Towson State* 72.4
5:05p Southern Illinois FSN 93.6 4 Indiana State* 84.8
5:30p Middle Tennessee St. 87.4 1 Fla. International* 81.5
6:00p Bradley* 85.3 4½ Drake 86.0
6:05p Creighton 92.3 1½ Illinois State* 86.0
6:05p SW Missouri State 89.2 1½ Evansville* 82.9
7:00p Texas* ESPN 96.4 3 Oklahoma 98.5
7:05p Northern Arizona* 77.3 0 Montana 82.1
7:05p Wichita State* FSN 90.5 5½ Northern Iowa 90.1
8:00p Air Force 92.9 4 San Diego State* 83.8
10:00p UN-Las Vegas* ESPN 90.5 0 New Mexico 95.4
* Home Team = +5 pts. ** Neutral Court


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Pro Basketball Trend Report
SAN ANTONIO (42 - 13) at CLEVELAND (31 - 23) - 2/28/2005, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 5-1 ATS (+3.9 Units) in home games in February games this season.
CLEVELAND is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
CLEVELAND is 5-1 ATS (+3.9 Units) in home games second half of the season this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after a division game this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after scoring 85 points or less this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 55-30 ATS (+22.0 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 4-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




LA LAKERS (28 - 26) at NEW YORK (23 - 33) - 2/28/2005, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 5-1 ATS (+3.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 3-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 3-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




NEW ORLEANS (11 - 44) at DALLAS (37 - 17) - 2/28/2005, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
DALLAS is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
DALLAS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 48-27 ATS (+18.3 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 6-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




LA CLIPPERS (25 - 31) at UTAH (18 - 37) - 2/28/2005, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-5 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 7-3 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


Monday, February 28, 2005
MST TV Hoops Index Forecast
5:00p FSN San Antonio 3 over Cleveland*
5:30p KCALMSGNBATV New York* 4½ over L.A. Lakers
6:30p FSN Dallas* 14½ over New Orleans
7:00p FSN Utah* 2½ over L.A. Clippers

[Spark]

Conference tournaments start very soon, and most of these teams have one eye on that, especially the teams in Missouri Valley, who close their regular season with games tonight. Tomorrow is March 1, and postseason is approaching, just be advised of that..........

Pitt lost last three games and better start winning if they want to be in field of 65; they're 1-6 vs spread the last seven games and 3-3 on Big East road. BC Eagles are 3-2 in last five (1-4 vs spread), 4-3 as home favorite, winning by 9,1,15,12,10,5 and 12 points.

Towson State lost its last 12 games and is 2-15 in the CAA, but they're 4-2 as home dog, losing by 12,9,20, 4,5,7 pts- they lost first meeting vs Drexel 76-55 as a 15-pt dog. Dragons are 5-2 in last seven games; they are 5-3 on CAA road, winning by 3,2,7,12 and 9 pts.

Drake, Bradley are both 6-11 in MVC; Bulldogs beat Bradley 79-73 in first meeting on Jan 8. Bradley lost seven of last nine games; they're 4-2 as home favorite in Valley, winning by 10,11,5,6,6,16 pts. Drake won its last two games and covered seven of their last nine.

Southern Illinois won their last six games, covered their last three; they're 3-1 as road favorite, winning by 6,12 16,1,7 pts in eight road games. Indiana State lost first game at Southern Illinois 64-53, as 15-pt dog; they're 3-8 in last 11 games, 10-3 vs spread in their last 13.

Middle Tennessee lost its last three road games; they beat Florida International 82-69 as 12-pt fave back on Feb 5. Panthers won three of last four games after 1-8 start in league; they won their last three home games. Underdog is 5-1 vs spread in their league home games.

Illinois State lost last five games and failed to cover its last seven; they're 1-2 as home dog, but beat Bluejays 82-77 in OT in first meeting, as 8-pt dog. Creighton is on three-game win streak; they covered four of last 5 road games and are 4-4 on MVC road, with wins by 3,1,9 and 14 points.

Evansville lost ten of last 12 games, but covered last 3; they're 2-2 as home dog, losing at home by 12,16,4 pts in eight games- they lost 78-75 at SMS first game on Jan 2. Bears lost last two road games, their only Ls in last nine games. SMS is 1-2 as MVC road favorite.

Oklahoma is 10-4 in Big 12, winning last four games (3-1 vs spread); they beat Texas 64-60 on Jan 22 as 7.5-pt favorite. Longhorns won four of last five games covering last four; they're 3-3 as home fave, and won six of their seven Big 12 home contests.

Wichita State lost four of last five games, and will need to win MVC tourney to get to NCAAs for first time in 15 years- they won 65-57 at UNI in first game- they are 2-6 as home fave. Northern Iowa is 3-1 as a road dog; they're 5-2 in their last seven games.

San Diego State lost four in row and seven of last eight games; they lost 62-50 at Air Force, as 8-pt dog back on Jan 29. Flyboys lost four of last five road tilts; the favorite is 5-1 vs spread in their MWC road contests. Aztecs are 2-6 vs spread in their last eight games.

New Mexico won four games in row, seven of last 8, covering six of last seven; they beat UNLV 62-58 at the Pit in first meeting. Rebels won four in row and are 5-0 vs spread in last five; they're just 3-3 in Mountain West home games (3-2 as home favorite).

Northern Arizona lost seven of last nine games, first of which was 83-79 at Montana on Jan 20; Lumberjacks are 4-2 as home fave, winning by 15,18,13,23 points. Grizzlies are 2-3 as road dog, losing four of last five on foreign soil, losing by 14,12,10 and three points.