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  • Early Insight Info

    Will update when more plays but trends would lead me to conclude as follows, these are teams to play on

    Heavy Plays - Villanove, Marshall, Detroit (college)

    Moderate - Ga Tech, Penn St. Northwestern, Ill' Chi, St. Louis
    N. Iowa

    More later when there is more data.


    NBA

    Moderate San Antonio and Utah

    Money Movers All College

    Detroit
    Butler
    George Washington
    Penn St

  • #2
    I agree on all of the big plays, some of the moderate plays are very moderate IMO at this point, but that could def. change. (stale lines or minimal line movements based on small % diff.).

    Also:
    Rhode Island 61% on Umass and line has dropped 1.5 pts.
    Central Michigan 84% on Kent St. line has dropped .5 to 1 pt.

    Comment


    • #3
      Thanks for the info.
      2013 NCAA POD Record

      8-3ATS +3.80 units

      2013 NFL POD Record

      1-2 ATS -4.50 units

      Comment


      • #4
        Gbc

        Will try to post my thoughts on the plays around 530 and if you can too we can come up with a consensus. I think at least 65 to 70% have to be on one side for the play to have merit.

        Comment


        • #5
          Sounds good chaching, I should be able to get on right around that time or a bit before.

          Comment


          • #6
            Insights

            Mass 68% on - 1 1/2
            Duke 74% even or -1
            Buffalo 76% on -1 1/2
            Ohio 60% on -1 1/2 or 2
            So. Misss 77% on -2
            Tenn 59% on 1 to 1 1.2
            BC 75% 1 1/2
            Michigan 59% 2
            Ky 67% 1
            Fla. 80% flat
            UAB 86% flat (ROOT PLAY on STLOUIS)
            WGBAY 73% 2 1/2
            Bowling Green 86% flat
            Wichita St. 67% 1 to 1 1/2
            So. Ill 69% line flat

            Large Plays

            Detroit
            East Carolina
            Marshall
            Villanova

            Almost Strong
            St. Louis
            N Illinois
            Ga. Tech


            Moderate

            Rhode Island
            Eastern Michigan
            Auburn
            Penn St.



            Money Movers
            Furman
            Detroit
            Butler
            Xavier
            PEnnST.

            NBA

            CHi 63% 1/2
            Seattle 76% line flat
            NJ 60% line up 1
            HOus 62% line up 1 1/2
            Dall 77% line flat to 1/2 up
            Phoenix 71% line flat

            Strong - SANTONIO

            Moderate - Milwaukee, NO, Clippers

            GBC if you can update let me know. GL to all.
            Last edited by chaching22; 02-23-2005, 06:10 PM. Reason: Changes in lines

            Comment


            • #7
              Update, not much happening

              Mass 69% on - 1 1/2
              Duke 75% even or -1
              Buffalo 76% on -1 1/2
              Ohio 60% on -1 1/2 or 2
              So. Misss 78% on -2
              Tenn 56% on 1 to 1.5
              BC 76% 1 to 1.5
              Michigan 58% 2
              Ky 69% 1
              Fla. 76% 0 to half up
              UAB 86% flat (ROOT PLAY on STLOUIS)
              WGBAY 73% 2 1/2 to 3
              Bowling Green 86% flat or down .5
              Wichita St. 69% 1 to 1 1/2
              So. Ill 68% line flat

              Comment


              • #8
                Plays

                What do you think is strong and moderate? I can't see either East Carolina or St. Louis so bet the farm on them. LOL

                Comment


                • #9
                  Ya, I can't see either one co vering either, they probably both will. I'm playing the following, posting *'s in a second in another thread:

                  Big
                  Marshall
                  Nova
                  Detroit
                  GT

                  Smaller
                  SWMissourSt
                  St. Louis
                  N. Ill

                  GL tonight man!!
                  Last edited by gbc; 02-23-2005, 06:54 PM.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Insights results

                    COllege - plis 12.3

                    2-1-1 - Large - plus 5
                    2-1 - Almost - plus 3.5
                    3-1 - Moderate - plus 3.8

                    Pro -6.2 - think this system works better on college

                    0-1 - almost - -3.8
                    1-2 - Moderate - -2.4

                    Time permitting will post same tomorrow.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Sa

                      WOW, I had San down as a loser ..theres still hope, they must have just had a big run.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        chaching,

                        I used this method last year in college baskets and did well. One thing that I found imperative is that you have don best or some sort of line tracking software/website because many many many times right before the game starts the line moves. I wish I had time to put it to work this year! I am going to try and do baseball this year but we shall see

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Don Best

                          I have Don Best but on Wed and Sat, it is hard to keep up with. Did you do the method just for college? I'm not sure it is too good for NBA. I'm saying at least 70% must be on the game and the line has to move at least a point right now.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Originally posted by chaching22
                            I have Don Best but on Wed and Sat, it is hard to keep up with. Did you do the method just for college? I'm not sure it is too good for NBA. I'm saying at least 70% must be on the game and the line has to move at least a point right now.
                            I might be able to help. I create a CBB worksheet for all games importing Sagarin, RPI, Dunkel and Mejia from the web. I capture the text from the web page then import into a database. It takes me less than 10 minutes to create what used to take Kmann 4+ hours.

                            I could possibly do the same.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Insights

                              I am on the premium insights data program and will post any significant percentage of plays and movements around 530E. Frank if you can help with late line moves relating to these that would be great. Hard to pull the trigger sometimes on teams like E Carolina and St. Louis last night but the system does hit around 55% if one sticks to it. BOL

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